🇭🇰 HK Stock Desk港股研判台

Growth-scare增长恐慌 Neutral中性 ?Ranks HK names by three cleaner edges — southbound flow, A/H value, and strength after removing global-risk beta. Risk-off favours cushions and mainland-buying; risk-on leads with amplifiers and relative-strength leaders; a neutral tape leans on flow and value. A research shortlist, not a buy list.按三条较干净的优势排序 —— 南向资金、A/H 价值、剥离全球风险贝塔后的强度。风险规避时偏好缓冲股与内地买入的标的;风险偏好时以放大器与相对强度领先股为主;中性行情依靠资金与价值。研究备选清单,非买入清单。
Neutral tape — lean on flow & value中性行情 — 依靠资金与价值 No regime tilt — the edge is southbound buying and cheap-A/H value.无周期倾向 —— 优势在于南向买入A/H 折价价值。
💧 HK funding港元资金面: NEUTRAL中性 ?A sizing-context read on HK interbank liquidity, still accruing evidence. Not a rank or direction call.对香港银行体系流动性的定仓背景读数,仍在积累证据。非排名或方向判断。 Neutral HK interbank liquidity — between the easy and tight drawdown regimes. Sizing context only, not a signal.香港银行体系流动性中性 —— 介于宽松与紧张回撤状态之间。仅为定仓背景,非信号。
Universe exposure split全体敞口分布 (156 names)
54
49
53
54 amplifiers放大器 49 neutral中性 cushions缓冲 53 🛡
1
constructive entry建设性入场
8
on watch观察名单
31.2%
above 50-day50日上方
+139亿
southbound 20d net南向20日净额
A flow & structure screen — ranked by flow, A/H value and relative strength. A research shortlist, not a buy list.一个资金与结构筛选 — 按资金流、A/H 价值与相对强度排序。研究备选清单,非买入清单 HK macro dashboard香港宏观看板 🧪 Pick Lab选股实验室

What to Act On Now现在行动 v2 ?

sectors as of板块截至 2026-09-15
Buy Now立即买入0
No sectors in this lane today.今天此栏暂无板块。
In Favour看好0
No sectors in this lane today.今天此栏暂无板块。
Bottoming Watch洗盘观察4
SETTING UP形态形成中
NEARING A LOW接近低点 · ~2d · hk-industrials-transport
SETTING UP形态形成中
NEARING A LOW接近低点 · ~2d · hk-materials
SETTING UP形态形成中
BOTTOMING筑底中 · ~3d · hk-healthcare-pharma
View all查看全部 4Show fewer收起
SETTING UP形态形成中
BOTTOMING筑底中 · ~3d · hk-insurance
Reduce / Avoid减仓 / 回避9
TAKE PROFITS止盈
BOTTOMING筑底中 · hk-energy
TAKE PROFITS止盈
BOTTOMING筑底中 · hk-financials-banks
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-exchange-diversified
View all查看全部 9Show fewer收起
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-telecom-utilities
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-consumer
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-gaming-leisure
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-property
AVOID回避
UNCONFIRMED TURN未确认转向 · hk-auto-ev
AVOID回避
DOWNTREND下跌趋势 · hk-internet-tech

Prophet

1 actionable cards shown · 37 current names (29 stage board + 8 watch)显示 1 张可操作卡片 · 当前共 37 只(阶段榜单 29 + 观察 8)
HK stock signals港股信号 · Ranked by readiness — what to act on, and what to leave alone按就绪度排序 —— 哪些可以动手,哪些放着别碰 ?Every HK name we track that has a live read, in one board ordered by readiness — live entries first, then setups still forming, then names that already ran, then names an entry check is blocking. Priority 0–100 is a transparent readiness rank (signal 30% · entry 25% · edge 25% · runway 10% · setup quality 10%), used only to order the board: it is not a win probability and not a return forecast. The green cards are the picks — a separate gate on top of the order (fresh signal, entry window open, edge above zero, no extension reading on this board, so how far a name has already run goes unchecked, capped per sector). Leader-cohort chips are context from a display-only read; they earn a name no points here. The hk_prophet_v2 forward record is accruing separately.我们跟踪的每只有效港股都在同一张榜单上,按可操作就绪度排序 —— 先是入场窗口已打开的,然后是形态仍在形成的,接着是已经启动的,最后是被入场检查挡住的。优先级 0–100 是透明的就绪度排序(信号30% · 入场25% · 优势25% · 上行空间10% · 形态质量10%),仅用于给本榜排序:它不是胜率,也不是收益预测。发绿光的卡片是精选 —— 那是排序之上的另一道门槛(信号新鲜、入场窗口已打开、优势为正、本榜暂无拉伸读数,价格拉伸程度未作检查,并受行业名额限制)。龙头组合标签来自仅供展示的读数,不为个股加分。hk_prophet_v2 的前瞻记录将单独积累。

Data through数据截至 2026-09-15

Live entries first, then setups forming, then names that already ran or are blocked. Rank is a screen, not a promise.先看入场窗口已打开的,再看形态形成中的,最后是已启动或受阻的。排名是筛选,不是承诺。

RIPENING SHELF筑底观察区 setup forming — NOT an entry signal. Watch, don’t chase.形态形成中 — 非入场信号。观察,勿追高。 as of 2026-09-15截至 2026-09-15
READY共振形成中 6 confluence forming — nearest to entry接近入场条件
1816.HK
CGN Power中国广核电力
Energy能源
3.04
-1.8%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
33.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.001
Washout depth超卖深度
1.2
Range position区间位置
59%
Days in washout超卖天数
~1d
Time to turn距转向
~2.6W
time to turn: ~2.6 wk at this pace距转向约2.6周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up 10 wks ago周线10周前上穿
2196.HK
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals上海医药
Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药
16.93
-1.9%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
52.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.031
Washout depth超卖深度
78.1
Range position区间位置
32%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~3.0W
daily momentum just turned positive日线动能刚刚转正 time to turn: ~3.0 wk at this pace距转向约3.0周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up this week周线本周上穿
2238.HK
Guangzhou Auto广汽集团
Auto & EV汽车与新能源车
2.38
+10.2%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
39.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.026
Washout depth超卖深度
82.0
Range position区间位置
16%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~3.0W
daily momentum just turned positive日线动能刚刚转正 time to turn: ~3.0 wk at this pace距转向约3.0周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up 3 wks ago周线3周前上穿
2282.HK
MGM China美高梅中国
Gaming & Leisure博彩与休闲
10.01
-6.5%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
38.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.000
Washout depth超卖深度
49.7
Range position区间位置
20%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~3.3W
time to turn: ~3.3 wk at this pace距转向约3.3周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up 2 wks ago周线2周前上穿
1958.HK
BAIC Motor北汽集团
Auto & EV汽车与新能源车
0.76
+1.3%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
21.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.003
Washout depth超卖深度
2.5
Range position区间位置
3%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~4.1W
daily momentum just turned positive日线动能刚刚转正 time to turn: ~4.1 wk at this pace距转向约4.1周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up 11 wks ago周线11周前上穿
0880.HK
SJM Holdings澳博控股
Gaming & Leisure博彩与休闲
1.38
-5.5%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
22.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.001
Washout depth超卖深度
4.1
Range position区间位置
1%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~4.2W
time to turn: ~4.2 wk at this pace距转向约4.2周(按当前速度) weekly gauge crossed up 11 wks ago周线11周前上穿
BASING筑底中 6 washout in progress — waiting for a turn超卖持续中 — 等待转向信号
1810.HK
Xiaomi小米集团
Internet & Tech互联网与科技
26.50
-1.6%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
92.0
Daily momentum日线动能
-0.150
Washout depth超卖深度
86.6
Range position区间位置
19%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~0.5W
oversold gauge off the lows超卖量表已脱离低位 daily momentum improving日线动能改善 weekly gauge turned up — not confirmed yet周线已转向 — 尚未确认
1066.HK
Shandong Weigao山东威高
Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药
3.17
-2.6%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
22.0
Daily momentum日线动能
-0.015
Washout depth超卖深度
91.3
Range position区间位置
2%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~2.3W
in the washout zone仍处超卖区 daily momentum improving日线动能改善 weekly turn 5 wks ago — gone stale周线转向已5周 — 已失效
0392.HK
Beijing Enterprises北京企业控股
Industrials & TransportIndustrials & Transport
30.04
-2.9%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
49.0
Daily momentum日线动能
-0.065
Washout depth超卖深度
70.1
Range position区间位置
63%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~3.3W
oversold gauge off the lows超卖量表已脱离低位 daily momentum improving日线动能改善 weekly gauge turned up — not confirmed yet周线已转向 — 尚未确认
9961.HK
Trip.com携程集团
Consumer消费
311.20
-4.0%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
55.0
Daily momentum日线动能
-3.674
Washout depth超卖深度
7.6
Range position区间位置
2%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~5.0W
oversold gauge off the lows超卖量表已脱离低位 daily momentum improving日线动能改善 weekly turn 11 wks ago — gone stale周线转向已11周 — 已失效
0700.HK
Tencent腾讯控股
Internet & Tech互联网与科技
438.80
+0.8%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
48.0
Daily momentum日线动能
-0.379
Washout depth超卖深度
58.9
Range position区间位置
26%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
~5.1W
oversold gauge off the lows超卖量表已脱离低位 daily momentum improving日线动能改善 weekly turn 10 wks ago — gone stale周线转向已10周 — 已失效
0486.HK
RUSAL俄铝
Materials原材料
2.94
-1.0%
Oversold gauge超卖程度
2.0
Daily momentum日线动能
+0.005
Washout depth超卖深度
27.7
Range position区间位置
15%
Days in washout超卖天数
Time to turn距转向
deeply oversold深度超卖 daily momentum flat or fading日线动能持平或走弱 weekly gauge turned up — not confirmed yet周线已转向 — 尚未确认
Recently fired近期已触发 12
The move already started — wait for the next entry.行情已经启动 — 等待下一个买点。
0345.HK VitasoyVitasoy +2.8% since the check finished · fired 12 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 12个交易日前触发 2388.HK BOC Hong KongBOC Hong Kong -0.4% since the check finished · fired 12 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 12个交易日前触发 2020.HK Anta SportsAnta Sports -1.8% since the check finished · fired 15 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 15个交易日前触发 2628.HK China LifeChina Life -4.0% since the check finished · fired 18 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 18个交易日前触发 1336.HK New China Life InsuranceNew China Life Insurance -4.1% since the check finished · fired 18 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 18个交易日前触发 3618.HK Chongqing Rural Commercial BankChongqing Rural Commercial Bank -2.7% since the check finished · fired 21 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 21个交易日前触发 0006.HK Power AssetsPower Assets -1.8% since the check finished · fired 24 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 24个交易日前触发 3800.HK GCL TechnologyGCL Technology -3.5% since the check finished · fired 33 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 33个交易日前触发 1057.HK Zhejiang ShibaoZhejiang Shibao -6.7% since the check finished · fired 36 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 36个交易日前触发 1898.HK China Coal EnergyChina Coal Energy +6.9% since the check finished · fired 39 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 39个交易日前触发 2688.HK ENN EnergyENN Energy +6.1% since the check finished · fired 39 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 39个交易日前触发 3328.HK Bank of CommunicationsBank of Communications +5.7% since the check finished · fired 39 sessions ago (检查完成后) · 39个交易日前触发
What the gate refused门控拒绝的信号 4
A buy signal fired on each of these and the entry check refused it. This is what happened next — the section exists to keep the board honest, not to hand you a list to buy.这些个股都曾触发买入信号,但被入场检查拒绝。这里记录门控拒绝后的走势,用于自我审视 —— 不是一份可买清单。 Stance: blocked — the board did not act on this.立场:受阻 — 看板未据此操作。
4 refused signals in this window. Across all 4, the middle move is +3.2%. 本窗口共 4 个被拒信号。全部 4 个的中位涨跌幅为 +3.2%。

Priority = signal 30% + entry 25% + edge 25% + runway 10% + setup quality 10%. It ranks how ready a name is to be acted on, for ordering this board — it is not a win probability. The hk_prophet_v2 forward record is accruing separately. edge and runway and setup quality currently contribute 0 for all 1 names — the readings behind them are not wired up yet, so the leg is scored as a zero rather than given the benefit of the doubt.优先级=信号30%+入场25%+优势25%+上行空间10%+形态质量10%。它衡量的是一只股票的可操作就绪度,用于给本榜排序 —— 并非胜率。hk_prophet_v2 的前瞻记录将单独积累。优势与上行空间与形态质量目前对全部 1 只股票都记 0 分 —— 其所依据的数据尚未接入,因此该项按 0 分计,而不是默认给分。

What changed: until 3 Aug this board also required a name trading below its 200-day average to close back above that average within two sessions. A name far below the line cannot do that, so its buy signals were refused until it had already recovered — which is why setups like Xiaomi and Alibaba never appeared during their July run. That requirement is gone; a name now needs its signal plus one session of follow-through. Expect roughly a third more names here, and deeper drawdowns on some of them.变更说明: 8月3日之前,本榜还要求股价低于200日均线的个股必须在两个交易日内重新收于该均线之上。 远低于均线的个股根本做不到,因此其买入信号会被拒绝,直到股价已经涨回 —— 这正是小米、 阿里巴巴等形态在7月上涨期间从未出现在榜单上的原因。该要求已取消;现在个股只需要信号 加上一个交易日的跟进确认。预计本榜个股数量将增加约三分之一,其中部分个股的回撤会更深。

🏃 Market leaders市场领跑股 Strongest runners by 3-month momentum, leader-group boosted — no fresh entry signal; watch — don't chase.按3个月动量排名(龙头组合另有加成)的最强领跑股 —— 暂无新入场信号;观察 — 不要追高。 ?Coverage of Hong Kong's strongest runners — the piece the entry-gated board above structurally cannot show. That board admits a name only on a fresh momentum cross, and a name that has been climbing for weeks rarely prints one. Order here is trailing 3-month total return, plus a small boost for belonging to the large-cap leader group we track separately. When two names come out level on that, the plain 3-month return separates them, and if they are still level the ticker does — there is no other input. To appear at all a name must be in an intact uptrend and trading near its 52-week high — leaders sit near their highs, and a name much further off than that is not one. The entry column is honest: none of these has a fresh trigger, so the stance is watch — buy pullbacks toward the zone, never chase. Forward results for this strip are graded nightly from its ship date; it is a research shortlist, not a buy list.覆盖港股最强的领跑股 —— 上方入场门控榜单在结构上无法展示的部分。那张榜单只在动量新交叉时收录个股,而已连涨数周的领跑股很少出现新交叉。本表按3个月总回报排序,属于我们单独跟踪的大市值龙头组合的个股另有小幅加成。若两只股票该项持平,则先比未加成的3个月回报,仍持平则按代码先后 —— 再无其他输入。入选还须趋势完好且股价贴近52周高点 —— 领跑股都贴着高点走,回落太多的算不上领跑。入场列如实标注:这些标的均无新触发,立场是观察 —— 回调至买区分批买入,绝不追高。本栏前瞻成绩自上线之日起每晚评分;这是研究清单,而非买入清单。
Stock个股Sector板块 3-mo momentum3个月动量 off high距高点 last signal上次信号 entry入场
1112.HK Health & Happiness健合集团 Consumer消费 +4.05 -3.8% 49 sessions ago49个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
2269.HK WuXi Biologics药明生物 Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药 +4.04 -5.7% 58 sessions ago58个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
2359.HK WuXi AppTec药明康德 Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药 +3.59 -6.1% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
6160.HK BeiGene百济神州 Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药 +2.17 -7.2% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
1801.HK Innovent Biologics信达生物 Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药 +1.62 -13.5% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
0656.HK Fosun International复星国际 Industrials & TransportIndustrials & Transport +1.57 -12.9% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
0019.HK Swire Pacific太古股份公司 Exchange & Diversified交易所与综合企业 +1.42 -5.7% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
0144.HK China Merchants Port招商局港口 Industrials & TransportIndustrials & Transport +1.22 -4.0% 43 sessions ago43个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
0316.HK Orient Overseas东方海外 Exchange & Diversified交易所与综合企业 +1.11 -15.5% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
0639.HK Shougang Resources首钢资源 Materials原材料 +1.04 -15.8% 43 sessions ago43个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
0135.HK Kunlun Energy昆仑能源 Energy能源 +0.91 -9.1% 43 sessions ago43个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
3988.HK Bank of China中国银行 Financials & Banks金融与银行 +0.86 -2.1% 0 days ago0天前 wait for pullback等待回调
0939.HK China Construction Bank中国建设银行 Financials & Banks金融与银行 +0.82 -2.8% 37 sessions ago37个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
0998.HK CITIC Bank中信银行 Financials & Banks金融与银行 +0.77 -0.8% 37 sessions ago37个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调
1038.HK CK Infrastructure长江基建集团 Telecom & Utilities电信与公用事业 +0.74 -2.9% 52 sessions ago52个交易日前 wait for pullback等待回调

Weakest selection edge — distribution risk选股优势最弱 — 派发风险 ?The names whose selection edge — our stock-picking read, before any timing — sits lowest on the board tonight. It is NOT a statement that they are falling: a name can be up on the month and still be here, which usually reads as distribution, money leaving while the price holds. The figure is that edge scored against the rest of the HK board, and it is the number the list is ordered by. A name whose edge cannot be resolved at all sorts to the end rather than the front — an unknown edge is not evidence of a weak one.本栏是今晚全榜选股优势最低的个股 —— 选股优势指的是不考虑择时的选股读数。这并不表示它们正在下跌:一只月内上涨的股票同样可能出现在这里,通常意味着派发,即股价撑住而资金在流出。所标数值即该优势的 z 分(相对港股样本),也是本列表的排序依据。优势完全无法计算的个股排在末尾而非开头 —— 优势未知不等于优势弱。

0780.HK Tongcheng Travel -2.141347.HK Hua Hong Semiconductor -2.072333.HK Great Wall Motor -1.530288.HK WH Group -1.450014.HK Hysan Development -1.400960.HK Longfor Group -1.21

Leadership & Rotation领先与轮动

Sector ranking板块排名
Leadership detail is unavailable until enhancement runs; the owner boards above remain complete.增强脚本运行前,领先详情暂不可用;上方原生榜单保持完整。

Evidence & Record证据与往绩

Methodology →方法论 →

Fast movers — 1-day momentum快速异动 — 1日动能 ?HK names that set off several same-day momentum triggers — a fresh cross, an overnight gap on the US listing, or a turn off a washout — and then ran. Hong Kong has no daily price limits, so a name that runs the same day is showing real demand. A heads-up, not a buy signal.今天同时触发了几个盘中动量信号的港股 —— 信号刚上穿、美股 ADR 隔夜跳空,或者从低位转上来 —— 然后就直接涨了。港股没有涨跌停,当天就能拉起来说明需求是真的。这是提示,不是买入信号。

as of截至 2026-09-15

0867.HK HK$10.90
China Medical System 中国医疗系统
Healthcare & Pharma
1 trigger项触发 cushion
2196.HK HK$16.93
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals 上海医药
Healthcare & Pharma
1 trigger项触发 neutral
2319.HK HK$17.97
Mengniu Dairy 蒙牛乳业
Consumer
1 trigger项触发 cushion
0700.HK HK$438.80
Tencent 腾讯控股
Internet & Tech
1 trigger项触发 amplifier
1186.HK HK$4.43
China Railway Construction 中国铁建
Industrials & Transport
1 trigger项触发 neutral
9999.HK HK$187.10
NetEase 网易
Internet & Tech
1 trigger项触发 neutral
6818.HK HK$2.79
China Everbright Bank 光大银行
Financials & Banks
1 trigger项触发 cushion
2333.HK HK$7.61
Great Wall Motor 长城汽车
Auto & EV
1 trigger项触发 neutral

Measured vs the market over 21 sessions · fills next close · track record accruing — not a buy list 以21个交易日相对大盘衡量 · 次日收盘成交 · 记录累积中 — 非买入清单

Washout Watch — deep decliners trying to turn洗盘观察 — 深跌股尝试转身 · High risk, unconfirmed — watch, don't chase.高风险、未确认 — 观察,勿追。

1072.HK Dongfang Electric igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化 🔻刀锋
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 34 · 18.86
9888.HK Baidu igniting点火中
ADR↑RSI反抽催化 🔻刀锋
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 39 · 88.90
9868.HK XPeng igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化 🔻刀锋
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 34 · 40.38
9626.HK Bilibili igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 37 · 121.40
1929.HK Chow Tai Fook igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 31 · 11.10
0700.HK Tencent igniting点火中
ADR↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 47 · 438.80
1378.HK China Hongqiao igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 39 · 21.48
1066.HK Shandong Weigao igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 40 · 3.16
3690.HK Meituan igniting点火中
ADR↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 36 · 74.75
9961.HK Trip.com igniting点火中
ADR↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 32 · 311.20
0012.HK Henderson Land igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 39 · 25.80
2057.HK ZTO Express igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 35 · 161.10
0083.HK Sino Land igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 32 · 9.85
2331.HK Li Ning igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化 🔻刀锋
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 38 · 12.80
6862.HK Haidilao igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化 🔻刀锋
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 31 · 9.65
0322.HK Tingyi igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 37 · 11.80
2607.HK Shanghai Henlius Biotech igniting点火中
南向↑RSI反抽催化
Oversold + reclaim underway · unconfirmed · wait for follow-through超卖中 + 反抽启动 · 未确认 · 等待跟进确认
RSI 34 · 11.01

A heads-up, not a buy signal — none has confirmed a turn. We log these forward to earn promotion later.这是提示,非买入信号 —— 均未确认转向。持续记录,待后续晋级评估。

🇨🇳 Mainland money内地资金 · Southbound flow — and where it's going南向资金 — 以及流向哪里 · 2026-09-14 ?Mainland money flowing into HK through Southbound Connect: how much (net flow), whether that flow is backing the HSI price trend, how cheap HK-listed H-shares look vs their mainland A-share twins, and which single names the mainland is adding to or trimming. A liquidity backdrop, not a buy signal.内地资金通过南向港股通流入港股:规模(净流入)、该资金是否支持恒指价格趋势、港股 H 相对 A 股孪生有多便宜、以及内地正在加仓或减仓哪些个股。流动性情况,非买入信号。

Southbound flow南向资金 ◦ Balanced◦ 均衡
+139
20d net (¥100M)20日净额(亿)
-0.3σ
vs 1y对比一年
15/20
net-buy days净买入
Flow roughly balanced — no strong tilt.资金大致均衡 — 无明显倾向。
Flow vs price资金 vs 价格 ◦ Mixed◦ 中性
-1.3σ
flow trend资金趋势
+1.5%
HSI恒指 63d
No clear agreement between flow and price.资金与价格无明显一致。
A/H premiumA/H 溢价 H richH 偏贵
+27.0%
A-over-HA 高于 H (12)
13%ile
vs 3y对比3年
-4.0pp
1y一年
H-shares rich vs A — value edge gone.H 股相对 A 偏贵 — 价值优势消退。
China Life 2628.HK+51.2%
China Pacific Insurance 2601.HK+33.3%
Sinopec 0386.HK+33.2%
China Construction Bank 0939.HK+31.6%

20-day rolling southbound net · last 2 years (¥100M)南向20日滚动净额 · 近两年(亿元)

Mainland accumulating内地加仓 · 5-day holding growth5日持股增长

2142.HK 和铂医药-B +60.0% 7.1%
2616.HK 基石药业-B +60.0% 8.8%
6821.HK 凯莱英 +21.0% 51.8%
2285.HK 泉峰控股 +20.4% 8.3%
3347.HK 泰格医药 +16.6% 40.3%
9678.HK 云知声 +13.2% 24.4%

Mainland distributing内地减仓 · 5-day holding decline5日持股下降

2889.HK 博泰车联 -32.2% 10.6%
3317.HK 迅策 -29.7% 4.3%
0780.HK 同程旅行 -22.7% 7.3%
2556.HK 迈富时 -20.4% 24.7%
2865.HK 钧达股份 -20.2% 57.2%
6082.HK 壁仞科技 -17.9% 8.9%

Per-name southbound holdings across个股南向持股,覆盖 406 sized HK names.只有规模的港股。 A liquidity backdrop, not a buy signal.流动性情况,非买入信号。

Sector Rotation板块轮动 · RS vs HSI相对恒生指数 ?Sectors ranked by relative strength vs the Hang Seng over 20 and 60 days. The strip above flags leadership handoffs — where money is rotating out of one theme and into a peer. Descriptive; no size or gate.板块按相对恒生指数20日与60日的强度排序。上方带状区标记领导权交接 —— 资金从某主题轮出、流入同类主题。描述性;不调仓、不设门控。

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Sector板块 Rank排名 20d RS20日相对 60d RS60日相对 200d200日 %ile分位 Cycle state周期状态
Healthcare & Pharma医疗与制药 1 +1.3 +12.1 72 BOTTOMING筑底中1d ago1天前
Energy能源 2 +7.7 +3.9 80 BOTTOMING筑底中today今日
Financials & Banks金融与银行 3 +7.5 +3.7 99 BOTTOMING筑底中today今日
Exchange & Diversified交易所与综合企业 4 +0.3 +3.2 93 DOWNTREND下跌趋势today今日
Industrials & TransportIndustrials & Transport 5 -0.9 -3.5 12 NEARING A LOW接近低点2d ago2天前
Telecom & Utilities电信与公用事业 6 +1.5 -3.8 40 DOWNTREND下跌趋势today今日
Insurance保险 7 +5.2 -4.5 46 BOTTOMING筑底中3d ago3天前
Consumer消费 8 -3.0 -5.5 1 DOWNTREND下跌趋势11d ago11天前
Materials原材料 9 -2.7 -7.2 23 NEARING A LOW接近低点1d ago1天前
Gaming & Leisure博彩与休闲 10 -3.9 -7.9 1 DOWNTREND下跌趋势3d ago3天前
Property地产 11 -4.3 -8.4 24 DOWNTREND下跌趋势today今日
Auto & EV汽车与新能源车 12 -4.1 -9.9 4 UNCONFIRMED TURN未确认转向today今日
Internet & Tech互联网与科技 13 -6.9 -10.5 1 DOWNTREND下跌趋势4d ago4天前

Global-risk screener全球风险筛选 · Who amplifies global risk, who cushions it — the full HK list谁放大全球风险、谁缓冲 —— 完整港股名单 · 2026-09-15 ?HK single names are mostly risk exposures. Amplifiers (high beta) move more with global risk; cushions (low beta) move less. Beta measured to the S&P 500 overnight. Descriptive exposure, not a return forecast.港股个股主要是风险敞口。放大器(高贝塔)更随全球风险波动;缓冲股(低贝塔)波动较小。贝塔以隔夜标普500衡量。描述性敞口,非收益预测。

Global risk is neutral — these are exposures, not a tilt; amplifiers will move more in EITHER direction when the regime turns.全球风险中性 — 这是敞口而非倾向;当风险状态转变时,放大器在任一方向都会波动更大。 Current state:当前状态: Neutral.

Beta to S&P 500 overnight. Descriptive exposure, not a return forecast.对隔夜标普500的贝塔。描述性敞口,非收益预测。

Built生成于 2026-09-15 12:52 UTC
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