📡 Signal Intelligence Desk信号情报台

Alternative Data另类数据

Where independent public-record channels — congressional & insider buying, federal-contract acceleration, lobbying, dark-pool flow, smart-money 13F, app-store demand, patents — and the affiliations of influential actors line up on the same name. We surface the connection, score the conviction, grade every call against the tape, and emit it to the portfolio bot.当多条独立的公开记录信号——国会与内部人买入、联邦合同加速、游说、暗池资金流、聪明钱13F、应用商店需求、专利——与有影响力人物的关联在同一标的上对齐时浮现出来。我们呈现关联、评估置信、用市场检验每个判断,并将其传输给组合机器人。

Quiver Quantitative (Trader plan) As of截至 2026-10-29 22 actors人物 · 105 edges关系 mastermind.json ↗ feed.json ↗ GRADED · 5d hit 53% [CI≥39%]已评级 · 5d 命中 53% [CI≥39%]
Actionable signals可操作信号
81
ranked, ≥2 channels or an affiliation已排名,≥2通道或一项关联
Top conviction最高置信
IBM
score评分 71 · low
Affiliated tickers关联标的
33
actor → name connections人物→标的连接
Ledger战绩
52%
489 scored vs SPY对标普已评分
Brain readAI解读 The strongest measured convergence sits in enterprise technology and semiconductors, but several signals face near-term earnings risk and the track record has only two scored observations. IBM and MU offer the cleanest non-extended alignment; MSFT has credible convergence but is already extended.目前最强的可测量多信号汇聚集中在企业科技与半导体,但多个标的临近财报,而且历史记录仅有两条已评分样本。IBM 与 MU 是最清晰且未过度延伸的信号组合;MSFT 的汇聚也较可信,但股价已经过度延伸。

Conviction board置信榜 ranked actionable signals — convergence × affiliation × AI conviction, graded vs SPY已排名的可操作信号——汇聚×关联×AI置信,对标普评分 GRADED · 5d hit 53% [CI≥39%]已评级 · 5d 命中 53% [CI≥39%]

Context only — not yet cleared as actionable: insufficient-n: n=17 < min_n=25仅作背景参考 — 尚未获准作为可操作信号:insufficient-n: n=17 < min_n=25

71
score评分
IBM ACCUMULATE low long AI +10pp 60d
Developer adoption开发者采用Contracts accelerating合同加速AI-model adoptionAI模型采用Insider sentiment内部人情绪Patent cluster专利集群
Five independent channels align: sharply accelerating federal-contract activity, positive insider positioning, a large patent cluster, developer momentum and model-download momentum [gov_contract_accel] [insider_mspr] [patent_cluster] [github_momentum] [hf_model_momentum]. Relative strength is positive but not extended, preserving an entry, although earnings in four trading days create material event risk.Five independent channels align: sharply accelerating federal-contract activity, positive insider positioning, a large patent cluster, developer momentum and model-download momentum [gov_contract_accel] [insider_mspr] [patent_cluster] [github_momentum] [hf_model_momentum]. Relative strength is positive but not extended, preserving an entry, although earnings in four trading days create material event risk.
↳ 2nd/3rd-order二三级: Enterprise AI infrastructure — IBM's contract and developer momentum implies continued spending on hybrid-cloud integration and supporting data infrastructure. · Government IT services — accelerating federal awards can support implementation, cybersecurity and systems-integration demand.
63
score评分
AAPL WATCH high +12pp 60d
13F add机构加仓Influence link影响力关联Lobbying游说Patent cluster专利集群
🔗 Dan Crenshaw (holds stake) · Paul Pelosi (affiliates with) · Marjorie Taylor Greene (affiliates with) · Warren Buffett (affiliates with)
59
score评分
MSFT WATCH low long AI extended已拉伸 Trump-linked特朗普关联 +35pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联App demand应用需求Developer adoption开发者采用Lobbying游说Patent cluster专利集群Trump trade特朗普交易
App demand, patent activity, the Sam Altman partnership link and a positive Trump-linked signal point in the same direction [app_demand] [patent_cluster] [actor:Sam Altman] [trump]. However, 60-day relative performance is above the extension threshold, so the underlying read is constructive but the entry is gone.App demand, patent activity, the Sam Altman partnership link and a positive Trump-linked signal point in the same direction [app_demand] [patent_cluster] [actor:Sam Altman] [trump]. However, 60-day relative performance is above the extension threshold, so the underlying read is constructive but the entry is gone.
🔗 Sam Altman (partners with) · Bill Ackman (affiliates with)
↳ 2nd/3rd-order二三级: Cloud data-center infrastructure — sustained application demand implies continued compute, networking and storage requirements. · Data-center power and cooling — cloud and AI capacity additions increase power-delivery and thermal-management needs. · Enterprise software integrators — broader AI application adoption creates implementation and migration work.
56
score评分
TSLA WATCH high Trump-linked特朗普关联 +25pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Retail buzz散户热度StockTwits bulls散户看涨Trump trade特朗普交易
🔗 Elon Musk (controls) · Larry Ellison (holds stake) · Cathie Wood (affiliates with)
52
score评分
PLTR WATCH high +24pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Gov contracts政府合同Retail buzz散户热度StockTwits bulls散户看涨
🔗 Marjorie Taylor Greene (holds stake) · Cathie Wood (affiliates with)
51
score评分
A WATCH medium +28pp 60d
Contracts accelerating合同加速Bullish news看多新闻Special situation特殊事件
50
score评分
CEG WATCH medium Trump-linked特朗普关联 -0pp 60d
Federal grant联邦补助Insider sentiment内部人情绪Trump trade特朗普交易
49
score评分
BRK.B WATCH medium Trump-linked特朗普关联 +6pp 60d
13F add机构加仓Influence link影响力关联Trump trade特朗普交易
🔗 Warren Buffett (controls)
48
score评分
CVX WATCH high Trump-linked特朗普关联 +25pp 60d
Analyst upgrades分析师上调Bullish news看多新闻Special situation特殊事件Trump trade特朗普交易
43
score评分
GME WATCH medium +13pp 60d
Activist 13D维权13DInsider cluster-buy内部人集群买入
43
score评分
QCOM WATCH medium +18pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Patent cluster专利集群Special situation特殊事件
🔗 Tommy Tuberville (holds stake)
40
score评分
TSM WATCH medium +4pp 60d
Congress cluster-buy国会集群买入Patent cluster专利集群
40
score评分
NVDA AVOID low short AI Trump-linked特朗普关联 -1pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Dark-pool accum暗池吸筹Developer adoption开发者采用Patent cluster专利集群Retail buzz散户热度Trump trade特朗普交易
Developer usage, model-download activity and patent formation align with disclosed political holdings and a positive Trump-linked signal [github_momentum] [patent_cluster] [affiliation] [trump] [actor:Nancy Pelosi] [actor:Marjorie Taylor Greene] [actor:Michael McCaul]. The shares are not extended on the supplied 60-day relative-strength measure, but retail buzz is less independent than the underlying developer channels and should not carry equal weight [retail_buzz].Developer usage, model-download activity and patent formation align with disclosed political holdings and a positive Trump-linked signal [github_momentum] [patent_cluster] [affiliation] [trump] [actor:Nancy Pelosi] [actor:Marjorie Taylor Greene] [actor:Michael McCaul]. The shares are not extended on the supplied 60-day relative-strength measure, but retail buzz is less independent than the underlying developer channels and should not carry equal weight [retail_buzz].
🔗 Jensen Huang (controls) · Nancy Pelosi (holds stake) · Marjorie Taylor Greene (holds stake) · Michael McCaul (holds stake) · Jim Cramer (talks about) · Paul Pelosi (affiliates with)
↳ 2nd/3rd-order二三级: Advanced semiconductor manufacturing — sustained accelerator demand implies continued leading-edge fabrication and packaging demand. · Data-center power and cooling — accelerator deployment increases electricity, thermal-management and facility requirements. · High-bandwidth memory — AI accelerators require memory-intensive system architectures.
⚠ lean 'overweight' → 'underweight' (deterministic witness); action 'ACCUMULATE' → 'AVOID' (deterministic ceiling)
40
score评分
MRK WATCH medium +14pp 60d
Phase-3 start三期启动FDA label expansion适应症扩展Special situation特殊事件

signal_score = weighted convergence + AI conviction + price confirmation − extension. action/direction from the Opus brain when present; otherwise a deterministic WATCH. Never an order — the bot sizes it through its own risk framework.signal_score = 加权汇聚 + AI置信 + 价格确认 − 拉伸。存在时由Opus大脑给出action/direction;否则为确定性WATCH。绝非下单——机器人通过自身风险框架进行仓位管理。

Newly converging新汇聚 entered or strengthened multi-channel convergence in the last 30 days — watch, not a buy近30天新进入或增强多通道汇聚 — 观察,非买入信号

Date日期 Ticker标的Event事件
2026-10-29 NFLX 🔗 3-channel convergence on NFLX🔗 NFLX 3通道汇聚
2026-10-29 TXT 🔗 2-channel convergence on TXT🔗 TXT 2通道汇聚
2026-10-29 A 🔗 3-channel convergence on A🔗 A 3通道汇聚
2026-10-29 NOC 🔗 2-channel convergence on NOC🔗 NOC 2通道汇聚
2026-10-29 MCHP 🔗 2-channel convergence on MCHP (Trump-linked)🔗 MCHP 2通道汇聚(特朗普关联)
2026-10-29 UNH 🔗 2-channel convergence on UNH🔗 UNH 2通道汇聚
2026-10-29 LMT 🔗 2-channel convergence on LMT🔗 LMT 2通道汇聚
2026-10-29 PSKY 🔗 3-channel convergence on PSKY🔗 PSKY 3通道汇聚

Attention on broken names — crowd activity, NOT entries问题标的受关注——仅为人气聚焦,非入场信号 rolling-over: off 252d high ≤ −15% AND 20d return < 0 AND below 50dma — conviction-ranked but excluded from the main board下行趋势:较252日高点 ≤ −15% 且20日收益<0 且低于50日均线——已按置信度排序但排除在主榜之外

50
score评分
HUBB rolling over下行 -15pp 60d Trump-linked特朗普关联
Congress buy国会买入Insider sentiment内部人情绪Special situation特殊事件Trump trade特朗普交易
47
score评分
META rolling over下行 +6pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Developer adoption开发者采用Special situation特殊事件StockTwits bulls散户看涨
44
score评分
BA rolling over下行 -28pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Federal grant联邦补助Patent cluster专利集群StockTwits bulls散户看涨
43
score评分
AMAT rolling over下行 -21pp 60d Trump-linked特朗普关联
Patent cluster专利集群Trump trade特朗普交易Unusual options异常期权
42
score评分
BAC rolling over下行 -19pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群Patent cluster专利集群
41
score评分
UBER rolling over下行 -4pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联App demand应用需求Special situation特殊事件StockTwits bulls散户看涨
38
score评分
NFLX rolling over下行 -17pp 60d
App demand应用需求Congress cluster-buy国会集群买入StockTwits bulls散户看涨
35
score评分
GOOGL rolling over下行 -22pp 60d
Influence link影响力关联App demand应用需求Lobbying游说

Influence graph影响力图谱 important actors → the names they control, hold, talk about, or partner with重要人物→他们控制、持有、谈论或合作的标的

Trump family · Eric Trump, Donald Trump Jr.Eric Trump、Donald Trump Jr.
Influencer · Paul Pelosi, Jim CramerPaul Pelosi、Jim Cramer
Politician · Nancy Pelosi, Tommy Tuberville, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Ro Khanna, Dan Crenshaw, Michael McCaulNancy Pelosi、Tommy Tuberville、Marjorie Taylor Greene、Ro Khanna、Dan Crenshaw、Michael McCaul
Founder / exec · Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Michael Saylor, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Larry EllisonElon Musk、Jensen Huang、Michael Saylor、Mark Zuckerberg、Sam Altman、Larry Ellison
Fund / activist · Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Carl Icahn, Cathie Wood, Michael Burry, Paul SingerWarren Buffett、Bill Ackman、Carl Icahn、Cathie Wood、Michael Burry、Paul Singer
🔁 American Bitcoin (ABTC) — branded标榜为 Crypto / digital assets, but value accrues to但价值归属于 AI power & data-center infrastructure via经由 Hut 8 Corp → HUT. Owns ~80% of American Bitcoin + is its exclusive infrastructure/operations partner. PIVOTED to AI power/data-center infra (Anthropic/Fluidstack 245MW $7B Dec-2025; $9.8B Beacon Point lease May-2026; >$16.8B pipeline; 8.6GW in development).
🔁 CVR Energy (CVI) — branded标榜为 Energy transition & oil majors, but value accrues to但价值归属于 Activist value investing via经由 Icahn Enterprises → IEP. Carl Icahn's diversified holding company; operates energy (CVR Energy), automotive, real estate segments
Ticker标的Connected actors关联人物 Actors人数Alt-data另类数据Top holder最大股东
NVDA Jensen Huang controls; Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Marjorie Taylor Greene holds stake; Michael McCaul holds stake; Jim Cramer talks about; Paul Pelosi affiliates with 6 corroborated已印证 6ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
META Mark Zuckerberg controls; Mark Zuckerberg controls; Dan Crenshaw holds stake; Bill Ackman affiliates with 4 corroborated已印证 4ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
AMZN Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with; Dan Crenshaw affiliates with; Bill Ackman affiliates with 4 corroborated已印证 3ch BEZOS JEFFREY P
AAPL Dan Crenshaw holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with; Marjorie Taylor Greene affiliates with; Warren Buffett affiliates with 4 corroborated已印证 4ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
TSLA Elon Musk controls; Larry Ellison holds stake; Cathie Wood affiliates with 3 corroborated已印证 4ch Musk Elon
MSTR Michael Saylor controls; Michael Saylor controls 2 corroborated已印证 2ch —
MSFT Sam Altman partners with; Bill Ackman affiliates with 2 corroborated已印证 6ch BARCLAYS PLC
IEP Carl Icahn controls; Carl Icahn affiliates with 2 corroborated已印证 2ch —
GOOGL Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with 2 corroborated已印证 3ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
PLTR Marjorie Taylor Greene holds stake; Cathie Wood affiliates with 2 corroborated已印证 4ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
DJT Eric Trump controls 1 corroborated已印证 2ch Trump Donald J. JR
BRK.B Warren Buffett controls 1 corroborated已印证 3ch XXEC, Inc.
BA Jim Cramer endorses 1 corroborated已印证 4ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
QCOM Tommy Tuberville holds stake 1 corroborated已印证 3ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
MU Ro Khanna affiliates with 1 corroborated已印证 6ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
GOOG Dan Crenshaw affiliates with 1 corroborated已印证 2ch VANGUARD GROUP INC
Actor → theme chains人物→主题链条 — 20
Actor人物Theme主题Proxy投资标的Conf置信
Mark ZuckerbergSocial media platforms & AI integration META0.95
Elon MuskElectric vehicles & autonomous driving —0.95
Jensen HuangAI compute & data centers —0.95
Michael SaylorCrypto & digital assets —0.93
Michael SaylorBitcoin treasury corporate strategy MSTR0.92
Eric TrumpCrypto / digital assets ABTC0.9
Donald Trump Jr.Crypto / digital assets ABTC0.9
Sam AltmanAI compute & data centers —0.9
Larry EllisonCloud infrastructure & enterprise software ORCL0.9
Carl IcahnActivist value investing IEP0.88
Cathie WoodCrypto & digital assets ARKK0.88
Ro KhannaSemiconductors & chip supply chain —0.88
Eric TrumpAI power & data-center infrastructure HUT0.85
Donald Trump Jr.AI power & data-center infrastructure HUT0.85

Track record战绩 every convergence logged as a dated, checkable thesis vs SPY每次汇聚记为带日期、可检验的对标普论点

489 scored已评分 211 open未到期 hit-rate命中率 0.524

489 scored, hit-rate 0.524 (directional accuracy 0.393).已评分 489 条,命中率 0.524(方向准确率 0.393)。

Thesis论点Lean倾向Outcome结果vs SPY对标普Check by核查日
NVT alt-data convergenceoverweight miss落空 -20.6% 2026-10-26
CLSK alt-data convergenceoverweight miss落空 -43.5% 2026-10-26
CBRS alt-data convergenceoverweight miss落空 -47.3% 2026-10-26
IRDM alt-data convergenceoverweight miss落空 -8.7% 2026-10-26
TDG alt-data convergenceoverweight hit命中 +3.4% 2026-10-22
VRTX alt-data convergenceoverweight hit命中 +5.1% 2026-10-22
USAR alt-data convergenceoverweight miss落空 -39.0% 2026-10-21
LLY alt-data convergenceoverweight hit命中 +21.0% 2026-10-29

Signal feeds信号源 each feed as its derived signal — Quiver + federal grants · SEC 8-K · FDA · clinical · options · short interest · analyst revisions · earnings clock · retail · AI-adoption每个数据源呈现为其衍生信号 —— Quiver + 联邦补助 · SEC 8-K · FDA · 临床 · 期权 · 空头持仓 · 分析师修正 · 财报临近 · 散户 · AI采用

Gov-contract leaders政府合同领先 30d

Ticker标的Awarded授予Accel加速Top agency主要机构
IBM$167,055,300 28.1×Social Security Administration
GD$132,593,973 1.1×Department of Commerce
ACN$127,809,465 1.9×Department of Education
FDX$103,539,791 —Department of Veterans Affairs
BAH$87,819,538 1.5×Department of Homeland Security
ACM$51,341,994 5.6×Environmental Protection Agency
DGX$49,829,848 9966.0×Department of Veterans Affairs
SAIC$46,154,143 0.8×Department of the Treasury
ABT$38,239,974 3.6×Department of Veterans Affairs
PLTR$37,420,743 0.8×Department of the Treasury

Congress net buying国会净买入 90d

Ticker标的Net净Members人数Est.$估值
TSM+63$48,003
HUBB+61$113,004
LTH+61$113,004
SNOW+42$97,003
CHRW+41$97,003
ESE+41$48,003
FITB+41$32,002
FWONK+41$146,003
GMED+41$81,002
IBP+41$32,002

Insider net buying内部人净买入 90d

Ticker标的Net $净额Buyers买家
SLBT$10,329,903,316,8181
REBN$23,649,660,0001
RSG$1,509,627,81194
LEN$711,917,03253
GPI$245,257,284127
MAIR$219,556,7842
BRVE$159,034,95013
SAFX$142,083,4511
GME$119,282,22015
APCX$116,087,19031

App-store demand应用商店需求

Ticker标的Rating评分Reviews评论App应用
UBER4.84★30,713,849Uber - Rides, Eats, Hotels
GOOGL4.7★27,032,559Google Drive
MSFT4.77★20,399,284Microsoft Outlook
WMT4.81★19,685,102Walmart: Shopping & Savings
LYFT4.91★18,247,495Lyft
SBUX4.89★8,426,925Starbucks
ETSY4.92★7,407,503Etsy: Shop from Real People
Z4.8★7,646,280Zillow Real Estate & Rentals
LUV4.84★7,254,051Southwest Airlines: Travel App
NFLX4.75★7,501,483Netflix

Patent clusters专利集群

Ticker标的Grants授权IPC分类
QCOM124947
TSM98257
IBM80662
AAPL71369
INTC59453
MSFT50850
MU47927
LPL42827
AMAT33154
HMC30481

Lobbying spend游说支出 45d

Ticker标的Spend支出Spike激增
GILD$9,855,000—
UNH$4,930,000—
LMT$4,603,215—
GOOGL$4,420,000—
PSKY$4,330,000—
GM$4,270,000—
AAPL$4,150,000—
MO$4,120,000—
SO$3,830,000—
AMGN$3,825,000—

Institutional 13F adds机构13F加仓

Ticker标的Fund基金Δ $变化
DFAULarry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC$14,496,934,601
SPCXONTARIO TEACHERS PENSION PLAN BOARD$8,658,544,075
SCHWLarry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC$6,694,775,614
DFAILarry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC$3,706,122,998
URIAscentis Wealth Management, LLC$3,583,563,312
CRWDAscentis Wealth Management, LLC$3,159,945,245
AAPLARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP$3,022,607,684
CATAscentis Wealth Management, LLC$2,679,146,768
BRK.BAscentis Wealth Management, LLC$2,612,881,959
AAPLAscentis Wealth Management, LLC$2,533,830,031

Bill catalysts法案催化

Sector板块Bill法案Action进展
HealthcareHR2272026-10-20
EnergySRES9502026-10-15
TradeHR107742026-10-09
HealthcareHR106762026-10-01
Homeland / ImmigrationHRES15962026-10-01
FinancialsHR106722026-10-01
HealthcareHR106772026-10-01
HealthcareS56722026-09-30

Federal grants / loans联邦补助/贷款 CHIPS·DOE·IRA

Ticker标的Amount金额Accel加速
RIVN$333,365,319 —
INTC$19,137,039 0.4×
BA$7,820,571 0.3×
MU$7,751,282 1.6×
ALB$7,039,265 0.9×
CEG$6,756,531 0.4×
NOC$1,654,031 0.9×
HON$675,526 —
TLN$291,981 0.3×
LDOS$72,228 0.0×

Federal pipeline counts联邦项目管线数量 90d vs prior 90d 近90天 vs 前90天

Theme主题 SAM nowSAM 近期 SAM priorSAM 前期 FOA nowFOA 近期 FOA priorFOA 前期 SAM as ofSAM 截至
defense 546 69 7 4 2026-10-25
ai_semiconductors 242 44 4 2 2026-10-25
space_economy 161 13 16 15 2026-10-25
quantum_computing 121 42 24 5 2026-10-25
semicap_equipment 121 2 9 2 2026-10-25
cybersecurity 102 12 3 0 2026-10-26
ai_software 55 5 6 3 2026-10-26
power_grid 51 1 3 1 2026-10-26
obesity_glp1 — — 41 55 —
managed_care — — 30 27 —
ai_infra 15 4 — — 2026-10-26
data_center_power 15 4 — — 2026-10-26
critical_minerals 11 3 2 0 2026-10-26
robotics_automation — — 11 3 —
energy_complex — — 6 1 —

Showing the top 15 of 17 themes by recent count. 按近期计数显示前15个主题(共17个)。

Source: SAM.gov opportunity and Grants.gov FOA counts per theme. Display only.来源:SAM.gov 采购机会与 Grants.gov 资助公告的主题计数。仅供展示。

FDA catalystsFDA催化

Ticker标的 Event事件Drug药物 Date日期
GSK Label exp.适应症扩展 JEMPERLI 2026-10-19
MRK Label exp.适应症扩展 KEYTRUDA QLEX 2026-10-16
RHHBY Label exp.适应症扩展 ENSPRYNG 2026-10-15
NVS Label exp.适应症扩展 RHAPSIDO 2026-10-06
BMY Label exp.适应症扩展 CAMZYOS 2026-09-30
ABBV New approval新批准 JUVMO 2026-09-25
AZN Label exp.适应症扩展 TRUQAP 2026-09-16

Phase-3 pipeline三期管线

Ticker标的P3 starts三期启动Halts中止
PFE37 —
GSK32 —
AZN29 —
MRK20 8
RHHBY13 —
NVO11 2
AMGN10 3
ABBV9 —
LLY9 1
NVS9 2

Material 8-K clusters重大8-K集群 30d

Ticker标的Count数量Items条目
NWS178.01
CTVA81.01, 2.01, 5.02, 8.01
PSKY61.01, 2.01, 2.03, 5.02, 7.01, 8.01
MSTR57.01, 8.01
DLR41.01, 2.03, 7.01, 8.01
KMB45.02, 7.01, 8.01
PRU47.01, 8.01
AXP37.01
BAC35.02, 7.01, 8.01
CIFR31.01, 2.03, 7.01, 8.01

Unusual options flow异常期权流

Ticker标的Vol/OI ×量/持仓×Lean倾向
CSCO 7.5× call-skew
IR 4.7× call-skew
CLX 4.6× put-skew
RTX 4.3× call-skew
FLYW 4.2× call-skew
DVA 4.2× put-skew
KVUE 4.2× call-skew
AMAT 4.1× balanced
CBRS 4.0× put-skew
HLT 4.0× call-skew

AI model adoptionAI模型采用 HF dl WoW

Ticker标的Downloads下载量WoW周环比
IBM12,598,152 +7.4%
MSFT27,701,020 +0.3%
AAPL1,471,003 -0.2%
NVDA25,229,569 -6.6%
CRM3,459,135 -9.1%
BABA156,701,221 -9.5%
META60,655,549 -9.7%
GOOGL158,759,341 -12.1%
AMZN24,217,569 -16.9%

Developer adoption开发者采用 GitHub stars WoW

Ticker标的Stars星标WoW周环比
NET16,245 +0.68%
IBM7,928 +0.52%
MSFT194,305 +0.36%
META251,852 +0.33%
NVDA18,616 +0.19%
U19,800 +0.18%
DDOG3,771 +0.16%
ESTC78,382 +0.14%
GOOGL201,256 +0.14%
TWLO2,086 +0.14%

Analyst estimate revisions分析师预期上调 30d

Ticker标的Net rev.净上调Breadth广度Est Δ预期
CRWD +38 83% +0.2%
WDAY +37 95% +0.0%
OKTA +33 81% +0.0%
MA +29 88% +0.2%
FIVE +24 100% -0.0%
VEEV +24 100% +0.0%
TXN +23 100% +0.8%
ADI +23 100% +0.8%
BBY +20 100% +0.1%
NTAP +18 100% +1.0%

Insider sentiment (MSPR)内部人情绪(MSPR)

Ticker标的MSPRMSPR
APP 100.0
BPOP 100.0
CAT 100.0
CBRS 100.0
CEG 100.0
COLB 100.0
D 100.0
DUK 100.0
EME 100.0
GE 100.0

Earnings imminent财报临近 binary catalyst — watch, not a buy二元催化 — 观察,非买入

Ticker标的 Reports公布 Cons. EPS预期EPS Last surprise上次业绩意外
AAPL today今天 1.98 +1.6%
ALNY today今天 1.68 -16.0%
AMZN today今天 2.01 +2.7%
BMY today今天 1.68 +28.3%
CI today今天 7.46 +2.6%
COLB today今天 0.77 +4.1%
DHI today今天 3.06 +7.0%
DXCM today今天 0.66 +14.8%
EME today今天 8.33 +25.3%
EPD today今天 0.75 +12.0%

Bullish news flow看多新闻流

Ticker标的Bullish看多占比Articles文章
PH94%50
PR93%15
MMC92%13
WTFC92%13
A90%50
OSCR90%49
TRGP90%41
TRMB90%50
BPOP89%9
KVYO88%17

Short-interest crowding空头拥挤 squeeze fuel — not a buy挤压燃料——非买入

Ticker标的Days to cover回补天数SI Δ空头变化
TROW 17.2 -2%
EZPW 16.9 +1%
OTTR 16.3 +0%
PCRX 15.1 +7%
CXT 15.0 +14%
TGTX 15.0 +2%
KMB 14.2 +1%
ACHC 13.9 +6%
LIF 13.7 -3%
OZK 13.5 +7%

StockTwits retail buzzStockTwits散户热度

Ticker标的Bullish看多占比Watchers关注者
TSLA 81% 1,060,845
META 67% 601,506
AMD 84% 563,282
NFLX 100% 523,170
PLTR 87% 325,472
DIS 100% 289,865
MU 100% 213,009
BA 100% 197,747
F 71% 186,228
XYZ 100% 178,465

Off-exchange flow场外交易流向 FINRAFINRA 2026-10-23

Ticker标的 Short ratio卖空比例 Lean倾向
SHFS 0.718 distribution派发
NU 0.576 balanced均衡
LUCD 0.541 balanced均衡
T 0.452 balanced均衡
AAL 0.406 balanced均衡
INTC 0.377 accumulation吸筹
NVDA 0.293 accumulation吸筹
NOK 0.313 accumulation吸筹
BBD 0.625 distribution派发
ONDS 0.529 balanced均衡
🟥 Donald Trump trades特朗普交易 · 1,716 · latest最新 2026-10-08 🏛️ Congress trading国会交易 · 100,303 · latest最新 2026-10-22 🏛️ Senate trading参议院交易 · 5,069 · latest最新 2026-09-04 🏛️ House trading众议院交易 · 5,789 · latest最新 2026-10-16 📜 Government contracts政府合同 · 23,075 · latest最新 2026-10-25 💼 Corporate lobbying企业游说 · 27,132 · latest最新 2026-10-25 🌑 Off-exchange / dark pool场外/暗池 · 253,508 · latest最新 2026-10-23 👔 Insider trading内部人交易 · 98,757 · latest最新 2026-10-24 🏦 Institutional 13F机构13F · 489,542 · latest最新 2026-10-23 🏦 13F position changes13F持仓变化 · 474,373 · latest最新 2026-10-23 📺 CNBC stock picksCNBC选股 · 2,851 · latest最新 2026-10-24 🦍 WallStreetBetsWSB热度 · 30,700 · latest最新 2026-10-26 🛰️ SPAC sentimentSPAC情绪 · 2 · latest最新 2023-12-18 🔬 US patents美国专利 · 18,259 · latest最新 2026-10-20 ✈️ Corporate flights企业航班 · 53 · latest最新 2025-07-23 💸 Corporate donors企业捐赠 · 5,136 · latest最新 2026-10-25 📰 Quiver news feedQuiver新闻 · 3,527 · latest最新 2026-10-26 📁 Congress holdings国会持仓 · 20,700 · latest最新 2026-10-26 📑 Bill summaries法案摘要 · 1,365 · latest最新 2026-10-23 📱 App ratings应用评分 · 245,631 · latest最新 2026-10-25 🏛️ Top shareholders主要股东 · 499,778 · latest最新 2026-10-26 💰 Executive comp高管薪酬 · 1,850 · latest最新 2026-10-20

Sources: Quiver Quantitative + federal grants/loans (USAspending) · SEC 8-K material events · openFDA approvals · ClinicalTrials.gov · Polygon options/news · FINRA short interest · analyst estimate revisions · earnings calendar · StockTwits retail · Hugging Face · GitHub + curated influence graph. Public-record alt-data; the actionable axis is calibrated by the accountable ledger, not assumed right.数据来源:Quiver Quantitative + 联邦补助/贷款(USAspending)· SEC 8-K 重大事件 · openFDA 批准 · ClinicalTrials.gov · Polygon 期权/新闻 · FINRA 空头持仓 · 分析师预期修正 · 财报日历 · StockTwits 散户 · Hugging Face · GitHub + 精选影响力图谱。公开记录另类数据;可操作轴由可问责战绩校准,而非假定正确。

Desk scorecard研究台记分卡measured已测得Beating SPY at the 60-day mark60日周期跑赢标普 detail详情

Every name this desk surfaces is scored against what the stock actually did next, measured against SPY. Context only — never a trade instruction. 本台每个入选标的都以其之后的实际走势评分,并与标普对比。仅作参考 —— 绝非交易指令。 5,276 names recorded · 667 drops tracked 已记录 5,276 个标的 · 已追踪 667 次剔除

Horizon周期 graded已评分 rank skill排名预测力 trend skill趋势预测力 vs SPY对比标普 status状态
5d日 5188 -0.023 +0.008 -0.7% measuring测量中
10d日 4891 -0.039 -0.033 -0.9% measuring测量中
20d日 4070 -0.032 -0.028 +0.1% measuring测量中
30d日 3351 +0.021 -0.007 -0.2% measuring测量中
60d日 1571 +0.245 +0.037 -3.3% proven已验证
90d日 0 — — — measuring测量中

What the numbers say数据说明了什么

  • ● 5d: score VELOCITY IC (+0.008) exceeds LEVEL IC (-0.023) — the change in the desk's score ranks winners better than its level.5d: score VELOCITY IC (+0.008) exceeds LEVEL IC (-0.023) — the change in the desk's score ranks winners better than its level.
  • ▲ 5d: departed names (-0.1% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.7%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.5d: departed names (-0.1% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.7%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.
  • ▲ 10d: departed names (-0.1% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.9%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.10d: departed names (-0.1% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.9%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.
  • ● 60d: departed names (-4.3% avg) underperform on-desk names (-3.3%) — DROPS ARE CORRECT; the desk sheds names before they lag.60d: departed names (-4.3% avg) underperform on-desk names (-3.3%) — DROPS ARE CORRECT; the desk sheds names before they lag.

Lessons logged经验记录

  • 2026-07-04 PRICE LESSON: grade off data/yahoo/<T>.parquet adjusted closes ONLY. The S&P-1500 breadth close cache (data/breadth/_closes_cache.parquet) is SPLIT-CORRUPTED — using it silently poisons every RS / forward-return number. A name missing from yahoo is a coverage skip here, never a wrong return.PRICE LESSON: grade off data/yahoo/<T>.parquet adjusted closes ONLY. The S&P-1500 breadth close cache (data/breadth/_closes_cache.parquet) is SPLIT-CORRUPTED — using it silently poisons every RS / forward-return number. A name missing from yahoo is a coverage skip here, never a wrong return.

~ marks a provisional reading from a single cross-section; the "proven" bar needs at least six separate grading dates. An accountable scorecard of this desk's own surfaced names — its ranking score (level AND velocity) graded against realized SPY-relative forward returns at 5/10/20/30/60/90 trading days, split on-desk vs after-leaving. A signal is 'proven' only past n>=40 with a significant Newey-West t of the right sign; a significant negative IC is an 'alarm'. Context-only — nothing here sizes a position.~ 表示来自单一横截面的暂定读数;"已验证"门槛需至少六个独立评分日。An accountable scorecard of this desk's own surfaced names — its ranking score (level AND velocity) graded against realized SPY-relative forward returns at 5/10/20/30/60/90 trading days, split on-desk vs after-leaving. A signal is 'proven' only past n>=40 with a significant Newey-West t of the right sign; a significant negative IC is an 'alarm'. Context-only — nothing here sizes a position.

News on these names这些标的的新闻 Related headlines · research context相关标题 · 研究背景

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