Materials原材料

DOWNTREND下跌趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。

⏱ DOWNTREND signal triggered 10 trading days ago (~2026-10-15), switching from NEARING A LOW. Signal strength: strong (score -80/100).⏱ 下跌趋势信号于 10 个交易日前触发(约 2026-10-15),自接近低点切换而来。 信号强度:强(评分 -80/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 22 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 22 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日 — approaching the window where lows usually form接近低点通常形成的时间窗口
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 18 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 18 周,典型周期为 13–25 周 — late — the bigger cycle is getting old晚期——更大的周期已趋于老化
The last cycle peaked mid-way — a neutral, balanced structure.上一周期在中段见顶——结构中性、均衡。
full reasoning完整推理

Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases).失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)。 Next:下一步: Stand aside until a new daily cycle low forms and confirms.观望,直至新的日线周期低点形成并确认。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart — sector basket图表 — 板块篮子

Equal-weight basket index (rebased) · 50/200-day moving averages · drawn from our stored EOD prices (the free TradingView widget gates HKEX data behind a login)等权篮子指数(再基准化)· 50/200 日均线 · 由我方存储的日线数据绘制(免费版 TradingView 组件需登录才能查看港股数据)

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector — this sector's curated large-caps (not a float-cap index). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股 — 本板块精选的大盘股(并非按自由流通市值编制的指数)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

Aluminum Corp of China 2600.HK UNCONFIRMED TURN未确认转向 UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKUNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISK ⏱ today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 49/~44 天
Jiangxi Copper 0358.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 ⏱ 10d ago10天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 22/~44 天
China Hongqiao 1378.HK BOTTOMING筑底中 HALF SIZE半仓 ⏱ today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 23/~44 天
CMOC Group 3993.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 ⏱ 10d ago10天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 22/~44 天
RUSAL 0486.HK NEARING A LOW接近低点 WAIT等待 ⏱ today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 10/~44 天