Stocks股票 / Real Estate / AVB
AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate
AVB US listed · USD美股 · 美元
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.AvalonBay社区公司是一家公开交易的房地产投资信托基金，投资于公寓。
Large cap大盘 · $27B
Mixed profile混合特征
Real Estate
S&P 500标普500
$191.84
-$0.69 · -0.36%
52w low52周低 $157high高 $199
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the daily momentum is already rolling over — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且日线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Short-term Rising TrendIchimoku — Price Above Cloud
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+3.2% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+8.6% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
21
Trending趋势中
Volatility波动率
71th percentile第71百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-299days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | AVB | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 39.4x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 2.31x | 2.01 | |
| P/S市销率 | 8.84x | 6.78 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.82% | 3.83 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 12.27x | 14.05 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
66.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
55.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.12
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$488.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$26.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Real Estate (Equal-Weight) theme — #7 of 46 themes「房地产（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 7 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AVB daily MACD crossed downAVB 日线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.37%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.07%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$185
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-8.6%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.0M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.0M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-18 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-18 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Jul 20, 2026
AVB daily MACD crossed downAVB 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $191.84.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$191.84。
Jul 17, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 16, 2026
AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $195.50.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$195.50。
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $194.53.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$194.53。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $193.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$193.96。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 2894 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.AvalonBay社区公司是一家公开交易的房地产投资信托基金，投资于公寓。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 39.4× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.3× | 2.0× | 38% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 8.8× | 6.8× | 29% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 12.3× | 14.1× | 63% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.2% | 6.7% | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 18% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
19/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
62/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
47/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
25/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#86 / 103
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.2% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.5% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +9.4% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.5% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -1.6% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +8.2% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | -0.1% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.32
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th pctile
Short interest空头占比
2.1% of float
Market cap市值
$27B
Dividend yield股息率
3.70%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-2.5%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.5×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.3B | $2.3B | $2.6B | $2.8B | $2.9B | $3.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $5.89 | $7.19 | $8.12 | $6.56 | $7.60 | $7.40 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 36.0% | 43.8% | 43.8% | 33.5% | 37.1% | 35.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.7B
Total assets总资产
$22.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$11.6B
Buybacks股票回购
$488M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.14B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Revenue growth营收增速
+2.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+5.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.02 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.02——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
55
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
36
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
21
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.0%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+1.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+3.2%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+8.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
71/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 74d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 561d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 469d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 252d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 939d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 121d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 121d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 749d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 87d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 92d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 63d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 22d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1177d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 126d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3140d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 11d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-6.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
39.4×
Profit margin净利率
37.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$200
Put wall看跌期权墙
$190
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$185
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$200
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$195
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+5.2%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-8.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 1
Short interest空头占流通盘
2.1%
Days to cover回补天数
2.2
Short interest change空头变化
-8.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Sep · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -1.8% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 40% | -1.0% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -1.1% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| May5月 | 33% | -0.1% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +4.5% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +1.8% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +0.8% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 20% | -3.4% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 20% | -3.3% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +4.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +0.7% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +2.6% avg, up 70% of years (n=33)7月：平均 +2.6%，70% 的年份上涨（n=33）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。