Morning Edition早间版

US markets not yet open美股尚未开盘

Before the US open: tape since the prior close, the session clock, regime context, today's calendar, and a link to yesterday's brief. Refreshes once a day.美股开盘前:自前一收盘以来的盘面走势、交易时段时钟、周期背景、今日日历,以及上一交易日简报链接。每日更新一次。

Built at构建时间 2026-11-06T14:07:49.826898+00:00

Session clock交易时段

?US equity session phases: premarket (04:00–09:30 ET), regular (09:30–16:00 ET), after-hours (16:00–20:00 ET), and closed.美股交易时段:盘前期(东部时间 04:00–09:30)、常规交易(09:30–16:00)、盘后期(16:00–20:00),以及休市。
Not yet open尚未开盘 US markets have not opened yet today.美股今日尚未开盘。

Tape since prior close自前一收盘

prior close:前一收盘: 2026-11-05 reading of读数日期 2026-11-06 ?Price change since the last regular-session close. Sources from the live quote feed at build time.自最近一次常规交易收盘以来的价格变动。数据来源于构建时的实时行情。
SPY +0.20% QQQ +1.53% ^RUT -4.45%

Market regime市场周期

Stale — last known已滞后 — 最新已知 as of数据截至 2026-11-05 ?Market state and posture from the existing market-state reading.由现有市场状态读数提供的市场状态与姿态。
Last updated 1 day ago — showing the last known reading, not a fresh one.最近更新于1天前——展示的是最新已知读数,而非最新数据。
Risk-off避险 Posture姿态 Risk-off避险

Risk-off — stress is elevated; defend capital first.避险 — 压力升高;优先防守。

Macroeconomic regime宏观周期

Stale — last known已滞后 — 最新已知 as of数据截至 2026-11-05 ?Macroeconomic cycle from the existing regime reading, separate from market posture.由现有宏观周期读数提供的经济周期,与市场姿态分别展示。
Last updated 1 day ago — showing the last known reading, not a fresh one.最近更新于1天前——展示的是最新已知读数,而非最新数据。
Reflation再通胀

Cross-asset view跨资产视角

?Multi-asset consensus from the Neural Web plane: each lobe votes on direction and the aggregate verdict is shown.神经 Web 全景的多资产共识:各脑叶对方向投票,汇总判断如下。
Current当前 as of数据截至 2026-11-06
Risk-off避险

3 disagreements across the plane.各资产读数有3处分歧。

This plane reading is current.该全景读数是最新的。

Today's calendar今日日历

?Scheduled US macroeconomic releases for today. All times in US Eastern Time.今日发布的美国宏观经济数据。所有时间均为美国东部时间。
Context planes背景面

Context planes背景面

Not covered未覆盖 as of数据截至 2026-11-06T00:00 ?Five cross-asset planes (rates, dollar, credit, commodities, international) read from their own owner artifacts. Stale rows show last-known values with a dated reason.五个跨资产背景面(利率、美元、信用、商品、国际),由各自的主理产出读取。滞后行展示最新已知值并给出日期原因。
Some context planes are not yet covered.部分背景面尚未覆盖。
Rates利率 Real 10y 2.64% (restrictive — rolling down from the extreme)实际10年期 2.64%(偏紧,自极值回落)
Real 10y 2.64% (restrictive — rolling down from the extreme). Yield curve: Bull flattener. Under watch — fresh extremes being tracked.实际10年期 2.64%(偏紧,自极值回落)。收益率曲线:牛市平坦。正在观察——正在跟踪新的极值。
as of数据截至 2026-11-05T00:00
Dollar美元 Rising走强
High real rates高实际利率
as of数据截至 2026-11-06T00:00
Credit信用 Credit is not projected by the transmission owner yet.信用维度尚未由传输主理人覆盖。
Commodity商品 Goldilocks金发姑娘(低通胀增长)
Favored: Gold, Copper. More than half of members trending up.看好:金、铜。过半品种趋势向上。
as of数据截至 2026-11-05T00:00
International国际 Risk-off避险
China — Risk-off — stress is elevated; defend capital first. — Hong Kong — Risk-off — stress is elevated; defend capital first.中国:避险 — 压力升高;优先防守。香港:避险 — 压力升高;优先防守。
as of数据截至 2026-11-04T00:00 — Last updated 2 days ago.最近更新于2天前。
Research watch研究观察

Research watch研究观察

Stale — last known已滞后 — 最新已知 as of数据截至 2026-07-31T03:23 ?Conditions we are watching, in plain words. No direction, no magnitude, no order — only what would change the read.我们正在观察的条件,以平实语言表达。不含方向、量级或指令——只列出会改变判断的条件。
Last updated 2026-07-31 — showing the last known conditions.最近更新于 2026-07-31,显示最近已知的观察条件。
观察条件以英文记录,此栏不提供中文译文。
If semis relative strength rises back above its 20‑day average within five sessions.If semis relative strength rises back above its 20‑day average within five sessions.
since起始 2026-07-30 · as of数据截至 2026-07-31 · check by核查日 2026-08-28 · Calibration summary covers through 2026-10-17.校准汇总更新至 2026-10-17。
If the 10-year yield drops below 4% or the curve bull flattens.If the 10-year yield drops below 4% or the curve bull flattens.
since起始 2026-07-24 · as of数据截至 2026-07-26 · check by核查日 2026-09-04 · Calibration summary covers through 2026-10-17.校准汇总更新至 2026-10-17。
If BTC reclaims $68,000 with that valuation-vs-cost metric above 0.5.If BTC reclaims $68,000 with that valuation-vs-cost metric above 0.5.
since起始 2026-07-24 · as of数据截至 2026-07-26 · check by核查日 2026-08-21 · Calibration summary covers through 2026-10-17.校准汇总更新至 2026-10-17。
Semis relative strength turns positive for three consecutive days.Semis relative strength turns positive for three consecutive days.
since起始 2026-07-20 · as of数据截至 2026-07-21 · check by核查日 2026-08-03 · Calibration summary covers through 2026-10-17.校准汇总更新至 2026-10-17。
HY OAS tightens below 2.5% and EBP turns positive.HY OAS tightens below 2.5% and EBP turns positive.
since起始 2026-07-17 · as of数据截至 2026-07-19 · check by核查日 2026-08-14 · Calibration summary covers through 2026-10-17.校准汇总更新至 2026-10-17。
Owner pages主理页面

Owner pages & references主理页面与参考

Live实时 ?Pages and references that own each plane — the canonical destinations for the dashboards behind the read.每个背景面所属的主理页面与参考——读数背后的看板的标准入口。
Macro dashboard宏观仪表盘 Rates利率
Rates & credit dashboard利率与信用 Rates & Credit利率与信用
Commodity dashboard商品仪表盘 Commodity商品
China & Hong Kong中国与香港 International国际
Yield Curve (and Inversion)收益率曲线(及倒挂)
Credit Spread信用利差
High-Yield Spread高收益债利差
Real Rates实际利率
Breakeven Inflation盈亏平衡通胀率
Term Premium期限溢价
Dollar Index美元指数
Market Regime市场状态
Market State Score市场状态分
Risk-On / Risk-Off风险偏好/避险
Flight to Quality避险资金流

Some readings are unavailable —部分数据暂时不可用 — 1 reading(s) are unresolved.项读数尚未确定。