Stocks股票 / Industrials / CARR
Carrier Global · Industrials
CARR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Carrier Global Corporation is an American multinational heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and fire and security equipment corporation based in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.开利全球公司是一家美国跨国供暖、通风和空调、制冷以及消防和安全设备公司，总部位于佛罗里达州棕榈滩花园。
Large cap大盘 · $56B
Cyclical周期股
Industrials
S&P 500标普500
$66.98
-$1.71 · -2.49%
52w low52周低 $49.10high高 $80.59
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.8% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
50th percentile第50百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -9.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.9%（20日）
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | CARR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 37.74x | 29.54 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.58x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.65% | 3.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.79% | 3.85 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.54% | 2.33 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.13x | 16.30 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 26.40x | 24.91 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -5.2%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
10.0%
Net margin净利率
6.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.88
Current ratio流动比率1.20
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$2.9B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$74.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.8%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.83%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.32%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$61
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.1%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 25% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 0.48; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +5,843); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占25%；11个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.48；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +5,843）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$1.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$1.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-08 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-08 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
CARR StochRSI turned up from oversoldCARR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $68.61.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$68.61。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
CARR daily MACD crossed downCARR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $72.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$72.07。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 18, 2026
CARR took relative-strength leadershipCARR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $71.81.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$71.81。
Jun 9, 2026
CARR took relative-strength leadershipCARR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $71.24.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$71.24。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 87 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Carrier Global Corporation is an American multinational heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and fire and security equipment corporation based in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.开利全球公司是一家美国跨国供暖、通风和空调、制冷以及消防和安全设备公司，总部位于佛罗里达州棕榈滩花园。
Demand chain:需求链： Homebuilder volume (revenue) contracting (-4% YoY to ~$113B) — the demand pool for building-products suppliers建筑商销量（营收）收缩（同比-4%，约 $113B）——建材供应商的需求来源
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 37.7× | 29.5× | 32% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.6× | 2.2× | 44% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 19.1× | 16.3× | 33% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 38% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.5% | 5.6% | 36% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 6.5% | 2.3% | 89% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
32/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
64/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
75/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
21/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#133 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -6.7% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.9% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +16.4% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +26.1% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -11.3% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.27
Volatility rank波动率分位
50th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.9% of float
Market cap市值
$56B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.77
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-16.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $17.5B | $20.6B | $20.4B | $22.1B | $22.5B | $21.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.25 | $1.87 | $4.10 | $1.58 | $6.15 | $1.72 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.4B | $1.9B | $1.4B | $2.1B | $44M | $2.1B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | 26.6% | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 17.6% | 6.5% | 24.9% | 6.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 0.2% | 9.8% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$21.7B
Net income净利润
$1.5B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$2.5B
Total assets总资产
$37.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$11.4B
Dividends paid股息支出
$772M
Buybacks股票回购
$2.9B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.84B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on assets资产回报率
4.0%
Debt / assets负债/资产
30.6%
Profit growth利润增速
-73.5%
Asset growth资产增速
-0.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +52% vs sales +25% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +52% 对销售 +25%——存货积压，需求风险
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.74 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.74——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
43
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
10
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
56/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$75
Put wall看跌期权墙
$65
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$61
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$75
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$65
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+8.9%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-1.1%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$1.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 0
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.9%
Days to cover回补天数
2.7
Short interest change空头变化
-5.4%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P HomebuildersSPDR S&P Homebuilders
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。