Rule of 72 Calculator
See how long money takes to double at a given annual return, or the return needed to double in a set time — Rule of 72 estimate plus the exact math.
Divide 72 by an annual return to get the years it takes money to double — or divide 72 by a target number of years to get the return you’d need. The exact figure sits alongside so you can see the approximation gap.用 72 除以年化收益率,得到本金翻倍所需的年数;或用 72 除以目标年数,得到所需的收益率。旁边同时给出精确值,让你看清近似的误差。
Enter an annual return to see how long money takes to double.输入年化收益率,即可看到本金翻倍所需的时间。
- Rule-of-72 estimate72法则估算
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- Exact math精确值
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- Approximation gap近似误差
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To estimate how many years it takes money to double at a steady annual return, divide 72 by that return written as a whole number — at 8% a year, roughly 72 ÷ 8 = 9 years. Flip it to find the return a doubling in a set time would demand: divide 72 by the years instead. It is a mental-math shortcut for the exact compounding formula, and it lands remarkably close in the range investors actually use.要估算在稳定的年化收益率下本金翻倍需要多少年,就用 72 除以以整数表示的收益率——每年 8% 时,约为 72 ÷ 8 = 9 年。反过来,若想知道在给定年数内翻倍所需的收益率,则用 72 除以年数。它是精确复利公式的一个心算捷径,而在投资者实际使用的区间里,它的结果出奇地接近。
01The formula公式
Return needed ≈ 72 ÷ Years所需收益率 ≈ 72 ÷ 年数
Exact years = ln(2) ÷ ln(1 + Return% ÷ 100)精确年数 = ln(2) ÷ ln(1 + 收益率% ÷ 100)
Exact return = 100 × ( 2^(1 ÷ Years) − 1 )精确收益率 = 100 × ( 2^(1 ÷ 年数) − 1 )
The exact line comes from solving (1 + r)^t = 2 for the missing term. Seventy-two is chosen because it divides cleanly by 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9 and 12, making the mental arithmetic easy — and because its error is smallest right around the 6–10% band where the true multiplier of ln(2) ≈ 69.3 would otherwise undershoot.精确的那一行来自求解 (1 + r)^t = 2 中缺失的那一项。选用 72,是因为它能被 2、3、4、6、8、9、12 整除,心算方便——而且在 6–10% 这个区间里它的误差最小,此处真实系数 ln(2) ≈ 69.3 反而会偏低。
02A worked example一个算例
Suppose a fund compounds at 8% a year and you want to know how long it takes to double.假设一只基金以每年 8% 复利增长,你想知道它翻倍需要多久。
- Rule of 72 = 72 ÷ 8 = 9.00 years72法则 = 72 ÷ 8 = 9.00 年
- Exact = ln(2) ÷ ln(1.08) = 9.01 years精确值 = ln(2) ÷ ln(1.08) = 9.01 年
- The estimate is off by about four days — close enough for a decision made in your head.估算值仅相差约 四天——对于心算决策已足够接近。
Now run it the other way: to double in 10 years you would need roughly 72 ÷ 10 = 7.2% a year; the exact requirement is 7.18%. Both directions rest on the same shortcut, and both stay honest inside the ordinary range of returns.再反过来算:要在 10 年内翻倍,你大约需要 72 ÷ 10 = 7.2% 的年化收益;精确要求为 7.18%。两个方向依赖同一个捷径,在通常的收益区间内都保持诚实。
03The common trap常见陷阱
The rule assumes one fixed, positive return compounding without interruption — a straight line that real markets never draw. An average 8% return made of a −20% year and a +40% year does not double capital on the same schedule as a steady 8%; the swings, taxes, fees and any withdrawals all bend the path. The number is a back-of-envelope sketch, not a forecast, and it says nothing about the odds of earning that return in the first place.该法则假设一个固定的正收益率不间断地复利——一条真实市场从不画出的直线。由 −20% 与 +40% 拼成的平均 8% 收益,翻倍的节奏并不等同于稳定的 8%;波动、税费、成本以及任何提取都会改变这条路径。这个数字是信手勾勒的草图,而非预测,它也完全没有说明你能否首先赚到那样的收益率。
04Where this breaks它的局限
The shortcut is a linear approximation of a curve, so it drifts as you leave the middle. A few honest limits:这个捷径是对一条曲线的线性近似,因此一旦偏离中段就会失真。几点诚实的局限:
- High rates overshoot. At 20%+ a year, 72 exaggerates the doubling time — the true multiplier drifts toward 76 or higher. Some traders switch to 70 for low rates and 78 for high ones; the exact math above never has this problem.高收益率会高估。年化超过 20% 时,72 会夸大翻倍所需时间——真实系数会漂移到 76 甚至更高。有人对低收益率改用 70、对高收益率改用 78;上面的精确公式则从无此问题。
- It needs a positive return. A zero or negative return never doubles, so the rule has no answer there. This tool asks for a return above zero rather than printing a meaningless number.它需要正收益率。零或负的收益率永远无法翻倍,法则在此没有答案。本工具会要求输入大于零的收益率,而非印出一个无意义的数字。
- Compounding frequency matters. The formula assumes the return compounds once per year. Monthly or continuous compounding doubles slightly faster, so the same headline rate reaches 2× a touch sooner than the annual figure suggests.复利频率有影响。公式假设每年复利一次。按月或连续复利翻倍略快,因此同样的名义收益率达到 2× 的时间会比按年计算略早一些。
Seventy-two over the rate is your doubling time in years — a fast, honest sketch inside the 6–10% band, and a curve worth checking exactly once you stray far from it.72 除以收益率就是以年计的翻倍时间——在 6–10% 区间里是一张快速而诚实的草图,一旦远离这个区间,就值得用精确公式核对。
See the full curve behind the shortcut with the 用 compounding calculator复利计算器, or turn a growth rate into an annualized figure with the 查看捷径背后的完整曲线,或用 CAGR calculator年化增长率计算器.把增长率换算成年化数字。