International macro command center国际宏观指挥中心

🇮🇳India Macro印度宏观

India national economy; Nifty 50 and Sensex are market context.印度全国经济；Nifty 50与Sensex仅作市场背景。

Defensive防御
Data through数据截至 2026-09-11 ·Built生成 2026-09-15 00:06 UTC Limited coverage覆盖有限
Defensive posture防御姿态
Reduce leverage if food inflation, liquidity tightness and rupee pressure become concurrent.若食品通胀、流动性收紧与卢比压力同时出现，降低杠杆。

50 + growth impulse − inflation pressure − recession stress + liquidity + current calibrated-risk state. Descriptive, not a forecast.50 + 增长脉冲 − 通胀压力 − 衰退压力 + 流动性 + 当前校准风险状态。仅作描述，不是预测。

Regime周期
Stagflation
Liquidity流动性
Unknown
Recession stress衰退压力
44.00/100
Source state数据状态
Gaps visible缺口可见

Pullback risk回撤风险

Odds measured on this market's own history — windows, not certainties, re-drawn nightly.概率基于本市场自身历史测算 — 是概率窗口而非定论，每晚重算。

✅
Risk Radar风险雷达 CALM平静 · 56/100 ?Pullback-risk gauge. Use high readings to trim risk, not to pick stocks.回撤风险仪表。高读数用于降风险，不用于选股。
Calm — no driver elevated平静 — 无驱动升高
Pullback odds回撤概率 ≥5% drop · measured vs normal≥5% · 实测对比常态
18%within 21 days21 日内
1.0× vs normal对比常态 18%
3%
5d5日
9%
10d10日
18%
21d21日
normal常态
US rate shock美债利率冲击 90 Rupee depreciation / outflows卢比贬值／资金外流 44 Parabolic extension / exhaustion抛物线伸展／透支 13
Do应对Normal exposure.正常仓位。
🧾 Track record往绩12 graded已评分 · not yet moving the verdict尚未参与定调 ?Past-year hit rate: too few graded alerts yet | by scare: on 0 of 1 capital_flow days (daily readings — consecutive days overlap) | Watch/caution: on 0 of 6 watch/caution days a drop followed | Recovery: too few graded过去一年命中率：暂无足够评分记录；按类别：1 个capital_flow日中有 0 天（按日读数——连续日期相互重叠） | 观察/谨慎：6 个观察/谨慎日中有 0 天先于下跌 | 修复信号：暂无足够评分

Command cards指挥卡片

Open any card for evidence, definitions and provenance.打开任一卡片查看证据、定义与来源。

60-session decision path60交易日决策路径

Same descriptive scoring rule through history; the current risk-state adjustment is excluded from prior points.历史沿用同一描述性规则；过往点位不含当前风险状态调整。

2026-06-22range区间 11–672026-09-11

Local macro lenses本地宏观视角

Country-specific questions, not generic labels with the flag changed.国家专属问题，而非仅替换国旗的通用标签。

RBI policy & liquidityRBI政策与流动性

The stance is the rate plus banking-system liquidity.政策立场由利率与银行体系流动性共同决定。

Unavailable
Reserve Bank of India DBIE

WPI pipelineWPI价格链

Tracks input-cost pressure before consumer pass-through.追踪传导至消费者前的投入成本压力。

Awaiting verified official adapter
Ministry of Commerce and Industry

Monsoon sensitivity季风敏感度

Affects food supply, rural income and inflation tails.影响食品供给、农村收入与通胀尾部。

Awaiting verified official adapter
India Meteorological Department

Credit & liquidity信贷与流动性

Separates healthy expansion from funding pressure.区分健康扩张与融资压力。

Awaiting verified official adapter
Reserve Bank of India DBIE

Rupee, reserves & external balance卢比、储备与外部平衡

The buffer against oil and global-funding shocks.抵御油价与全球融资冲击的缓冲。

95.69
Reserve Bank of India DBIE

Verified policy calendar已核实政策日历

Past dates show a released state; the dashboard does not invent the decision outcome.过去日期显示已发布状态；看板不虚构决议结果。

2026-06-05

Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee印度储备银行货币政策委员会

Decision date passed — verify the official release决议日期已过——请核对官方发布 · official calendar官方日历

Released
2026-08-05

Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee印度储备银行货币政策委员会

Decision date passed — verify the official release决议日期已过——请核对官方发布 · official calendar官方日历

Released
2026-10-07

Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee印度储备银行货币政策委员会

Scheduled — no outcome yet已排期——尚无结果 · official calendar官方日历

Upcoming
2026-12-04

Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee印度储备银行货币政策委员会

Scheduled — no outcome yet已排期——尚无结果 · official calendar官方日历

Upcoming

Source health & data contract数据健康与数据契约

Official where practical; every fallback and gap remains visible.尽可能采用官方源；每项备用源与缺口均保持可见。

Provider提供方Role用途Cadence频率Access访问Status状态
Ministry of Statistics and Programme ImplementationCPI, IIP, GDP and labourMonthly / quarterlyOfficial CPI API and eSankhyiki clientauthoritative target / active where mapped
Reserve Bank of India DBIEPolicy, liquidity, credit, rates, reserves and external balanceDaily / weekly / monthlyOfficial downloadsauthoritative target / active where mapped
Ministry of Commerce and IndustryMerchandise trade and WPI contextMonthlyOfficial downloadsauthoritative target / active where mapped
India Meteorological DepartmentMonsoon timing and rainfallDaily / seasonalOfficial bulletinsauthoritative target / active where mapped
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (official-source republisher)Operational fallback for OECD, Eurostat and central-bank seriesSource dependentKeyless CSVactive fallback
Known limitation:已知限制： India’s official data are distributed across MoSPI and RBI systems. Until each adapter passes release-period and unit checks, unavailable fields remain blank rather than backfilled with unrelated proxies.印度官方数据分布于MoSPI与RBI系统。在各适配器通过发布期与单位检查前，不可用字段保持空白，不以无关代理补填。

Where next下一站

All five dashboards share this contract and interaction model.五个看板共享此数据契约与交互模型。

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