Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Real Estate / AVB
AvalonBay Communities · Real Estate
AVB US listed · USD美股 · 美元
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.AvalonBay社区公司是一家公开交易的房地产投资信托基金，投资于公寓。
Large cap大盘 · $26B
Real Estate
Mixed profile混合特征
$183.91
+$4.12 · +2.29%
52w low52周低 $157high高 $199
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14MA Buy (100)RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.9% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+3.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
48th percentile第48百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -4.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-4.2%（20日）
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | AVB | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 37.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 2.22x | 1.90 | |
| P/S市销率 | 8.47x | 6.88 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.89% | 3.79 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.89x | 14.76 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$3.0B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$7.402025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
66.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
55.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.12
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$488.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$26.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Real Estate (Equal-Weight) theme — #46 of 49 themes「房地产（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 46 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +17.9%空头仓位变动 +17.9%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.06%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±2.37%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$178
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-9.8%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-08-12 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-08-12 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Aug 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Aug 10, 2026
AVB broke down vs the marketAVB 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $183.84.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$183.84。
Aug 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Aug 5, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 4, 2026
AVB StochRSI turned up from oversoldAVB StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $189.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$189.25。
Jul 31, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 29, 2026
AVB took relative-strength leadershipAVB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $192.45.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$192.45。
Jul 29, 2026
AVB StochRSI turned up from oversoldAVB StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $192.45.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$192.45。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 2906 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.AvalonBay社区公司是一家公开交易的房地产投资信托基金，投资于公寓。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 37.8× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.2× | 1.9× | 38% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 8.5× | 6.9× | 30% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 11.9× | 14.8× | 66% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 40% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 21% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
25/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
24/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
40/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
26/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#80 / 102
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.4% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.1% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.6% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.5% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.0% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +0.1% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +12.0% | +79.7% |
| 5 Years近5年 | -2.7% | +86.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.29
Volatility rank波动率分位
48th pctile
Short interest空头占比
2.7% of float
Market cap市值
$26B
Dividend yield股息率
3.92%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-5.9%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
1.3×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.3B | $2.3B | $2.6B | $2.8B | $2.9B | $3.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $5.89 | $7.19 | $8.12 | $6.56 | $7.60 | $7.40 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 36.0% | 43.8% | 43.8% | 33.5% | 37.1% | 35.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.7B
Total assets总资产
$22.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$11.6B
Buybacks股票回购
$488M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.14B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Revenue growth营收增速
+2.3%
Asset growth资产增速
+5.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.95 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.95——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
44
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
67
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.0%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-2.2%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+3.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
65/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 66d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 588d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 496d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Buy (100) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 279d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 966d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 28d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 148d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 6d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 6d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 776d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 6d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 119d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 48d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 24d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 9d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 36d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 125d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 106d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 148d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | quiet静默 | — |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 27d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 232d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | quiet静默 | — |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | quiet静默 | — |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | quiet静默 | — |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 107d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 189d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 99d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 147d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 140d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 122d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 34d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | quiet静默 | — |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 48d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 153d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 150d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | quiet静默 | 125d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 118d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 196d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 177d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 624d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 139d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | 3103d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 128d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 34d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 232d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | quiet静默 | — |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 128d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 133d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 107d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 143d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 434d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | quiet静默 | 134d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1204d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 153d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3167d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 38d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-1.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
37.8×
Profit margin净利率
33.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$200
Put wall看跌期权墙
$170
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$178
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$200
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$170
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+3.2%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-9.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
2.7%
Days to cover回补天数
5.1
Short interest change空头变化
+17.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
May · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -1.8% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 40% | -1.0% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -1.1% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| May5月 | 20% | -1.3% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +4.5% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 33% | -0.2% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +0.8% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 20% | -3.4% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 20% | -3.3% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +4.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +0.7% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Aug: +0.7% avg, up 58% of years (n=33)8月：平均 +0.7%，58% 的年份上涨（n=33）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。