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BOTTOMING筑底中
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~23 day(s) ago @ 0.95 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe confirming, so this is a partial-conviction entry available now, not a pending trigger: take a half position here, or wait for the weekly to turn.日线转向已经完成——低点于约 23 天前形成 @ 0.95,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。

⏱ BOTTOMING signal triggered 6 trading days ago (~2026-10-22), switching from NEARING A HIGH. Signal strength: mild (score +35/100).⏱ 筑底中信号于 6 个交易日前触发(约 2026-10-22),自接近高点切换而来。 信号强度:温和(评分 +35/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 23 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 23 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日 — inside the typical low-timing window — a dip is more likely from here, though the trend can keep running处于典型的低点时间窗口内——从此处回调概率更高,但趋势仍可能延续
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 18 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 18 周,典型周期为 13–25 周 — late — the bigger cycle is getting old晚期——更大的周期已趋于老化
The last cycle peaked in its FIRST half ('left-translated') — weak cycles top early, so this hints the bigger trend is tiring.上一周期在前半段见顶(“左移”)——弱周期见顶偏早,这暗示更大的趋势正在走弱。
full reasoning完整推理

A new cycle low likely formed 23 day(s) ago (2026-09-25 @ 0.95): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell.新的周期低点可能已在 23 天前形成 (2026-09-25 @ 0.95):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号。 Next:下一步: Either wait for the weekly to turn, or size half until it does.可等待周线转向,或在其转向前先建半仓。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart — sector basket图表 — 板块篮子

Equal-weight basket index (rebased) · 50/200-day moving averages · drawn from our stored EOD prices (the free TradingView widget gates HKEX data behind a login)等权篮子指数(再基准化)· 50/200 日均线 · 由我方存储的日线数据绘制(免费版 TradingView 组件需登录才能查看港股数据)

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector — this sector's curated large-caps (not a float-cap index). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股 — 本板块精选的大盘股(并非按自由流通市值编制的指数)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

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Mengniu Dairy 2319.HK BOTTOMING筑底中 HALF SIZE半仓 ⏱ today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 17/~44 天
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