Coverage receipt覆盖情况说明

Universe:样本： 174 names tracked个标的追踪中

Price data:价格数据： 174 / 174 covered已覆盖

Revision data:预测修订数据： 139 / 174 — 35 names lack analyst coverage and receive no revision signals.个标的缺少分析师覆盖，不含预测修订信号。

Analyst rating data:分析师评级数据： unavailable — the crowding signal that reads it stays blank.不可用 — 依赖它的拥挤信号留空。

4H data available for select core names only; null-honest elsewhere

Machine state机器状态 labels appear only in receipts and the field guide. Glance tier uses plain English only.标签仅出现在说明弹窗和字段指南中。概览层仅使用通俗语言。

What does the market regime mean?"市场制度"是什么意思？

The market's internal structure is checked across breadth conditions: what share of stocks are above their 200-day average, how correlated they are, whether leadership is concentrated in a few mega-caps, and whether a rare breadth thrust event fired.市场内部结构通过多项广度条件检验：多少股票站在200日均线以上、相关性高低、领涨是否集中于少数超大盘股，以及是否触发罕见的广度冲击事件。

Breadth and dispersion mixed — no clear regime宽度与分散度交织——无明确格局

Machine label:机器标签： mixed · display only仅供展示

Breadth legs read the broad market (502 names); this desk tracks 174.广度指标取自大盘（502只）；本雷达追踪174只。

Leader Radar龙头雷达 · Early-entry desk早期入场
Mixed tape多空交织
Watch — don't chase观察——勿追高
Stocks staged before the crowd arrives — this desk describes stages and prints its evidence. Observation, not prediction.在人群涌入前已布局的股票——本台只描述阶段并列出证据。观察，非预测。
42
10-day breadth10日广度
Breadth and dispersion mixed — no clear regime.宽度与分散度交织——格局未明。
→ Narrows if breadth holds under 40% · broadens on a thrust over 61%.若广度维持40%以下则收窄 · 若升破61%则转普涨。
17 quietly building静默筑底 2 in ignition点火中 3 leading领涨中
174 names tracked个标的追踪中 139 with revision data有预测修订数据 Data through Sep 11 close · updates nightly数据截至9月11日收盘 · 每晚更新 State tracking since Jul 11状态追踪自7月11日起 · 10-session gap缺口10个交易日 ?
The lifecycle生命周期 where the universe sits tonight今夜全样本分布 ?
Left for dead无人问津
7
First stirrings初现异动
›
Quiet build静默筑底
17
Watch — don't chase观察勿追
›
Ignition点火窗口
2
Get ready做好准备
›
Breaking突破启动
3
In motion运行中
›
Leading领涨中
0
In favour受青睐
›
Crowded过度拥挤
0
Protect gains保护盈利
Dormant沉寂 145 Building筑底 24 Live活跃 5
32 failed breaks突破失败 113 no signal无信号 ABNBACLSADBEADPADSKAMATASMLAXON +24
Tonight's focus今夜焦点 ? Overnight moves, graded for entry — late movers get flagged, not celebrated隔夜变化按入场质量分级——已错过的标注勿追，不吹捧
Worth a look值得关注 — staged, not extended蓄势·未过热
APH → Breaking away突破启动 from Failed break来自突破失败 FANG → Quiet build静默筑底 PG → Quiet build静默筑底
Turnaround attempts反转尝试 — long downtrend still intact — watch only长期下行未改——仅观察
META → Ignition window点火窗口 below its 200-day for a year低于200日线已一年
One signal away差一个信号 KDP Obv DivergenceObv Divergence ALNY Obv DivergenceObv Divergence META Bw EmergingBw Emerging
Also另有 7 names cooled out of earlier stages个标的自早前阶段回落 CRM · GILD · MSTR · NFLX · SHW · SNOW · SNPS
Even complete setups fail roughly 4 times in 10 — every card here is a watch item, not a trade signal. Outcomes accrue in the fire receipts below.即使条件齐备，历史上约四成仍会失败——每张卡片都是观察项，非交易信号。结果记录见下方触发回执。
Early entry board早入场看板 — hero核心
Ignition window点火窗口
2
META
3s tracked已追踪3个交易日
All signals in信号齐备
MACD crossed ↑ todayMACD今日上穿
Downtrend intact — turnaround attempt only下行趋势未改——仅为反转尝试
NVDA
8s tracked已追踪8个交易日
Building酝酿中
Quiet build静默筑底
17
KDP
12s tracked已追踪12个交易日
Strengthening增强中
CSCO
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Building酝酿中
MACD crossing ↑MACD即将上穿 · ~5 days天
Options ceiling just above — price tends to stall there上方紧邻期权天花板——价格倾向在此停滞
GS
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Building酝酿中
MACD crossing ↑MACD即将上穿 · ~3 days天
INTU
2s tracked已追踪2个交易日
Building酝酿中
Downtrend intact — turnaround attempt only下行趋势未改——仅为反转尝试
Options pricing a bigger move than usual期权定价高于平常的波动
+13 more in this lane个标的在此区间
First stirrings初动迹象
7 left for dead无人问津
NKE
34s tracked已追踪34个交易日
All signals in信号齐备
ISRG
3s tracked已追踪3个交易日
Strengthening增强中
CAMT
8s tracked已追踪8个交易日
Strengthening增强中
AEIS
11s tracked已追踪11个交易日
Strengthening增强中
3 without lead signs — ignore for now个无领先信号——暂不关注
Handoff watch接力观察
Stretched leaders basing — who steps up next已超伸领涨股筑底 — 谁将接棒
No handoff candidates today今日无接力候选
Nothing is extended enough to trigger a handoff watch. When names in Breaking away become stretched, candidates appear here.目前无标的超伸至触发接力观察。当"突破启动"中的标的超伸时，候选将出现在此处。
Closest to stretched — basket extension check最接近超伸 — 篮子伸展检查
Ai SoftwareAI软件 stretched further above trend than 5 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去5成时间
Semicap Equipment半导体设备 stretched further above trend than 4 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去4成时间 · strength rolling over相对强度回落中
Mag7七巨头 stretched further above trend than 3 of 10 past readings伸展度超过过去3成时间
Rerating watch重估观察
Estimates turning up while still cheap预期上调而估值仍低 — 3 with a live signal有活跃信号
APH Breaking away突破启动
Estimates ↑盈利预期↑ Broad breadth广泛修正
MSFT Breaking away突破启动
Estimates ↑盈利预期↑ Broad breadth广泛修正
NVDA No signal无信号
Estimates ↑盈利预期↑ Broad breadth广泛修正 Earnings <14d财报<14天
CEG Breaking away突破启动
Earnings <14d财报<14天 watching — no rerating signal yet观察中——暂无重估信号
META No signal无信号
watching — no rerating signal yet观察中——暂无重估信号
Valuation-compression leg is seeding — snapshot history still young, so the "cheap vs history" chip is quiet.估值压缩指标积累中——快照历史尚浅，"估值处于低位"暂不显示。
Fire log触发记录
Date日期 Ticker代码 Type类型 21d vs market21日超额
2026-09-04 MSTR Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-09-04 CEG Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 SNOW Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 NVDA Pre-launch watch起飞前观察 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 NOW Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 CRM Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 ADSK Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-27 ADBE Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-12 ZS Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-12 CSCO Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-07 SHOP Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-07 CTSH Breakout entry突破入场 +1.8%
2026-08-07 ABNB Breakout entry突破入场 -6.8%
2026-08-05 PLTR Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-05 PANW Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-05 DXCM Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-05 DELL Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-05 DASH Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-05 APH Breakout entry突破入场 accruing累计中
2026-08-03 AMZN Pre-launch watch起飞前观察 accruing累计中
Fires are logged and graded automatically after 21 sessions; sample too small for a track record yet.触发自动记录，21个交易日后自动评分；样本尚少，未成往绩。
Full board完整看板 All全部 174 names · dense view个标的 · 密集视图
▼
Ticker代码 Stage阶段 Stance建议 Evidence证据 Days天数 Momentum动量
Breaking away突破启动 3 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 In motion — don't chase行情进行中——勿追
Quiet build静默筑底 17 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Watch — don't chase观察——勿追高
Ignition window点火窗口 2 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Get ready做好准备
Left for dead无人问津 7 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Ignore暂不关注
Failed break突破失败 32 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Stand aside观望回避
No signal无信号 113 names个 · click to expand/collapse点击展开/折叠 Ignore暂不关注
Field guide — Stage anatomy实战手册 — 阶段解析
What each stage means in plain words. Machine names are in parentheses inside each section.每个阶段的通俗释义。机器内部名称括注于各节内部。
Left for dead — First stirrings无人问津 — 初动迹象►
Machine state: SUPPRESSED / 机器状态：SUPPRESSEDMachine state: SUPPRESSED / 机器状态：SUPPRESSED
RS underperforming for ≥3 months, drawdown ≥25% from 52-week high, valuation often in cheap territory. Sometimes years below the 200dma. Key question: is the compression cyclical or structural?RS连续≥3个月跑输大盘，自52周高点回撤≥25%，估值通常处于低廉区间。有时在200日均线下方数年。关键问题：压缩是周期性的还是结构性的？
Lead indicators:领先指标： revision_positive (cut cycle ending), cheap valuation pctile, insider_cluster, OBV divergence盈利预期转正（削减周期结束）、低廉估值分位、内部人增持、成交量-价格背离
Quiet build — Watch, don't chase静默筑底 — 观察，勿追►
Machine state: QUIET_ACCUMULATION / 机器状态：QUIET_ACCUMULATIONMachine state: QUIET_ACCUMULATION / 机器状态：QUIET_ACCUMULATION
Base forming: 60-day range compression. At least 2 of: revision cycle turning positive (revision_positive), RS slope turning up while long-term RS still negative (rs_turn), accumulation-day count building (accum_evidence), OBV making new highs while price has not (obv_divergence). Highest-ROI watch stage.筑底形成：60日区间压缩。至少2项：预测周期开始转正（revision_positive），RS斜率上升但长期RS仍为负（rs_turn），积累日计数增加（accum_evidence），OBV创新高而价格未创（obv_divergence）。回报率最高的观察阶段。
Lead:领先： rs_turn, revision_positive, obv_divergence相对大盘转强、盈利预期转正、底部买盘积累
Lag:滞后： price confirming (bw_emerging)价格确认（突破酝酿中）
Ignition window — Get ready点火窗口 — 做好准备►
Machine state: CATALYST_WINDOW / 机器状态：CATALYST_WINDOWMachine state: CATALYST_WINDOW / 机器状态：CATALYST_WINDOW
Ignition trigger within 10 sessions: gap ≥+5% on ≥2× 20-day volume (gap_ignition), breakaway watch emerging (bw_emerging), or RS-line making 126-day new high while price has not (rs_line_nh — RS leads price). The Stage-2 foundation is a necessary precondition — ignition without a base almost always reverts.10个交易日内出现点火触发：跳空≥+5%且成交量≥20日均量的2倍（gap_ignition），突破观察新兴（bw_emerging），或RS线创126日新高而价格未创（rs_line_nh — RS领先价格）。阶段2基础是必要前提 — 无基础的点火几乎总是反转。
Strongest leading observable:最强领先可观测指标： rs_line_nh相对强度先于股价创新高
Confirm:确认： a volume gap up, a breakout building, momentum turning up放量跳空上行、突破酝酿中、2日MACD上穿
Breaking away — In motion突破启动 — 行情进行中►
Machine state: BREAKAWAY / 机器状态：BREAKAWAYMachine state: BREAKAWAY / 机器状态：BREAKAWAY
Detector-D onset: liquid ∧ rel-breakaway ∧ 63d-new-high ∧ vol-confirm. Continuation: RS top-decile persistence ≥4 weeks (rs_top_decile_4w). Concentration fingerprint: leader RS-accel > 0 while same-basket peer-median RS < 0 (peer_divergence).突破探测器D启动：流动性 ∧ 相对突破 ∧ 63日新高 ∧ 成交量确认。延续：RS前十分位持续≥4周（rs_top_decile_4w）。集中度指纹：领头者RS加速>0，同伴中位RS<0（peer_divergence）。
Crowded — Protect gains过度拥挤 — 保护利润►
Machine state: CROWDED / 机器状态：CROWDEDMachine state: CROWDED / 机器状态：CROWDED
≥3 of: extension ≥25% vs 50dma (extension_extreme), monthly RSI ≥80 (monthly_rsi_80), parabolic (parabolic), valuation ≥80th pctile 5y (valuation_extreme), analyst buy-share ≥85% (analyst_saturated), basket-correlation ≥0.75 rising from below 0.5 (basket_corr_rising). Late-stage; handoff watch most relevant.≥3项：超伸≥25%（extension_extreme），月RSI≥80（monthly_rsi_80），抛物线（parabolic），估值≥5年80分位（valuation_extreme），分析师买入比例≥85%（analyst_saturated），篮子相关性≥0.75且从低于0.5上升（basket_corr_rising）。后期阶段；接力观察最为重要。
A seventh condition — call-skew richness (call_skew_rich) — is measured nightly but does not count toward the ≥3 while we check whether it carries information; on this options history it has so far behaved like chance. It is shown on the row, never counted.第七项条件——看涨偏斜过高（call_skew_rich）——每晚计算，但在检验其是否具备信息量期间不计入≥3；就目前的期权历史而言，其表现与随机无异。仅在行内显示，不计入统计。
Failed break — Stand aside突破失败 — 观望回避►
Machine state: FAILED / 机器状态：FAILEDMachine state: FAILED / 机器状态：FAILED
Breakaway attempt that reversed — Detector-D "failed" state (bw_failed). Evidence dissipated. Not a permanent label: a name can re-accumulate and re-enter Quiet build (21-session + full de-escalation lockout before the ledger refires).突破尝试后反转 — 突破探测器D"失败"状态（bw_failed）。证据消散。不是永久标签：标的可重新积累并重进静默筑底（台账重新触发前需21个交易日 + 完全去升级锁定）。
Signal classification & base rates信号分类与基础成功率►

A fire badge means the engine logged the event — not that an outcome is expected. Fires are logged and graded automatically after 21 sessions; sample too small for a track record yet.触发标记意味着引擎记录了该事件，而非预期某种结果。触发自动记录，21个交易日后自动评分；样本尚少，未成往绩。

Lead signals (appear before price):领先信号（先于价格出现）： rs_line_nh, revision_positive, obv_divergence, insider_cluster相对强度先于股价创新高、盈利预期转正、底部买盘悄然积累、内部人增持
Confirm signals (coincide with price):确认信号（与价格同步）： a volume gap up, a breakout building, quiet accumulation, momentum turning up放量跳空上行、突破酝酿中、成交量温和吸筹、2日MACD上穿
Lag signals (appear after price):滞后信号（价格后出现）： analyst_saturated, call_skew_rich分析师一致看多、看涨期权被追捧
Value-trap question:价值陷阱问题： Is the multiple compression cyclical or structural? The chip prints the observable; the answer is yours to supply.估值倍数压缩是周期性还是结构性？信号指标呈现可观测指标；答案需要你自己判断。