UBS SELL

UBS Equity Preference List European Financials 2026 08 19

Aug 19, 202616 pages

From the report报告摘录European Banks Valuation & Yield: Trading at 11x 2027 earnings with 5% dividend yield, supported by resilient loan demand, stable rates, and solid profitability; valuations not expensive vs.

Inside the report报告内文 Verbatim from the original PDF — first pages原版 PDF 开篇原文 · 逐字摘录

19 August 2026, 09:48 UTC Chief Investment Office GWM Investment Research

European Financials Equity preferences

The European Financials Equity Preference list (EPL) is a list of our highest conviction European Financials stocks. Sacha Holderegger UBS Switzerland AG Trading at approximately 11x 2027 earnings, the European financials sector appears attractively valued relative to the broader market. The sector also offers Please see important disclaimers and a compelling shareholder return profile, with a dividend yield of around 5% and disclosures at the end of this additional support from ongoing share buyback programs this year. We rate document. European banks as Attractive and remain Neutral on European insurers and diversified financials. European banks are particularly well positioned for a cyclical expansion, supported by solid loan demand, elevated capital markets activity, a stable interest rate environment, and valuations that remain reasonable despite the significant improvement in profitability. Our Top Picks: 1) banks: ABN Amro, Banco Santander, Barclays, 2) insurers: Allianz, Generali

Latest Changes: We updated our top picks for insurers, switching out AXA for Allianz

Benchmark: MSCI Europe Financials

Most Preferred Company Changes* Currency Weight

3I GROUP PLC GBP 6.0% ABN AMRO EUR 6.0% Allianz S.E EUR 7.0% AXA EUR 6.0% Barclays GBP 8.0% FinecoBank S.P.A EUR 6.0% Generali EUR 5.0% HSBC plc GBP 10.0% Julius Baer Group CHF 6.0% Lloyds Banking Group GBP 6.0% Raiffeisen Bank Intl EUR 6.0% Santander EUR 12.0% Société Générale EUR 10.0% Standard Chartered plc GBP 6.0%

Source: UBS, Consider potential trading restrictions, all figures are rounded *Changes since the last publication

Positioning and key trends We have a preference for banks over insurance and diversified financials, reflecting stronger earnings momentum, more compelling valuation support, and greater scope for rerating. Banks continue to benefit from resilient net interest income, robust fee and trading trends, and a benign credit environment, while diversified financials offer cyclical upside from a recovery in capital markets. By contrast,

Chief Investment Office GWM, 19 August 2026 Page 1 of 16

while insurance retains defensive qualities, we see less scope for positive earnings surprises and a more challenging pricing and margin backdrop across several sub- segments.

Banks We remain constructive on European banks, supported by solid recent earnings delivery and continued positive revisions. 2Q26 was another strong quarter, with the majority of banks beating expectations, driven by resilient net interest income, upside in fees, and robust trading revenues. Looking ahead, we expect earnings momentum to remain supportive, underpinned by a favorable macro backdrop, disciplined cost control, and still-benign asset quality, with only modest normalization in the cost of risk. Strong capital levels should continue to support attractive shareholder distributions, while valuations are not expensive, especially compared to the broader market.

Insurance The sector continues to offer defensive characteristics, including strong balance sheets, earnings visibility, and attractive capital returns. However, we see fading earnings momentum as pricing in property and casualty (P&C) decelerates and margins begin to normalize from peak levels. While life insurance fundamentals are improving, supported by solid flows and pension risk transfer activity, broader sector upside appears constrained given limited scope for earnings or dividend surprises. Reinsurance pricing has likely peaked and is softening, while commercial lines are seeing increasing competitive pressure. As a result, we see limited rerating potential relative to other financials.

Diversified Financials A recovery in capital markets activity and improving investor risk appetite should provide a supportive backdrop, particularly for exchanges and retail platforms. Within asset management, we remain selective.

Chief Investment Office GWM, 19 August 2026 Page 2 of 16

Read the full report + PDF阅读全文与 PDF

The full summary (5 key points) and the original UBS PDF are for MastermindX Pro members. 完整摘要(5 个要点)与 UBS 原始 PDF 为 MastermindX Pro 会员专享。

Read on MastermindX前往 MastermindX 阅读

Related institutional research相关机构研报

Not investment advice. MastermindX hosts third-party institutional research for reference and education; ratings and views are the authors', not ours. Browse the full Research Vault → 非投资建议。MastermindX 仅收录第三方机构研究,供参考与学习;其中评级与观点均属作者本人。浏览完整研报库 →