{ "schema": "altdata.mastermind.v1", "as_of": "2026-07-21", "generated_utc": "2026-07-21T02:45:42.502230+00:00", "contract": "Actionable alt-data axis for the Mastermind bot. Each signal: signal_score 0-100 (composite of weighted convergence + brain conviction + price confirm \u2212 extension), action \u2208 {ACCUMULATE,WATCH,AVOID}, direction \u2208 {long,short,neutral}, source \u2208 {brain,deterministic}. The bot sizes through its OWN risk framework; this is an input, not an order. Brain calls are graded vs SPY (see calibration). An extended name is never ACCUMULATE. trump_linked / affiliations flag actor ties. rolling_over names (off_high\u2264\u221215% AND 20d<0 AND below 50dma) appear in broken_signals only \u2014 crowd attention, NOT entries. entry_tier (T1/T2/T3) = validated confluence buy gate signal.", "regime_read": null, "brain_present": false, "brain_usable": false, "article3": { "granted": false, "lift_lb": null, "reason": "insufficient-n: n=17 < min_n=25", "evidence_asof": "2026-07-21", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-21T03:13:26+00:00" }, "is_context_only": true, "calibration": { "n_scored": 0, "hit_rate": null, "open": 0, "note": "No theses scored yet \u2014 the track record begins once the first check-by dates pass. Keep conviction modest until it does." }, "n_signals": 103, "n_broken": 33, "signals": [ { "ticker": "NVDA", "signal_score": 69, "conviction": "high", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 2.0, "convergence_score": 6, "channels": [ "affiliation", "cnbc_pick", "github_momentum", "patent_cluster", "retail_buzz", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -3.8, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -13.7, "ret_20d": -3.5, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Jensen Huang", "rel": "CONTROLS", "kind": "exec" }, { "actor": "Nancy Pelosi", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Marjorie Taylor Greene", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Michael McCaul", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Jim Cramer", "rel": "TALKS_ABOUT", "kind": "influencer" }, { "actor": "Paul Pelosi", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "influencer" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 6, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "MSFT", "signal_score": 60, "conviction": "high", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 2.35, "convergence_score": 6, "channels": [ "affiliation", "app_demand", "github_momentum", "gov_contract", "lobbying", "patent_cluster" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -11.2, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -25.3, "ret_20d": 6.0, "above_50dma": true, "entry_tier": "T2", "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Sam Altman", "rel": "PARTNERS_WITH", "kind": "exec" }, { "actor": "Bill Ackman", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "fund" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 2, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "AMZN", "signal_score": 60, "conviction": "high", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.7, "convergence_score": 4, "channels": [ "affiliation", "lobbying", "special_situation", "trump" ], "trump_linked": true, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -6.4, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -9.1, "ret_20d": 2.3, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": "T1", "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Nancy Pelosi", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Paul Pelosi", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "influencer" }, { "actor": "Dan Crenshaw", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Bill Ackman", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "fund" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 4, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "GOOGL", "signal_score": 55, "conviction": "high", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.6, "convergence_score": 4, "channels": [ "affiliation", "app_demand", "lobbying", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -0.5, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -12.5, "ret_20d": -4.4, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Nancy Pelosi", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Paul Pelosi", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "influencer" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 2, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "LUV", "signal_score": 55, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.45, "convergence_score": 3, "channels": [ "activist_13d", "affiliation", "app_demand" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": 19.0, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -11.0, "ret_20d": 0.8, "above_50dma": true, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Paul Singer", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "fund" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 1, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "LILA", "signal_score": 53, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.4, "convergence_score": 2, "channels": [ "insider_cluster", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": 24.9, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -7.2, "ret_20d": 53.1, "above_50dma": true, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [], "n_affiliated_actors": 0, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "AAPL", "signal_score": 50, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.15, "convergence_score": 3, "channels": [ "affiliation", "cnbc_pick", "patent_cluster" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": 15.3, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -2.1, "ret_20d": 9.6, "above_50dma": true, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [ { "actor": "Dan Crenshaw", "rel": "HOLDS_STAKE", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Paul Pelosi", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "influencer" }, { "actor": "Marjorie Taylor Greene", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "politician" }, { "actor": "Warren Buffett", "rel": "AFFILIATES_WITH", "kind": "fund" } ], "n_affiliated_actors": 4, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "MRK", "signal_score": 49, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 1.45, "convergence_score": 3, "channels": [ "clinical_phase3_start", "fda_label_expansion", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": 6.6, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": false, "off_high_252": -4.0, "ret_20d": 9.2, "above_50dma": true, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [], 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"convergence_score": 2, "channels": [ "news_sentiment", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -1.3, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": true, "off_high_252": -19.4, "ret_20d": -9.9, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [], "n_affiliated_actors": 0, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "AMT", "signal_score": 18, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 0.65, "convergence_score": 2, "channels": [ "cnbc_pick", "special_situation" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -8.7, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": true, "off_high_252": -25.3, "ret_20d": -5.1, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [], "n_affiliated_actors": 0, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null }, { "ticker": "WMT", "signal_score": 15, "conviction": "medium", "action": "WATCH", "direction": "neutral", "source": "deterministic", "weighted_score": 0.65, "convergence_score": 2, "channels": [ "app_demand", "cnbc_pick" ], "trump_linked": false, "rs_vs_spy_60d": -17.9, "no_price_data": false, "extended": false, "rolling_over": true, "off_high_252": -16.4, "ret_20d": -4.2, "above_50dma": false, "entry_tier": null, "affiliations": [], "n_affiliated_actors": 0, "thesis": null, "second_order": [], "falsifier": null, "clamped": null } ], "disclaimer": "An AI reading of the desk's own deterministic convergence \u2014 accountable and falsifiable, not a guarantee. Every call cites the channels/actors it is based on, is graded vs SPY over the horizon, and can be wrong or overconfident. The Mastermind sizes it through its own risk framework; treat as odds, not a forecast." }