International macro command center国际宏观指挥中心

🇬🇧United Kingdom Macro英国宏观

United Kingdom national economy; FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 are market context.英国全国经济；富时100与富时250仅作市场背景。

Balanced均衡
Data through数据截至 2026-10-23 ·Built生成 2026-10-30 01:08 UTC
Balanced posture均衡姿态
Stay selective while sticky services inflation offsets improving growth.服务通胀黏性抵消增长改善时保持精选。

50 + growth impulse − inflation pressure − recession stress + liquidity + current calibrated-risk state. Descriptive, not a forecast.50 + 增长脉冲 − 通胀压力 − 衰退压力 + 流动性 + 当前校准风险状态。仅作描述，不是预测。

Regime周期
Reflation
Liquidity流动性
Unknown
Recession stress衰退压力
8.00/100
Source state数据状态
Stale inputs输入陈旧

Pullback risk回撤风险

Odds measured on this market's own history — windows, not certainties, re-drawn nightly.概率基于本市场自身历史测算 — 是概率窗口而非定论，每晚重算。

✅
Risk Radar风险雷达 CALM平静 · 0/100 ?Pullback-risk gauge. Use high readings to trim risk, not to pick stocks.回撤风险仪表。高读数用于降风险，不用于选股。
Calm — no driver elevated平静 — 无驱动升高
Pullback odds回撤概率 ≥5% drop · measured vs normal≥5% · 实测对比常态
0%within 21 days21 日内
0.03× vs normal对比常态 19%
0%
5d5日
0%
10d10日
0%
21d21日
normal常态
Parabolic extension / exhaustion抛物线伸展／透支 38 Sterling depreciation / outflows英镑贬值／资金外流 28 US rate shock美债利率冲击 6
Do应对Normal exposure.正常仓位。
🧾 Track record往绩29 graded已评分 · not yet moving the verdict尚未参与定调· no new entries for 15 days· 已 15 天无新增记录 ?Past-year hit rate: too few graded alerts yet (daily readings — consecutive days overlap) | Watch/caution: on 0 of 9 watch/caution days a drop followed | Recovery: too few graded过去一年命中率：暂无足够评分记录（按日读数——连续日期相互重叠） | 观察/谨慎：9 个观察/谨慎日中有 0 天先于下跌 | 修复信号：暂无足够评分

Command cards指挥卡片

Open any card for evidence, definitions and provenance.打开任一卡片查看证据、定义与来源。

60-session decision path60交易日决策路径

Same descriptive scoring rule through history; the current risk-state adjustment is excluded from prior points.历史沿用同一描述性规则；过往点位不含当前风险状态调整。

2026-08-03range区间 26–632026-10-23

Local macro lenses本地宏观视角

Country-specific questions, not generic labels with the flag changed.国家专属问题，而非仅替换国旗的通用标签。

BoE policy英央行政策

Services inflation and wages dominate the reaction function.服务通胀与工资主导政策反应函数。

3.71%
Bank of England

Services inflation服务通胀

The clearest domestic persistence test.最清晰的国内通胀黏性检验。

3.40% y/y
Office for National Statistics

Wage growth工资增长

Real-income support versus persistence risk.实际收入支持与通胀黏性风险的平衡。

Awaiting verified official adapter
Office for National Statistics

Gilt curve英国国债曲线

Links policy, fiscal risk and mortgage pricing.连接货币政策、财政风险与按揭定价。

1.23pp
Bank of England

Housing & mortgages住房与按揭

A high-frequency household cash-flow transmission channel.家庭现金流的高频传导渠道。

Awaiting verified official adapter
Bank of England

Fiscal context财政背景

Supply, taxes and issuance can alter the rate path.供给、税收与发债可改变利率路径。

Awaiting verified official adapter
Office for Budget Responsibility

Sterling英镑

Imported inflation and cross-border confidence signal.输入性通胀与跨境信心信号。

1.34
Bank of England

Verified policy calendar已核实政策日历

Past dates show a released state; the dashboard does not invent the decision outcome.过去日期显示已发布状态；看板不虚构决议结果。

2026-07-30

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee英格兰银行货币政策委员会

Decision date passed — verify the official release决议日期已过——请核对官方发布 · official calendar官方日历

Released
2026-09-17

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee英格兰银行货币政策委员会

Decision date passed — verify the official release决议日期已过——请核对官方发布 · official calendar官方日历

Released
2026-11-05

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee英格兰银行货币政策委员会

Scheduled — no outcome yet已排期——尚无结果 · official calendar官方日历

Upcoming
2026-12-17

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee英格兰银行货币政策委员会

Scheduled — no outcome yet已排期——尚无结果 · official calendar官方日历

Upcoming

Official policy statements官方政策声明

Latest最新
  1. Minutes of the Meeting of the Court of Directors held on 17 September 2026
    Bank of England英格兰银行 Reuse basis转载依据: Open Government Licence v3.0
  2. Bank of England sets out approach to tokenised collateral in central clearing
    Bank of England英格兰银行 Reuse basis转载依据: Open Government Licence v3.0
  3. Remit for the Monetary Policy Committee - October 2026
    Bank of England英格兰银行 Reuse basis转载依据: Open Government Licence v3.0
  4. Regulators unveil plans to simplify Senior Manager and Certification Regime
    Bank of England英格兰银行 Reuse basis转载依据: Open Government Licence v3.0
  5. Minutes of the Securities Lending Committee meeting – September 2026
    Bank of England英格兰银行 Reuse basis转载依据: Open Government Licence v3.0

Headlines are shown exactly as the publisher released them.标题为官方英文原文，未作翻译。

Leadership statements: no rights-cleared source.领导层表态：暂无获准转载的来源。

Routine business例行事务 An assistant's read of HM Treasury's latest announcement — context, not a verdict.助手对英国财政部最新公告的解读——仅供参考，并非定论。 Crown copyright, reused under the Open Government Licence v3.0.英国王室版权，依据开放政府许可 v3.0 使用。

Source health & data contract数据健康与数据契约

Official where practical; every fallback and gap remains visible.尽可能采用官方源；每项备用源与缺口均保持可见。

Provider提供方Role用途Cadence频率Access访问Status状态
Bank of EnglandPolicy, SONIA, gilt curve, money, credit and mortgagesDaily / monthlyOfficial IADB downloadsauthoritative target / active where mapped
Office for National StatisticsCPI, wages, labour, GDP, production, trade and housingRelease dependentKeyless v1 beta APIauthoritative target / active where mapped
Office for Budget ResponsibilityFiscal context and forecast assumptionsForecast-event dependentOfficial downloadsauthoritative target / active where mapped
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (official-source republisher)Operational fallback for OECD, Eurostat and central-bank seriesSource dependentKeyless CSVactive fallback
Known limitation:已知限制： ONS labour-market estimates carry survey-response and methodology uncertainty; the dashboard treats labour as one input, not a standalone trigger.ONS劳动力市场估计受调查回复率与方法变化影响；本看板将就业视为一项输入，而非独立触发器。

Where next下一站

All five dashboards share this contract and interaction model.五个看板共享此数据契约与交互模型。

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