Property地产

DOWNTREND下跌趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。

⏱ DOWNTREND signal just triggered today (fresh cross from NEARING A LOW). Signal strength: strong (score -90/100).⏱ 下跌趋势信号于今日刚刚触发(全新交叉,自接近低点翻转)。 信号强度:强(评分 -90/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 54 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 54 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日overdue — past the typical window, so a low could form any day逾期——已超过典型窗口,低点随时可能形成
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 12 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 12 周,典型周期为 13–25 周mid — the bigger up-leg is maturing中期——更大的上行段正在成熟
The last cycle peaked in its FIRST half ('left-translated') — weak cycles top early, so this hints the bigger trend is tiring.上一周期在前半段见顶(“左移”)——弱周期见顶偏早,这暗示更大的趋势正在走弱。
full reasoning完整推理

Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell.失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号。 Next:下一步: Stand aside until a new daily cycle low forms and confirms.观望,直至新的日线周期低点形成并确认。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart — sector basket图表 — 板块篮子

Equal-weight basket index (rebased) · 50/200-day moving averages · drawn from our stored EOD prices (the free TradingView widget gates HKEX data behind a login)等权篮子指数(再基准化)· 50/200 日均线 · 由我方存储的日线数据绘制(免费版 TradingView 组件需登录才能查看港股数据)

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector — this sector's curated large-caps (not a float-cap index). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股 — 本板块精选的大盘股(并非按自由流通市值编制的指数)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

Sun Hung Kai Properties 0016.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 2d ago2天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 27/~44
China Resources Land 1109.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 11d ago11天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 25/~44
China Overseas Land 0688.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 6d ago6天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 27/~44
Link REIT 0823.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 2d ago2天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 24/~44
New World Development 0017.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 4d ago4天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 53/~44
Wharf REIC 1997.HK NEARING A LOW接近低点 WATCH观察 1d ago1天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 60/~44
Henderson Land 0012.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 2d ago2天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 22/~44