HK Pick Lab · Display-only · ACCRUINGHK选股实验室 · 仅展示 · 累积中

HK Candidate Pick Engines港股候选选股引擎

20 shadow books running on forward ledgers — measured against a random-control yardstick and the Hang Seng Index. Ruler: 21-session ^HSI excess (next HK session fill, close basis). All data is display-only; nothing here drives live selection or gating.20个影子书在前向账本上运行 — 与随机控制基准和恒生指数对比衡量。标尺:21节恒生超额(下一港股交易日入场,收盘价基准)。所有数据仅供展示;这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股或门控。

As of截至 2026-09-15 · Built生成时间 2026-09-15 12:59 UTC

Back to HK Stock Desk返回港股研判台
Halt-voided fires this session本期因停牌撤销触发: 747 (exec session halted ≥5 consecutive sessions → fire voided per HKPL-R4 halt law; never silent ffill)(执行节停牌≥5连续交易节 → 触发撤销,见HKPL-R4停牌法则;绝不静默填充)
How to read this table:如何阅读此表: All 20 HK entry books measured against the Random Control yardstick (pinned at bottom) and ^HSI. ACCRUING = fewer than 25 fires across 3 months — do not act on these numbers yet. STALE = organ data staler than 2 HK sessions; book disabled for that night (HKPL-R7 fail-closed). Knife Avoid and Chase Avoid are INVERSE books — expected negative excess. Do not treat their picks as buy signals.所有20本HK入场书均与随机控制基准(固定在底部)和恒生指数对比。ACCRUING = 3个月内少于25次触发 — 暂不据此行动。STALE = 器官数据超过2个港股交易节;该书当夜停用(HKPL-R7故障关闭)。刀口规避和追涨规避是反向书 — 预期负超额。切勿将其选择视为买入信号。
Book书本 Fam Status状态 N firesN触发 Halt ✗停牌撤 Stale nts停用夜 N openN开放 Dates日期 Mo span月跨 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MFE medMFE中位 MAE medMAE中位 Asym非对称 NAV exc cumNAV累积超额 Max DD最大回撤 vs Rand对比随机 vs Univ对比全市场
A HK 1D Velocity Pure 港股1日速度纯 A ACCRUING 累积中 94 0 94 33 1.8 0.0%
A HK 1D + Washout Ignition (organ x 1D) 港股1日+洗盘点火 (器官x1日) A ACCRUING 累积中 12 0 12 9 1.5 0.0%
A HK 1D + ADR Overnight Confirmation 港股1日+ADR隔夜确认 A ACCRUING 累积中 6 0 6 4 1.2 0.0%
A HK 1D Blastoff (fast cohort 3D gate misses) 港股1日起飞 (3日门遗漏的快速群组) A ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
A HK 1D + Risk-On Regime 港股1日+风险偏好开启 A ACCRUING 累积中 80 0 80 27 1.6 0.0%
B HK Washout Ignition (strongest organ state) 港股洗盘点火 (最强器官状态) B ACCRUING 累积中 56 0 56 27 1.8 0.0%
B HK Washout + SB Accum Confluence 港股洗盘+南向积累汇流 B ACCRUING 累积中 100 0 100 35 1.7 0.0%
B HK Washout + Buyback Confluence 港股洗盘+回购汇流 B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
B HK Pullback Entry Watch (second-chance) 港股回调入场 (第二次机会) B ACCRUING 累积中 1 0 1 1 0.0 0.0%
B HK Knife Avoid (INVERSE — expected negative) 港股刀口规避 (反向 — 预期负超额) NOT BUY — AVOID非买入 — 规避 B ACCRUING 累积中 47 0 47 27 1.7 0.0%
C HK CBBC Bear Skew Fuel 港股CBBC空头偏斜燃料 C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
C HK A/H Discount Value (H3 near-GO edge) 港股A/H折价价值 (H3接近通过) C ACCRUING 累积中 15 0 15 8 1.8 0.0%
C HK Short Squeeze Setup (H2a ACCRUE leg) 港股轧空形态 (H2a积累腿) C ACCRUING 累积中 61 0 61 28 1.8 0.0%
C HK Catalyst + Narrative Attention 港股催化剂+叙事关注 C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
D HK Beta Amplifier (Risk-On) 港股Beta放大器 (风险偏好开启) D ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
D HK Beta Cushion (Risk-Off Defensive) 港股Beta缓冲 (防御型) D ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0%
D HK HIBOR/Peg Easy Liquidity Rebound 港股HIBOR/联系汇率宽松流动性反弹 D ACCRUING 累积中 22 0 22 8 1.1 0.0%
E HK Flagship (no signal-gate ablation) 港股旗舰 (无信号门消融) E ACCRUING 累积中 70 0 70 30 1.8 0.0%
E HK Chase Avoid (INVERSE — chase_risk state) 港股追涨规避 (反向 — 追涨风险状态) NOT BUY — AVOID非买入 — 规避 E ACCRUING 累积中 35 0 35 23 1.6 0.0%
E HK Random Control 港股随机基准 (yardstick)(基准) E ACCRUING 累积中 157 0 157 37 1.8 0.0%
hklab_flagship2_mirror hklab_flagship2_mirror ACCRUING 累积中 110 0 110 36 1.8 0.0%

Family A (books 1–5) — 1D oscillator-based entry timing on the HK tape. The hypothesis: HK has no daily price limits, so a name that prints a 1D confluence and immediately runs is showing real demand. A name that crossed on 2D/3D but did NOT blast off may have something wrong. First operator read: 2026-08-20. Ruler: 21-session ^HSI excess.A族(书1–5)— 基于1日振荡器的港股入场时机。假设:港股没有涨跌停限制,因此打印1日汇流后立即上涨的个股显示真实需求。在2D/3D上穿但未立即爆发的个股可能有问题。第一次操作员读取:2026-08-20。标尺:21节恒生超额。

A HK 1D Velocity Pure 港股1日速度纯 NN=94 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#6 9999.HK
Internet & Tech
1D MACD✚≤21D StochRSI✚≤8from_OSRSI14<70
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_stoch_xup_bars 0.0rsi14 45.0edge_z -0.05
#8 2333.HK
Auto & EV
1D MACD✚≤21D StochRSI✚≤8from_OSRSI14<70
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_stoch_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 34.0edge_z -1.53

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Fill basis入场基准 21d HSI exc21日恒生超额 Status状态
9999.HK 2026-09-15 close open
2333.HK 2026-09-15 close open
0002.HK 2026-09-11 close open
9626.HK 2026-09-11 close open
1186.HK 2026-09-11 close open
6818.HK 2026-09-11 close open
1072.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0001.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0291.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0867.HK 2026-09-10 close open
2338.HK 2026-09-09 close open
2313.HK 2026-09-08 close open
2196.HK 2026-09-08 close open
2015.HK 2026-09-08 close open
0014.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0992.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
2888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
1209.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
2331.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
3690.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
0005.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
6808.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
0772.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
0268.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-01 close open
2238.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-01 close open
0966.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
2388.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
0700.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
3993.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
3800.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
A HK 1D + Washout Ignition (organ x 1D) 港股1日+洗盘点火 (器官x1日) NN=12 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 0700.HK
Internet & Tech
1D MACD✚≤3ignition/pullback-watch✓
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0washout_state ignition_watchconfluence_count 2.0

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Fill basis入场基准 21d HSI exc21日恒生超额 Status状态
0700.HK 2026-09-15 close open
1378.HK 2026-09-14 close open
0358.HK 2026-09-11 close open
9626.HK 2026-09-11 close open
6862.HK 2026-09-09 close open
2313.HK 2026-09-08 close open
1833.HK 2026-09-08 close open
0291.HK 2026-09-08 close open
1024.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
9999.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-26 close open
9868.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-19 close open
9888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-07-31 close open
A HK 1D + ADR Overnight Confirmation 港股1日+ADR隔夜确认 NN=6 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Fill basis入场基准 21d HSI exc21日恒生超额 Status状态
3690.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0700.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
1024.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-03 close open
9888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-07-31 close open
9988.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-07-31 close open
0700.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-07-31 close open
A HK 1D Blastoff (fast cohort 3D gate misses) 港股1日起飞 (3日门遗漏的快速群组) NN=0 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

A HK 1D + Risk-On Regime 港股1日+风险偏好开启 NN=80 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Fill basis入场基准 21d HSI exc21日恒生超额 Status状态
1208.HK 2026-09-10 close open
2688.HK 2026-09-10 close open
3993.HK 2026-09-09 close open
2313.HK 2026-09-08 close open
1209.HK 2026-09-08 close open
0992.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0772.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0005.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
2888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
9926.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
3888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
2282.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0268.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-01 close open
0656.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
0966.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
2388.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
0135.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
0358.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-28 close open
1112.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-28 close open
1211.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-28 close open
1057.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-27 close open
0017.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-27 close open
2600.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-27 close open
2007.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-27 close open
1299.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-27 close open
6060.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-26 close open
2020.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-26 close open
0392.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-25 close open
0012.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-25 close open
3968.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-25 close open

1D Blastoff vs Stale-Cross Diagnostic1日起飞 vs 迟滞交叉诊断

The operator hypothesis: names that crossed 1D momentum and immediately ran (the blastoff cohort) should out-perform names that crossed 2D/3D but "based" for ≥5 sessions without running (|return since cross| < 3%). This side-by-side shows forward 21d HSI-excess for both cohorts from the same scoreboard data. Accruing — first read 2026-08-20.操作员假设:1日动量交叉后立即上涨(起飞群组)应优于2D/3D交叉后"盘整"≥5节未上涨(|交叉后回报|<3%)的个股。此对比显示两个群组的前向21日恒生超额(来自相同记分板数据)。累积中 — 首次读取2026-08-20。

Stale-cross cohort迟滞交叉群组 (2D/3D ≥5 sess, |ret|<3%)

Names tracked追踪个股: 27 · Forward 21d HSI-excess accrues nightly — grades mature over ~4 weeks.前向21日恒生超额每夜累积 — 评级约4周成熟。

Select a book to view today's picks and recently graded fires. Knife Avoid (Family B) and Chase Avoid (Family E) are INVERSE books — expected negative excess. STALE = organ-dependent book whose input data was staler than 2 HK sessions tonight (HKPL-R7 fail-closed).选择一本书查看今日选择和最近评级触发。刀口规避(B族)和追涨规避(E族)是反向书 — 预期负超额。STALE = 器官依存书,今夜输入数据超过2个港股交易节(HKPL-R7故障关闭)。

A HK 1D Velocity Pure 港股1日速度纯 N firesN触发=94 · WR21 HSI excWR21恒生超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

Ruler标尺: 21d_hsi_excess

#6 9999.HK
Internet & Tech
1D MACD✚≤2 1D StochRSI✚≤8 from_OS RSI14<70
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_stoch_xup_bars 0.0rsi14 45.0edge_z -0.05
#8 2333.HK
Auto & EV
1D MACD✚≤2 1D StochRSI✚≤8 from_OS RSI14<70
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_stoch_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 34.0edge_z -1.53

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Fill basis入场基准 21d HSI exc ret21日恒生超额回报 Status状态
9999.HK 2026-09-15 close open
2333.HK 2026-09-15 close open
0002.HK 2026-09-11 close open
9626.HK 2026-09-11 close open
1186.HK 2026-09-11 close open
6818.HK 2026-09-11 close open
1072.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0001.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0291.HK 2026-09-10 close open
0867.HK 2026-09-10 close open
2338.HK 2026-09-09 close open
2313.HK 2026-09-08 close open
2196.HK 2026-09-08 close open
2015.HK 2026-09-08 close open
0014.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-07 close open
0992.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
2888.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
1209.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
2331.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
3690.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-04 close open
0005.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
6808.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
0772.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-03 close open
0268.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-01 close open
2238.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-09-01 close open
0966.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
2388.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
0700.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
3993.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open
3800.HKhalt-voided停牌已撤 2026-08-31 close open

What this HK lab measures本HK实验室测量什么

20 frozen HK candidate pick engines run in parallel on forward ledgers in the asia-close lane. Each book fires picks nightly; those picks are graded when the horizon elapses. Nothing here drives live selection. The purpose is evidence accrual: let the data tell us which HK constructions are worth a formal gauntlet.20个冻结HK候选选股引擎在亚盘通道的前向账本上并行运行。每本书每晚触发选择;当地平线经过时,这些选择被评级。这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股。目的是证据累积:让数据告诉我们哪些港股构造值得正式考验。

Ruler (HKPL-R3)标尺(HKPL-R3)

Primary ruler: 21-session ^HSI excess — win rate + median excess. 5/10/63-session descriptive ladder also recorded. MFE/MAE over 25 sessions.主标尺:21节恒生(^HSI)超额 — 胜率+中位超额。同时记录5/10/63节描述性阶梯。25节MFE/MAE。 Inverse books (Knife Avoid, Chase Avoid): scored as avoid-accuracy — expected negative 21-session excess.反向书(刀口规避、追涨规避):评分为规避准确性 — 预期21节负超额。

Execution law (HKPL-R4)执行法则(HKPL-R4)

Exec = next HK session close (fill_basis="close"). No price limits — HK has no daily limit. Board lots ignored at ledger tier (noted, not modeled).执行 = 下一港股交易节收盘价(fill_basis="close")。无涨跌停 — 港股无每日限制。账本层忽略手数(已注明,未建模)。 Halt law: if the exec session has no print, fill at the first traded session within 5 sessions, else the fire is voided (halt_voided counter). A name halted >5 consecutive sessions inside a grade window grades to last trade with halted=true — never silent ffill.停牌法则:若执行节无成交,在5节内首个有成交节入场,否则触发撤销(halt_voided计数)。评级窗口内连续停牌>5节的个股以最后成交价评级并标记halted=true — 绝不静默填充。

Organ staleness (HKPL-R7)器官陈旧度(HKPL-R7)

A book input staler than 2 HK sessions disables that book for the night (fail-closed). The disabled_stale_nights counter on the scoreboard tracks how many nights each organ-dependent book was suppressed.书的输入数据超过2个港股交易节将使该书当夜停用(故障关闭)。记分板上的disabled_stale_nights计数器跟踪每本器官依存书被抑制的夜数。

HK kill laws (spec §8)HK禁止法则(规格§8)

NO residual/selection momentum ranks. NO southbound delta-ranking (SB_ACCUM organ signal = legal). NO COILED books for HK. NO Connect-inclusion event books.无残差/选择动量排名。无南向资金增量排名(SB_ACCUM器官信号 = 合法)。无HK盘绕书。无互联互通纳入事件书。 Inverse books (Knife Avoid, Chase Avoid) are AVOID books — expected negative excess. The 20 books use beta-role, organ-state, and leverage-mechanics constructions — not momentum factors.反向书(刀口规避、追涨规避)是规避书 — 预期负超额。20本书使用贝塔角色、器官状态和杠杆机制构造 — 而非动量因子。

Controls (HKPL-R5)控制变量(HKPL-R5)

Every book is measured against two yardsticks: (1) the HK Random Control book (8 deterministic-random liquid names, seed = sha256(engine_id+asof)), visible in the scoreboard; and (2) the universe buy-anytime base rate. Every headline number is lift over both.每本书均与两个基准进行比较:(1)HK随机控制书(8个确定性随机流动名称,种子=sha256(engine_id+asof)),在记分板中可见;以及(2)全市场随时买入基准率。每个标题数字是相对于两者的提升。

ACCRUING floor (HKPL-R6)累积下限(HKPL-R6)

No verdict language before n≥25 fires spanning ≥3 calendar months and ≥6 distinct fire dates. Refire lockout: 21 sessions (HKPL-R6). Max 8 picks/day (small HK universe ~160 names).在n≥25次触发跨越≥3个日历月和≥6个不同触发日期之前,无结论语言。重触锁定:21节(HKPL-R6)。每日最多8个选择(港股小宇宙约160只)。 Until then, the status badge reads ACCRUING.在此之前,状态徽章显示ACCRUING。

No Long-Hold grid (HKPL-R9)无长持网格(HKPL-R9)

HK long-hold grids are deliberately deferred: the H3/H2a edges are already accruing under their own programs. Revisit only with dedicated pre-registration.HK长持网格被故意推迟:H3/H2a优势已在各自程序下累积。仅凭专用预注册方可重新审视。

Candidate families候选族

  • A — 1D Velocity:1日速度: 5 books — same-day entry timing; a turn off a washout; overnight confirmation from the US listing; blast-offs the slower frame missed; and the risk backdrop.5 本书 — 当日入场时机;从低位转上来;美股 ADR 隔夜确认;较慢周期漏掉的起飞;以及整体风险环境。
  • B — Washout/Ignition (organ):洗盘/点火(器官): 5 books — ignition_watch strongest state; washout×SB_ACCUM confluence; washout×buyback; pullback second-chance entry; Knife Avoid INVERSE (knife_risk=True).5本书 — ignition_watch最强状态;洗盘×南向积累汇流;洗盘×回购;回调第二次机会入场;刀口规避反向(knife_risk=True)。
  • C — HK-unique structure:HK特有结构: 4 books — CBBC bear-skew forced-buy fuel; A/H discount value (H3 near-GO); short squeeze (SFC pressure+RSI reclaim); catalyst+narrative attention shock.4本书 — CBBC空头偏斜强制买入燃料;A/H折价价值(H3接近通过);轧空(SFC压力+RSI收复);催化剂+叙事关注冲击。
  • D — Beta/Regime:贝塔/状态: 3 books — amplifiers on Risk-on; cushions on Risk-off; HIBOR EASY liquidity + washout_2w rebound.3本书 — 风险偏好开启时的放大器;风险回避时的缓冲;HIBOR宽松流动性+2周洗盘反弹。
  • E — Ablations + Controls:消融+控制: 3 books — flagship no-gate ablation (edge_z, no signal-gate grouping); Chase Avoid INVERSE (chase_risk state, RSI≥70 gapped); HK Random Control yardstick.3本书 — 旗舰无门消融(edge_z,无信号门分组);追涨规避反向(chase_risk状态,RSI≥70跳空);HK随机控制基准。

Clocks时钟

  • 2026-08-20 — first operator read; 1D-vs-stale-cross diagnostic first look; prune degenerate books.2026-08-20 — 第一次操作员读取;1日vs迟滞交叉诊断首次查看;修剪退化书本。
  • 2026-10-09 — floor-eligible verdict window (n≥25/≥3mo/≥6 dates) for high-frequency books.2026-10-09 — 高频书的达标评判窗口(n≥25/≥3月/≥6日期)。
  • 2027-01 — H3 come-back clock; hklab_ah_value re-baselines if H3 promotes/changes.2027-01 — H3回归时钟;H3晋升/变更时hklab_ah_value重新基准。

Notes from last run上次运行说明

HK Pick Lab — display-only forward-evidence lab. All books ACCRUING until n≥25 fires / ≥3 months / ≥6 distinct fire dates (HKPL-R6). hklab_random_ctrl = yardstick. Primary ruler: 21d ^HSI excess (HKPL-R3). Execution: next HK session close (fill_basis=close); no price limits (HKPL-R4). Halt law: no print at exec → first traded within 5 sessions; else halt_voided. Organ-dependent books disabled when organ data staler than 2 HK sessions (HKPL-R7). Authority: display_only. Never gates or scores anything.

Authority: display_only. All rows carry authority: "display_only" per HKPL-R1.授权:仅展示。所有行按照HKPL-R1携带授权:"display_only"。 · Built生成时间 2026-09-15 12:59 UTC