AeroVironment Inc
- Strong Q1 Results & Defense Growth Catalyst: Revenue ($480.5m, +6.3% vs. consensus), EBITDA ($53.4m, +36.6%), and FY27 guidance reiterated; funded backlog up 37% YoY (defense sector) drives margin expansion potential.
- Cash Flow Mismatch & Valuation Risk: 140.9% revenue growth contrasts with negative FCF yield (-1.3%) and cash flow from operations ($78.4M) below net income ($265.1M); high P/E (78.2) and EV/EBITDA (45.2) mask cash flow vulnerabilities.
- Revised Guidance & Critical Execution Risks: FY27 revenue revised down to $2.13–$2.23bn (vs. prior $2.192–$2.551bn); price target cut to $285 (from $326); key risks include unfulfilled large program awards and BlueHalo integration.