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DOWNTREND下跌趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。

⏱ DOWNTREND signal triggered 4 trading days ago (~2026-09-09), switching from NEARING A LOW. Signal strength: strong (score -80/100).⏱ 下跌趋势信号于 4 个交易日前触发(约 2026-09-09),自接近低点切换而来。 信号强度:强(评分 -80/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 16 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 16 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日approaching the window where lows usually form接近低点通常形成的时间窗口
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 12 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 12 周,典型周期为 13–25 周mid — the bigger up-leg is maturing中期——更大的上行段正在成熟
The last cycle peaked in its SECOND half ('right-translated') — strong cycles top late, a healthy-uptrend sign.上一周期在后半段见顶(“右移”)——强周期见顶偏晚,属于健康上涨趋势的信号。
full reasoning完整推理

Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases).失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)。 Next:下一步: Stand aside until a new daily cycle low forms and confirms.观望,直至新的日线周期低点形成并确认。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart — sector basket图表 — 板块篮子

Equal-weight basket index (rebased) · 50/200-day moving averages · drawn from our stored EOD prices (the free TradingView widget gates HKEX data behind a login)等权篮子指数(再基准化)· 50/200 日均线 · 由我方存储的日线数据绘制(免费版 TradingView 组件需登录才能查看港股数据)

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector — this sector's curated large-caps (not a float-cap index). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股 — 本板块精选的大盘股(并非按自由流通市值编制的指数)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

Tencent 0700.HK NEARING A HIGH接近高点 DON'T CHASE勿追高 today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 37/~44
Alibaba 9988.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 6d ago6天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 37/~44
Meituan 3690.HK BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 2d ago2天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 56/~44
JD.com 9618.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 6d ago6天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 22/~44
Xiaomi 1810.HK BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 6d ago6天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 22/~44
Baidu 9888.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 3d ago3天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 16/~44
Kuaishou 1024.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 5d ago5天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 37/~44
Lenovo 0992.HK BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 today今日 daily cycle day日线周期第 51/~44
SMIC 0981.HK DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 1d ago1天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 33/~44
Alibaba Health 0241.HK NEARING A LOW接近低点 WATCH观察 1d ago1天前 daily cycle day日线周期第 56/~44