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GS Biswas GS Credit MarketStrats iTraxx S45 46 Roll Refresh of Expected NAV changes Indices positioning

Sep 18, 20265 pages

From the report报告摘录Roll Skew Pressure: iTraxx Main net long risk (6.4) vs. net short risk in Xover (-1.9), SenFin (-6.4), SubFin (-17.5) creates negative roll skew pressure ahead of S45 to S46 index roll on Sep 21, 2026.

Inside the report报告内文 Verbatim from the original PDF — first pages原版 PDF 开篇原文 · 逐字摘录

GS Biswas - GS Credit MarketStrats iTraxx S45 46 Roll Refresh of Expected NAV changes Indices positioning 18 Sep 2026 Avishek Biswas · Goldman Sachs · Credit MarketStrats Fri 18 Sep 2026, 1:38am ET

iTraxx indices will roll from S45 to S46 on Sep 21st (next Monday). Final lists of constituents for iTraxx S46 indices available here. Reach out to ou

iTraxx indices will roll from S45 to S46 on Sep 21st (next Monday). Final lists of constituents for iTraxx S46 indices available here. Reach out to our desk on any roll requirements on your side.

Estimate of the expected NAV rolls

Historically, as the charts below show, the roll skew tends to be explained by positioning in the series becoming off-the-run. When investors are very net long risk that series, there is more pressure to roll those longs, taking the roll skew to negative levels - and vice-versa (see charts below, X-axis is non-dealer positioning while Y-axis is the roll skew).

Below is the non-dealer positioning for the on-the-run (currently S45) series as per DTCC (-ve means short risk; +ve means long risk)

| iTraxx Main | 6.4 (long risk) | | iTraxx Xover | -1.9 (short risk) | | iTraxx SnrFin | -6.4 (short risk) | | iTraxx SubFin | -17.5 (short risk) |

Above data as of 11th Sep 2026

| iTraxx Main | | IN | | | OUT | | | | Name | Ticker | Reason | Name | Ticker | Reason | | TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET L M ERICSSON | LMETEL | Upgrade | VINCI | VINCI | Liquidity | | CLARIANT AG | CLAR | Liquidity | TELEKOM AUSTRIA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | TKA | Liquidity | | DHL AG | DPW | Liquidity | HOCHTIEF AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | RWE-HOCHTIEF | Liquidity | | RELX PLC | RELXPLC | Liquidity | DANONE | DANONE | Liquidity |

| iTraxx Xover | | IN | | | OUT | | | | Name | Ticker | Reason | Name | Ticker | Reason | | ALTICE FRANCE | ALTICEF | Liquidity | KAIXO BONDCO TELECOM, S.A.U. | KAIXBON | Debt | | METLEN ENERGY & METALS S.A. | METLENE | Liquidity | INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A. | NFRAWIR | Liquidity | | BELRON UK FINANCE PLC | BELROUK | Liquidity | TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET L M ERICSSON | LMETEL | Upgrade | | MOTION FINCO Sarl | MOTIFIN | Supplementary List | EG GLOBAL FINANCE PLC | EGGLO | Debt |

Max loss : Unlimited. For all charts unless otherwise stated. Source: DTCC/S&P/GS FICC and Equities. As of 17-Sep-2026. Past performance not indicative of future results.

Any references to I/we/us/our refer to GS Credit MarketStrats.

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