📡 Signal Intelligence Desk信号情报台

Alternative Data另类数据

Where independent public-record channels — congressional & insider buying, federal-contract acceleration, lobbying, dark-pool flow, smart-money 13F, app-store demand, patents — and the affiliations of influential actors line up on the same name. We surface the connection, score the conviction, grade every call against the tape, and emit it to the portfolio bot.当多条独立的公开记录信号——国会与内部人买入、联邦合同加速、游说、暗池资金流、聪明钱13F、应用商店需求、专利——与有影响力人物的关联在同一标的上对齐时浮现出来。我们呈现关联、评估置信、用市场检验每个判断，并将其传输给组合机器人。

Quiver Quantitative (Trader plan) As of截至 2026-09-14 22 actors人物 · 105 edges关系 mastermind.json ↗ feed.json ↗ GRADED · 5d hit 53% [CI≥39%]已评级 · 5d 命中 53% [CI≥39%]

Actionable signals可操作信号

ranked, ≥2 channels or an affiliation已排名，≥2通道或一项关联

Top conviction最高置信

PLTR

score评分 74 · high

Affiliated tickers关联标的

actor → name connections人物→标的连接

Ledger战绩

66%

141 scored vs SPY对标普已评分

Brain readAI解读 The pack shows a bias toward pro-cyclical tech/hardware and government-exposed names, but most clusters are driven by one or two channels rather than genuine multi-source alignment. SMCI is the only flagged-extended name and must be avoided; the few coherent reads are slow-burn accumulation candidates, not momentum chases.证据包偏向顺周期科技/硬件和政府相关标的，但多数簇仅由一两个渠道驱动，而非真正的多源共振。SMCI 是唯一被标记为超涨的标的，必须回避；少数连贯的解读是缓慢累积型候选，而非追逐动量的机会。

Conviction board置信榜 ranked actionable signals — convergence × affiliation × AI conviction, graded vs SPY已排名的可操作信号——汇聚×关联×AI置信，对标普评分 GRADED · 5d hit 53% [CI≥39%]已评级 · 5d 命中 53% [CI≥39%]

score评分

PLTR WATCH high Trump-linked特朗普关联 +30pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Analyst upgrades分析师上调Contracts accelerating合同加速Retail buzz散户热度StockTwits bulls散户看涨Trump trade特朗普交易

🔗 Marjorie Taylor Greene (holds stake) · Cathie Wood (affiliates with)

score评分

MSFT WATCH high Trump-linked特朗普关联 +31pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联App demand应用需求Developer adoption开发者采用Patent cluster专利集群Trump trade特朗普交易

🔗 Sam Altman (partners with) · Bill Ackman (affiliates with)

score评分

NVDA WATCH high +0pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Analyst upgrades分析师上调Developer adoption开发者采用Patent cluster专利集群Retail buzz散户热度Special situation特殊事件

🔗 Jensen Huang (controls) · Nancy Pelosi (holds stake) · Marjorie Taylor Greene (holds stake) · Michael McCaul (holds stake) · Jim Cramer (talks about) · Paul Pelosi (affiliates with)

score评分

AAPL WATCH high +10pp 60d

13F add机构加仓Influence link影响力关联AI-model adoptionAI模型采用Patent cluster专利集群

🔗 Dan Crenshaw (holds stake) · Paul Pelosi (affiliates with) · Marjorie Taylor Greene (affiliates with) · Warren Buffett (affiliates with)

score评分

MRK WATCH low long AI Trump-linked特朗普关联 +23pp 60d

Phase-3 start三期启动FDA label expansion适应症扩展Special situation特殊事件Trump trade特朗普交易

MRK clusters on clinical/fda channels (11 phase-3 starts, fda_label_expansion) plus a trump buy side, but the clinical_halts count of 4 is the dissenting data point inside the same evidence [clinical_phase3_start, fda_label_expansion, special_situation, trump]. The 22.8% 60d relative move is firm but not yet extended; this is a watch for pipeline conversion into regulatory milestones rather than a fresh accumulation.MRK clusters on clinical/fda channels (11 phase-3 starts, fda_label_expansion) plus a trump buy side, but the clinical_halts count of 4 is the dissenting data point inside the same evidence [clinical_phase3_start, fda_label_expansion, special_situation, trump]. The 22.8% 60d relative move is firm but not yet extended; this is a watch for pipeline conversion into regulatory milestones rather than a fresh accumulation.

↳ 2nd/3rd-order二三级: ABBV — shared clinical_phase3_start / fda_label_expansion catalyst pattern in large-cap pharma

score评分

BRK.B WATCH high +0pp 60d

13F add机构加仓Influence link影响力关联Congress cluster-buy国会集群买入

🔗 Warren Buffett (controls)

score评分

BAH WATCH low long AI Trump-linked特朗普关联 +1pp 60d

Contracts accelerating合同加速Special situation特殊事件Trump trade特朗普交易

BAH is the cleanest pure-play government-contract acceleration read: gov_contract_accel of 3.79 on $56M/30d flows, plus special_situation and a trump-linked buy side [gov_contract_accel, special_situation, trump]. Only a 1.3% 60d relative print means there is no crowding; the trade is one of gradual flow recognition rather than an explosive repricing. Conviction stays low because two channels are soft/contextual and the track record is empty.BAH is the cleanest pure-play government-contract acceleration read: gov_contract_accel of 3.79 on $56M/30d flows, plus special_situation and a trump-linked buy side [gov_contract_accel, special_situation, trump]. Only a 1.3% 60d relative print means there is no crowding; the trade is one of gradual flow recognition rather than an explosive repricing. Conviction stays low because two channels are soft/contextual and the track record is empty.

↳ 2nd/3rd-order二三级: PLTR — overlapping federal-contract acceleration; gov_contract_accel 2.93 [gov_contract_accel] · LDOS/CACI (unlisted) — defense-services peers likely sharing the classified-contract tailwind

score评分

ABBV WATCH medium +16pp 60d

Phase-3 start三期启动FDA label expansion适应症扩展Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群

score评分

META WATCH high +14pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Developer adoption开发者采用Special situation特殊事件StockTwits bulls散户看涨

🔗 Mark Zuckerberg (controls) · Mark Zuckerberg (controls) · Dan Crenshaw (holds stake) · Bill Ackman (affiliates with)

score评分

CRWD WATCH medium +35pp 60d

13F add机构加仓Analyst upgrades分析师上调Congress buy国会买入

score评分

ADBE WATCH medium Trump-linked特朗普关联 +32pp 60d

Insider sentiment内部人情绪Trump trade特朗普交易

score评分

DELL WATCH medium +25pp 60d

Activist 13D维权13DContracts accelerating合同加速

score评分

AMZN WATCH medium +4pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Analyst upgrades分析师上调Special situation特殊事件

🔗 Nancy Pelosi (holds stake) · Paul Pelosi (affiliates with) · Dan Crenshaw (affiliates with) · Bill Ackman (affiliates with)

score评分

MSTR WATCH medium +14pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群

🔗 Michael Saylor (controls) · Michael Saylor (controls)

signal_score = weighted convergence + AI conviction + price confirmation − extension. action/direction from the Opus brain when present; otherwise a deterministic WATCH. Never an order — the bot sizes it through its own risk framework.signal_score = 加权汇聚 + AI置信 + 价格确认 − 拉伸。存在时由Opus大脑给出action/direction；否则为确定性WATCH。绝非下单——机器人通过自身风险框架进行仓位管理。

Attention on broken names — crowd activity, NOT entries问题标的受关注——仅为人气聚焦，非入场信号 rolling-over: off 252d high ≤ −15% AND 20d return < 0 AND below 50dma — conviction-ranked but excluded from the main board下行趋势：较252日高点 ≤ −15% 且20日收益<0 且低于50日均线——已按置信度排序但排除在主榜之外

score评分

BA rolling over下行 -10pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联Federal grant联邦补助Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群Patent cluster专利集群StockTwits bulls散户看涨

score评分

AMAT rolling over下行 -31pp 60d

Analyst upgrades分析师上调Congress cluster-buy国会集群买入Patent cluster专利集群Unusual options异常期权

score评分

ADSK rolling over下行 +16pp 60d Trump-linked特朗普关联

Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群Special situation特殊事件Trump trade特朗普交易

score评分

UBER rolling over下行 -0pp 60d

Influence link影响力关联App demand应用需求Special situation特殊事件StockTwits bulls散户看涨

score评分

IR rolling over下行 +5pp 60d

Insider sentiment内部人情绪Unusual options异常期权

score评分

AMD rolling over下行 -7pp 60d

Analyst upgrades分析师上调Material 8-K cluster重大8-K集群Retail buzz散户热度StockTwits bulls散户看涨

score评分

CAT rolling over下行 -21pp 60d

13F add机构加仓Analyst upgrades分析师上调Insider sentiment内部人情绪

score评分

INTC rolling over下行 -23pp 60d

Analyst upgrades分析师上调Federal grant联邦补助Patent cluster专利集群

Influence graph影响力图谱 important actors → the names they control, hold, talk about, or partner with重要人物→他们控制、持有、谈论或合作的标的

Trump family · Eric Trump, Donald Trump Jr.Eric Trump、Donald Trump Jr.

Influencer · Paul Pelosi, Jim CramerPaul Pelosi、Jim Cramer

Politician · Nancy Pelosi, Tommy Tuberville, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Ro Khanna, Dan Crenshaw, Michael McCaulNancy Pelosi、Tommy Tuberville、Marjorie Taylor Greene、Ro Khanna、Dan Crenshaw、Michael McCaul

Founder / exec · Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Michael Saylor, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Larry EllisonElon Musk、Jensen Huang、Michael Saylor、Mark Zuckerberg、Sam Altman、Larry Ellison

Fund / activist · Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, Carl Icahn, Cathie Wood, Michael Burry, Paul SingerWarren Buffett、Bill Ackman、Carl Icahn、Cathie Wood、Michael Burry、Paul Singer

🔁 American Bitcoin (ABTC) — branded标榜为 Crypto / digital assets, but value accrues to但价值归属于 AI power & data-center infrastructure via经由 Hut 8 Corp → HUT. Owns ~80% of American Bitcoin + is its exclusive infrastructure/operations partner. PIVOTED to AI power/data-center infra (Anthropic/Fluidstack 245MW $7B Dec-2025; $9.8B Beacon Point lease May-2026; >$16.8B pipeline; 8.6GW in development).

🔁 CVR Energy (CVI) — branded标榜为 Energy transition & oil majors, but value accrues to但价值归属于 Activist value investing via经由 Icahn Enterprises → IEP. Carl Icahn's diversified holding company; operates energy (CVR Energy), automotive, real estate segments

Ticker标的	Connected actors关联人物	Actors人数	Alt-data另类数据	Top holder最大股东
NVDA	Jensen Huang controls; Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Marjorie Taylor Greene holds stake; Michael McCaul holds stake; Jim Cramer talks about; Paul Pelosi affiliates with	6	corroborated已印证 6ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
META	Mark Zuckerberg controls; Mark Zuckerberg controls; Dan Crenshaw holds stake; Bill Ackman affiliates with	4	corroborated已印证 4ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
AMZN	Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with; Dan Crenshaw affiliates with; Bill Ackman affiliates with	4	corroborated已印证 3ch	BEZOS JEFFREY P
AAPL	Dan Crenshaw holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with; Marjorie Taylor Greene affiliates with; Warren Buffett affiliates with	4	corroborated已印证 4ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
TSLA	Elon Musk controls; Larry Ellison holds stake; Cathie Wood affiliates with	3	corroborated已印证 3ch	Musk Elon
MSTR	Michael Saylor controls; Michael Saylor controls	2	corroborated已印证 2ch	—
MSFT	Sam Altman partners with; Bill Ackman affiliates with	2	corroborated已印证 5ch	BARCLAYS PLC
ORCL	Larry Ellison controls; Larry Ellison controls	2	corroborated已印证 2ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
IEP	Carl Icahn controls; Carl Icahn affiliates with	2	corroborated已印证 2ch	—
GOOGL	Nancy Pelosi holds stake; Paul Pelosi affiliates with	2	corroborated已印证 3ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
PLTR	Marjorie Taylor Greene holds stake; Cathie Wood affiliates with	2	corroborated已印证 6ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
DJT	Eric Trump controls	1	corroborated已印证 2ch	Trump Donald J. JR
BRK.B	Warren Buffett controls	1	corroborated已印证 3ch	XXEC, Inc.
BA	Jim Cramer endorses	1	corroborated已印证 5ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
QCOM	Tommy Tuberville holds stake	1	corroborated已印证 3ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC
MU	Ro Khanna affiliates with	1	corroborated已印证 6ch	VANGUARD GROUP INC

Actor → theme chains人物→主题链条 — 20

Actor人物	Theme主题	Proxy投资标的	Conf置信
Mark Zuckerberg	Social media platforms & AI integration	META	0.95
Elon Musk	Electric vehicles & autonomous driving	—	0.95
Jensen Huang	AI compute & data centers	—	0.95
Michael Saylor	Crypto & digital assets	—	0.93
Michael Saylor	Bitcoin treasury corporate strategy	MSTR	0.92
Eric Trump	Crypto / digital assets	ABTC	0.9
Donald Trump Jr.	Crypto / digital assets	ABTC	0.9
Sam Altman	AI compute & data centers	—	0.9
Larry Ellison	Cloud infrastructure & enterprise software	ORCL	0.9
Carl Icahn	Activist value investing	IEP	0.88
Cathie Wood	Crypto & digital assets	ARKK	0.88
Ro Khanna	Semiconductors & chip supply chain	—	0.88
Eric Trump	AI power & data-center infrastructure	HUT	0.85
Donald Trump Jr.	AI power & data-center infrastructure	HUT	0.85

Track record战绩 every convergence logged as a dated, checkable thesis vs SPY每次汇聚记为带日期、可检验的对标普论点

141 scored已评分 441 open未到期 hit-rate命中率 0.66

141 scored, hit-rate 0.66 (directional accuracy 0.468).已评分 141 条，命中率 0.66（方向准确率 0.468）。

Thesis论点	Lean倾向	Outcome结果	vs SPY对标普	Check by核查日
EQIX alt-data convergence	overweight	hit命中	-0.6%	2026-09-07
RTX alt-data convergence	overweight	miss落空	-8.6%	2026-09-11
AMAT alt-data convergence	overweight	miss落空	-12.8%	2026-09-11
CHTR alt-data convergence	overweight	miss落空	-5.1%	2026-09-11
HPE alt-data convergence	overweight	hit命中	+6.7%	2026-09-11
QNT alt-data convergence	overweight	miss落空	-30.6%	2026-09-11
NBIS alt-data convergence	overweight	miss落空	-12.3%	2026-09-11
COR alt-data convergence	overweight	hit命中	+3.4%	2026-09-11

Signal feeds信号源 each feed as its derived signal — Quiver + federal grants · SEC 8-K · FDA · clinical · options · short interest · analyst revisions · earnings clock · retail · AI-adoption每个数据源呈现为其衍生信号 —— Quiver + 联邦补助 · SEC 8-K · FDA · 临床 · 期权 · 空头持仓 · 分析师修正 · 财报临近 · 散户 · AI采用

Gov-contract leaders政府合同领先 30d

Ticker标的	Awarded授予	Accel加速	Top agency主要机构
TPC	$418,791,106	—	Department of Homeland Security
ACN	$236,070,567	63.7×	Department of the Treasury
MDLN	$97,684,805	1.1×	Department of Veterans Affairs
T	$74,544,433	39.8×	Department of Transportation
GD	$56,779,961	0.7×	Department of Health and Human Services
BAH	$56,082,098	3.8×	Department of Health and Human Services
CDW	$47,725,148	1.4×	Department of Transportation
CXW	$46,778,490	9.4×	Department of Homeland Security
AMRK	$39,663,210	—	Department of the Treasury
DELL	$35,808,721	7.5×	Social Security Administration

Congress net buying国会净买入 90d

Ticker标的	Net净	Members人数	Est.$估值
LTH	+24	1	$355,013
FWONK	+16	1	$438,009
CHRW	+14	1	$275,008
BRK.B	+10	3	$178,005
HUBB	+10	1	$194,006
APH	+6	3	$48,003
MU	+6	3	$48,003
AVGO	+6	2	$48,003
BWXT	+6	1	$113,004
ESAB	+6	1	$48,003

Insider net buying内部人净买入 90d

Ticker标的	Net $净额	Buyers买家
FINS	$1,600,000,000,000,000	1
REBN	$23,649,660,000	1
RSG	$1,251,016,577	78
SVRE	$1,135,938,816	1
NMM	$849,497,078	42
JEF	$318,717,006	1
MAIR	$219,556,784	2
BRVE	$159,034,950	13
COE	$146,530,793	66
APCX	$116,087,190	31

App-store demand应用商店需求

Ticker标的	Rating评分	Reviews评论	App应用
UBER	4.84★	30,280,028	Uber - Request a ride
GOOGL	4.7★	26,499,965	Google Drive
MSFT	4.77★	20,126,747	Microsoft Outlook
WMT	4.82★	19,260,729	Walmart: Shopping & Savings
LYFT	4.91★	18,037,745	Lyft
SBUX	4.89★	8,281,510	Starbucks
ETSY	4.92★	7,337,477	Etsy: Shop from Real People
Z	4.8★	7,640,739	Zillow Real Estate & Rentals
LUV	4.84★	7,192,219	Southwest Airlines: Travel App
SHOP	4.81★	7,192,588	Shop: Track, Pay, Discover

Patent clusters专利集群

Ticker标的	Grants授权	IPC分类
QCOM	1106	46
TSM	926	54
IBM	654	55
AAPL	626	68
INTC	534	50
MSFT	461	48
MU	424	30
LPL	332	23
AMAT	280	51
TXN	255	45

Lobbying spend游说支出 45d

Ticker标的	Spend支出	Spike激增

Institutional 13F adds机构13F加仓

Ticker标的	Fund基金	Δ $变化
DFAU	Larry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC	$14,496,934,601
SPCX	ONTARIO TEACHERS PENSION PLAN BOARD	$8,658,544,075
SCHW	Larry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC	$6,694,775,614
DFAI	Larry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC	$3,706,122,998
URI	Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC	$3,583,563,312
CRWD	Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC	$3,159,945,245
AAPL	ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP	$3,022,607,684
CAT	Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC	$2,679,146,768
BRK.B	Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC	$2,612,881,959
AAPL	Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC	$2,533,830,031

Bill catalysts法案催化

Sector板块	Bill法案	Action进展
Infrastructure	HR9497	2026-09-03
Infrastructure	HR10279	2026-09-03
Defense	HR10159	2026-08-27
Healthcare	HR10087	2026-08-13
Trade	S5380	2026-08-07
Defense	HR5334	2026-08-07
Healthcare	S5319	2026-08-06
Healthcare	HR10056	2026-08-06

Federal grants / loans联邦补助/贷款 CHIPS·DOE·IRA

Ticker标的	Amount金额	Accel加速
RIVN	$333,365,319	—
INTC	$11,196,831	0.2×
BA	$7,820,571	0.3×
ALB	$7,266,048	1.0×
CEG	$6,756,531	0.4×
IONQ	$5,712,242	0.2×
MU	$1,402,431	0.3×
NOC	$1,289,495	0.8×
TLN	$237,331	0.2×
LDOS	$16,907	0.0×

FDA catalystsFDA催化

Ticker标的	Event事件	Drug药物
NVS	Label exp.适应症扩展	PLUVICTO
MRK	Label exp.适应症扩展	KEYTRUDA QLEX
PFE	Label exp.适应症扩展	IBRANCE
AZN	Label exp.适应症扩展	TRUQAP
ABBV	Label exp.适应症扩展	LINZESS

Phase-3 pipeline三期管线

Ticker标的	P3 starts三期启动	Halts中止
AZN	37	1
GSK	29	—
PFE	21	1
NVS	12	3
MRK	11	4
LLY	9	1
AMGN	8	4
ABBV	7	2
NVO	7	2
GILD	6	1

Material 8-K clusters重大8-K集群 30d

Ticker标的	Count数量	Items条目
NWS	19	8.01
CHTR	5	1.01, 2.01, 2.03, 5.02, 7.01
MSTR	5	7.01, 8.01
QBTS	5	1.01, 5.02, 7.01, 8.01
ASPI	4	1.01, 2.03, 7.01
CTVA	4	1.01, 8.01
SYY	4	1.01, 2.03, 5.02, 7.01
WMB	4	1.01, 5.02, 7.01, 8.01
AON	3	1.01, 5.02, 7.01, 8.01
LEU	3	1.01, 5.02, 7.01, 8.01

Unusual options flow异常期权流

Ticker标的	Vol/OI ×量/持仓×	Lean倾向
CSCO	7.5×	call-skew
IR	4.7×	call-skew
CLX	4.6×	put-skew
RTX	4.3×	call-skew
FLYW	4.2×	call-skew
DVA	4.2×	put-skew
KVUE	4.2×	call-skew
AMAT	4.1×	balanced
CBRS	4.0×	put-skew
HLT	4.0×	call-skew

AI model adoptionAI模型采用 HF dl WoW

Ticker标的	Downloads下载量	WoW周环比
IBM	12,292,242	+3.3%
AAPL	2,382,412	+1.6%
CRM	4,477,554	+0.6%
GOOGL	208,833,343	-0.6%
BABA	194,678,062	-1.0%
AMZN	36,097,725	-1.3%
NVDA	35,120,798	-1.7%
META	74,147,494	-3.1%
MSFT	30,481,000	-3.6%

Developer adoption开发者采用 GitHub stars WoW

Ticker标的	Stars星标	WoW周环比
PATH	90	+1.12%
MSFT	192,463	+0.77%
GOOGL	200,064	+0.58%
META	250,414	+0.5%
NET	15,602	+0.45%
NVDA	18,440	+0.23%
IBM	7,793	+0.18%
DDOG	3,725	+0.16%
PLTR	22,054	+0.09%
MDB	28,557	+0.08%

Analyst estimate revisions分析师预期上调 30d

Ticker标的	Net rev.净上调	Breadth广度	Est Δ预期
FTNT	+39	100%	+0.5%
NVDA	+39	100%	+20.9%
AMZN	+39	83%	+0.2%
CRWD	+37	86%	-1.4%
TGT	+35	100%	+6.0%
INTC	+33	100%	+0.2%
OKTA	+33	81%	+2.2%
DDOG	+33	77%	+2.9%
AMD	+30	83%	+1.0%
MA	+29	88%	+0.1%

Insider sentiment (MSPR)内部人情绪(MSPR)

Ticker标的	MSPRMSPR
ASTS	100.0
CAT	100.0
CEG	100.0
D	100.0
DUK	100.0
EME	100.0
HWM	100.0
ITW	100.0
LEU	100.0
LHX	100.0

Earnings imminent财报临近 binary catalyst — watch, not a buy二元催化 — 观察，非买入

Ticker标的	Reports公布	Cons. EPS预期EPS
LEN	2d天	1.3
AZO	8d天	54.97
GIS	9d天	0.71
PAYX	9d天	1.33
COST	10d天	6.48
FDS	16d天	4.3
MU	16d天	31.17
ACN	17d天	3.19
NKE	17d天	0.45
JEF	21d天	0.87

Bullish news flow看多新闻流

Ticker标的	Bullish看多占比	Articles文章
POWL	93%	15
KLAC	92%	50
MMC	92%	13
PH	92%	50
AIT	90%	10
FIX	90%	50
NVMI	90%	10
TOL	90%	50
VST	90%	50
JKHY	89%	9

Short-interest crowding空头拥挤 squeeze fuel — not a buy挤压燃料——非买入

Ticker标的	Days to cover回补天数	SI Δ空头变化
DEI	26.8	+3%
OTTR	26.6	-2%
MPT	20.9	+4%
TROW	20.5	+5%
RDNT	19.5	+3%
SBH	18.8	+1%
CXT	18.3	+11%
LKFN	18.1	+4%
DCOM	18.0	+12%
GIII	17.1	+1%

StockTwits retail buzzStockTwits散户热度

Ticker标的	Bullish看多占比	Watchers关注者
TSLA	81%	1,060,845
META	67%	601,506
AMD	84%	563,282
PLTR	100%	324,401
GOOG	68%	311,794
MU	100%	213,009
BA	92%	197,257
XYZ	83%	178,689
PYPL	100%	166,532
MARA	78%	158,210

🟥 Donald Trump trades特朗普交易 · 1,161 🏛️ Congress trading国会交易 · 100,030 🏛️ Senate trading参议院交易 · 5,065 🏛️ House trading众议院交易 · 5,526 📜 Government contracts政府合同 · 19,533 💼 Corporate lobbying企业游说 · 23,492 🌑 Off-exchange / dark pool场外/暗池 · 164,868 👔 Insider trading内部人交易 · 75,108 🏦 Institutional 13F机构13F · 346,705 🏦 13F position changes13F持仓变化 · 334,482 📺 CNBC stock picksCNBC选股 · 1,933 🦍 WallStreetBetsWSB热度 · 21,797 🛰️ SPAC sentimentSPAC情绪 · 2 🔬 US patents美国专利 · 12,717 ✈️ Corporate flights企业航班 · 53 💸 Corporate donors企业捐赠 · 3,773 📰 Quiver news feedQuiver新闻 · 2,489 📁 Congress holdings国会持仓 · 14,697 📑 Bill summaries法案摘要 · 1,207 📱 App ratings应用评分 · 169,789 🏛️ Top shareholders主要股东 · 353,959 💰 Executive comp高管薪酬 · 1,746

Sources: Quiver Quantitative + federal grants/loans (USAspending) · SEC 8-K material events · openFDA approvals · ClinicalTrials.gov · Polygon options/news · FINRA short interest · analyst estimate revisions · earnings calendar · StockTwits retail · Hugging Face · GitHub + curated influence graph. Public-record alt-data; the actionable axis is calibrated by the accountable ledger, not assumed right.数据来源：Quiver Quantitative + 联邦补助/贷款（USAspending）· SEC 8-K 重大事件 · openFDA 批准 · ClinicalTrials.gov · Polygon 期权/新闻 · FINRA 空头持仓 · 分析师预期修正 · 财报日历 · StockTwits 散户 · Hugging Face · GitHub + 精选影响力图谱。公开记录另类数据；可操作轴由可问责战绩校准，而非假定正确。

Desk scorecard研究台记分卡⚠ check⚠ 待复核One horizon is running the wrong way有一个周期方向相反 detail详情

Every name this desk surfaces is scored against what the stock actually did next, measured against SPY. Context only — never a trade instruction. 本台每个入选标的都以其之后的实际走势评分，并与标普对比。仅作参考 —— 绝非交易指令。 3,227 names recorded · 438 drops tracked 已记录 3,227 个标的 · 已追踪 438 次剔除

Horizon周期	graded已评分	rank skill排名预测力	trend skill趋势预测力	vs SPY对比标普	status状态
5d日	2811	-0.037	+0.012	-0.9%	measuring测量中
10d日	2558	-0.042	-0.047	-1.3%	measuring测量中
20d日	1888	-0.058	-0.013	-1.1%	check待复核
30d日	1424	-0.020	-0.004	-0.8%	measuring测量中
60d日	0	—	—	—	measuring测量中
90d日	0	—	—	—	measuring测量中

What the numbers say数据说明了什么

● 5d: score VELOCITY IC (+0.012) exceeds LEVEL IC (-0.037) — the change in the desk's score ranks winners better than its level.5d: score VELOCITY IC (+0.012) exceeds LEVEL IC (-0.037) — the change in the desk's score ranks winners better than its level.
▲ 5d: departed names (+0.4% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.9%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.5d: departed names (+0.4% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.9%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.
▲ 10d: departed names (+0.9% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-1.3%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.10d: departed names (+0.9% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-1.3%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.
⚠ 20d level IC is significantly NEGATIVE (-0.058, n=1888) — the desk's ranking is anti-predictive here; consider inverting or gating the score.20d level IC is significantly NEGATIVE (-0.058, n=1888) — the desk's ranking is anti-predictive here; consider inverting or gating the score.
▲ 20d: departed names (+1.8% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-1.1%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.20d: departed names (+1.8% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-1.1%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.
▲ 30d: departed names (+0.8% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.8%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.30d: departed names (+0.8% avg) OUTPERFORM on-desk names (-0.8%) — the desk may be exiting winners too early.

Lessons logged经验记录

2026-07-04 PRICE LESSON: grade off data/yahoo/<T>.parquet adjusted closes ONLY. The S&P-1500 breadth close cache (data/breadth/_closes_cache.parquet) is SPLIT-CORRUPTED — using it silently poisons every RS / forward-return number. A name missing from yahoo is a coverage skip here, never a wrong return.PRICE LESSON: grade off data/yahoo/<T>.parquet adjusted closes ONLY. The S&P-1500 breadth close cache (data/breadth/_closes_cache.parquet) is SPLIT-CORRUPTED — using it silently poisons every RS / forward-return number. A name missing from yahoo is a coverage skip here, never a wrong return.

~ marks a provisional reading from a single cross-section; the "proven" bar needs at least six separate grading dates. An accountable scorecard of this desk's own surfaced names — its ranking score (level AND velocity) graded against realized SPY-relative forward returns at 5/10/20/30/60/90 trading days, split on-desk vs after-leaving. A signal is 'proven' only past n>=40 with a significant Newey-West t of the right sign; a significant negative IC is an 'alarm'. Context-only — nothing here sizes a position.~ 表示来自单一横截面的暂定读数；"已验证"门槛需至少六个独立评分日。An accountable scorecard of this desk's own surfaced names — its ranking score (level AND velocity) graded against realized SPY-relative forward returns at 5/10/20/30/60/90 trading days, split on-desk vs after-leaving. A signal is 'proven' only past n>=40 with a significant Newey-West t of the right sign; a significant negative IC is an 'alarm'. Context-only — nothing here sizes a position.

News on these names这些标的的新闻 the demand-side tape beside the supply-side signal — context only, never blended需求侧舆情与供给侧信号并列——仅供参考，绝不混合

Loading…加载中…