🧠 China Intelligence中国情报中心
Central synthesis of five China surfaces — what matters most, cross-surface conviction, flagged tickers · context only · as of五个中国面板的中央综合——最重要的事、跨面板共振、标记个股 · 仅供参考 · 截至 2026-10-30
Cold-start feeds (no prior window yet — cannot detect APPEARED/DROPPED):刚启动的数据源（还没有历史窗口，无法判断新增或消失）： csrc, ndrc, pboc, peoples_daily, state_council
No recent phrase-shift events in the last 14 days.最近 14 天内无政策表述变化事件。
⚠ Salience-only — direction unproven (accruing)仅显著性——方向未验证（台账积累中）
Independence-weighted confluence across radar · alt-data · news · policy · risk-appetite, ranked by OPPORTUNITY (edge-remaining × leading-gap) — leading ideas promoted, priced/confirmed ones demoted. Context salience, never a position size.跨雷达·另类数据·新闻·政策·风险偏好的独立性加权共振，按机会度（剩余空间×领先差）排序——领先的提升、已定价的降级。仅为显著性，绝非仓位。
| Sector板块 | Opportunity机会度 | Stage阶段 | Conviction置信 | Edge left剩余空间 | Surfaces面板 | Read解读 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New-energy vehicle新能源车 ▲ | 40.0 | Emerging萌芽 ↑2 | 35.7 Moderate中性 | radaraltdata
news: magnitude-only — sign unproven (accruing)新闻：仅幅度——方向未验证（台账积累中） |
radar Sector net-flow → New-energy vehicle · 5 China headlines · 13 alt-data members accumulating · emerging (leading the crowd)雷达 板块净流入 → 新能源车 · 该主题 5 条头条 · 13 只成员吸筹 · 萌芽（领先于人群） 宁德时代 (300750.SZ) · 湖南裕能 (301358.SZ) · 亿纬锂能 (300014.SZ) |
|
| Coal煤炭 ▼ | 21.7 | Consensus共识 ↑2 | 44.8 Moderate中性 | radaraltdataconditions | radar Sector net-flow → Coal · 4 alt-data members distributing · risk-on tape · consensus (leading the crowd)雷达 板块净流入 → 煤炭 · 4 只成员派发 · 风险偏好 · 共识（领先于人群） 中煤能源 (601898.SS) · 600925.SS (600925.SS) · 陕西煤业 (601225.SS) |
|
| Banks银行 ▼ | 18.3 | Consensus共识 ↑1 | 35.3 Moderate中性 | radarpolicyconditions
news: magnitude-only — sign unproven (accruing)新闻：仅幅度——方向未验证（台账积累中） |
radar Credit impulse (TSF) → Banks · 27 China headlines · 4 alt-data members distributing · policy tailwind · risk-on tape · consensus (leading the crowd)雷达 信用脉冲(社融) → 银行 · 该主题 27 条头条 · 4 只成员派发 · 政策顺风 · 风险偏好 · 共识（领先于人群） 建设银行 (601939.SS) · 农业银行 (601288.SS) · 交通银行 (601328.SS) |
|
| Nonferrous metals有色金属 ▲ | 14.9 | Emerging萌芽 ↑2 | 23.0 Low偏弱 | radaraltdata
news: magnitude-only — sign unproven (accruing)新闻：仅幅度——方向未验证（台账积累中） |
radar PPI reflation → Nonferrous metals · 5 China headlines · 10 alt-data members accumulating · emerging (leading the crowd)雷达 PPI再通胀 → 有色金属 · 该主题 5 条头条 · 10 只成员吸筹 · 萌芽（领先于人群） 宏桥控股 (002379.SZ) · 天山铝业 (002532.SZ) · 中国铝业 (601600.SS) |
|
| Defense国防军工 ▼ | 14.6 | Early早期 ↑1 | 17.9 Low偏弱 | radarconditions
news: magnitude-only — sign unproven (accruing)新闻：仅幅度——方向未验证（台账积累中） |
radar Sector net-flow → Defense · 1 China headlines · 5 alt-data members distributing · risk-on tape · early (leading the crowd)雷达 板块净流入 → 国防军工 · 该主题 1 条头条 · 5 只成员派发 · 风险偏好 · 早期（领先于人群） 航天电器 (002025.SZ) · 航天电子 (600879.SS) · 中国卫星 (600118.SS) |
|
| Defense国防军工 ▼ | 14.3 | Early早期 ↑1 | 17.7 Low偏弱 | radarconditions
news: magnitude-only — sign unproven (accruing)新闻：仅幅度——方向未验证（台账积累中） |
radar Southbound flow → Defense · 1 China headlines · 5 alt-data members distributing · risk-on tape · early (leading the crowd)雷达 南向资金 → 国防军工 · 该主题 1 条头条 · 5 只成员派发 · 风险偏好 · 早期（领先于人群） 航天电器 (002025.SZ) · 航天电子 (600879.SS) · 中国卫星 (600118.SS) |
🧠 AI cross-surface synthesisAI 跨面板综合 (deterministic only — AI read unavailable仅确定性——AI解读不可用 · not_wired)
Names lit by ≥2 surfaces (alt-data accumulation inside a radar-lit, news-covered theme). Context watchlist, not a recommendation.被≥2个面板点亮的个股（位于雷达点亮、新闻覆盖主题内的另类数据吸筹）。背景自选，非推荐。
Ranked by opportunity = signal × edge-remaining × leading-gap — NOT by desk agreement. Emerging = altdata/radar leading while news/board are still quiet.按机会评分排序 = 信号 × 剩余边际 × 领先差值 — 非按共识排序。萌芽 = 另类数据/雷达领先，新闻/买入板尚静。 context only仅供参考 Universe覆盖: 233 · Emerging萌芽: 0 · Early早期: 58 · No-price无价格: 3
| Ticker代码 | Name名称 | Desks台 | Stage阶段 | Edge剩余边际 | Opp机会 | RS/Off-HighRS/偏离高点 | Read · What changes it读数 · 改判条件 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 000563.SZ | 陕国投A |
|
Early早期 | 86% | 72 | RS +6% -24%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~86% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 86%。
|
| 000813.SZ | 000813.SZ |
|
Distribution派发 | 93% | 72 | RS -2% -39%H |
Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。
|
| 000030.SZ | 000030.SZ |
|
Early早期 | 91% | 72 | RS +2% -38%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~91% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 91%。
|
| 000676.SZ | 智度投资 |
|
Early早期 | 85% | 70 | RS +7% -37%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~85% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 85%。
|
| 600739.SS | 600739.SS |
|
Early早期 | 88% | 69 | RS +4% -26%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~88% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 88%。
|
| 600305.SS | 恒顺醋业 |
|
Early早期 | 80% | 62 | RS +12% -20%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~80% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 80%。
|
| 002352.SZ | 顺丰控股 |
|
Early早期 | 74% | 61 | RS +17% -19%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~74% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 74%。
|
| 603919.SS | 金徽酒 |
|
Early早期 | 77% | 60 | RS +14% -33%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~77% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 77%。
|
| 002946.SZ | 新乳业 |
|
Early早期 | 70% | 55 | RS +20% -19%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~70% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 70%。
|
| 300750.SZ | 宁德时代 |
|
Faltering走弱 | 63% | 47 | RS -11% -49%H |
Price rolling over while desks remain constructive — wait for stabilization.价格已转弱而各台仍偏乐观——等待企稳。 ⚠ price is rolling over (20d drawdown + RS falling); radar signal unproven (0 reso价格正在转弱（20 日回撤 + 相对强度走低）；雷达信号尚未验证（已结算样本为
|
| 002958.SZ | 青农商行 |
|
Early早期 | 61% | 47 | RS +15% -8%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~61% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 61%。
|
| 688808.SS | 联讯仪器 |
|
Faltering走弱 | 63% | 41 | RS -32% -52%H |
Price rolling over while desks remain constructive — wait for stabilization.价格已转弱而各台仍偏乐观——等待企稳。 ⚠ price is rolling over (20d drawdown + RS falling)价格正在转弱（20 日回撤 + 相对强度走低）
|
| 301696.SZ | 三瑞智能 |
|
Faltering走弱 | 63% | 41 | RS -6% -51%H |
Price rolling over while desks remain constructive — wait for stabilization.价格已转弱而各台仍偏乐观——等待企稳。 ⚠ price is rolling over (20d drawdown + RS falling)价格正在转弱（20 日回撤 + 相对强度走低）
|
| 301358.SZ | 湖南裕能 |
|
Early早期 | 93% | 23 | RS -0% -58%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~93% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 93%。 ⚠ radar signal unproven (0 resolved outcomes)雷达信号尚未验证（已结算样本为 0）
|
| 300014.SZ | 亿纬锂能 |
|
Early早期 | 83% | 18 | RS +6% -46%H |
A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~83% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 83%。 ⚠ radar signal unproven (0 resolved outcomes)雷达信号尚未验证（已结算样本为 0）
|
| Ticker代码 | Name名称 | Desks台 | Stage阶段 | Edge剩余边际 | Opp机会 | RS/Off-HighRS/偏离高点 | Read读数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601898.SS | 中煤能源 |
|
Distribution派发 | 81% | 17 | RS +11% -28%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 600925.SS | 苏能股份 |
|
Distribution派发 | 72% | 15 | RS +14% -15%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 601288.SS | 农业银行 |
|
Distribution派发 | 56% | 11 | RS +21% -10%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 601225.SS | 陕西煤业 |
|
Distribution派发 | 44% | 9 | RS +19% -0%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 601939.SS | 建设银行 |
|
Distribution派发 | 44% | 9 | RS +19% -0%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 002379.SZ | 宏桥控股 |
|
Early早期 | 93% | 8 | RS -1% -55%H | A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~93% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 93%。 |
| 601328.SS | 交通银行 |
|
Distribution派发 | 42% | 8 | RS +24% +0%H | Desks lean bearish and price is rolling over — distribution phase.各台偏空且价格转弱——派发阶段。 |
| 002532.SZ | 天山铝业 |
|
Early早期 | 84% | 8 | RS +8% -41%H | A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~84% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 84%。 |
| 601600.SS | 中国铝业 |
|
Early早期 | 83% | 8 | RS +9% -46%H | A leading desk is ahead of the crowd — early, ~83% edge remaining.已有一个台走在市场前面——早期阶段，剩余边际约 83%。 |
| 600879.SS | 航天电子 |
|
Exhausted见顶 | 73% | 7 | RS -2% -60%H | Already priced-in across desks — late, only ~73% edge remaining.各台均已充分计价——偏晚，剩余边际仅约 73%。 |
| 600118.SS | 中国卫星 |
|
Quiet平静 | 82% | 7 | RS +7% -54%H | No strong cross-desk signal — monitoring.跨台无明显信号——持续观察。 |
| 002025.SZ | 航天电器 |
|
Exhausted见顶 | 63% | 6 | RS -23% -48%H | Already priced-in across desks — late, only ~63% edge remaining.各台均已充分计价——偏晚，剩余边际仅约 63%。 |
| 688137.SS | 688137.SS |
|
Consensus共识 | 40% | 33 | no price plane / 无价格数据 | Multiple desks agree with price confirmed — consensus, ~40% edge remaining.多个台意见一致且价格确认——共识阶段，剩余边际约 40%。 |
| 600496.SS | 精工钢构 |
|
Consensus共识 | 40% | 32 | no price plane / 无价格数据 | Multiple desks agree with price confirmed — consensus, ~40% edge remaining.多个台意见一致且价格确认——共识阶段，剩余边际约 40%。 |
| 688203.SS | 688203.SS |
|
Consensus共识 | 40% | 30 | no price plane / 无价格数据 | Multiple desks agree with price confirmed — consensus, ~40% edge remaining.多个台意见一致且价格确认——共识阶段，剩余边际约 40%。 |
Investor-relations visit filings投资者关系活动调研备案 · coverage begins覆盖始于 2026-08-20
Off-desk leading signals — names not yet on any desk. Margin Velocity lane is experimental (Phase-0 accruing, contributes zero to ranking).离板块领先信号——尚未出现在任何台的个股。融资速度栏为实验性（阶段0积累，不计入排名）。
| Horizon期限 | P25 | Median中位 | P75 | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | -2.5% | -0.0% | +2.7% | 12 |
| 60d | -4.6% | -1.7% | +2.0% | 12 |
| 120d | -3.6% | +1.1% | +4.0% | 11 |
DISPLAY ONLY. Historical analogs are descriptive summaries of past regime similarity. They are not signals, forecasts, or recommendations. Past market paths under similar regimes do not predict future returns.仅供展示。历史相似情景是对过去制度相似性的描述性总结，不构成任何信号、预测或投资建议。过去在类似制度下的市场走势不代表未来收益。
site/china_intel/briefing.json (china_intel.briefing.v6) and与 digest.json. The future China Mastermind reads them as context — never a size or a trade.未来的中国 Mastermind 将其作为背景读取——绝非仓位或交易。
Context only — not a signal, score or trade. A fan-in of five display/context-only China intelligence surfaces (news, central-bank & policy, alternative data, divergence radar, central analysis), bundled for the China Mastermind to read as background. Nothing here is an input to any score, signal, regime or allocation.仅作背景，非信号、评分或交易。这是五个仅供展示／背景的中国情报面板（新闻、央行与政策、另类数据、背离雷达、中央分析）的汇总，供中国 Mastermind 作为背景读取。其中没有任何内容会进入任何评分、信号、区制或配置。