Stocks股票 / Real Estate / SAFE
Safehold, Inc. · Real Estate
SAFE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Small cap小盘 · $1B
Distressed困境股
Real Estate
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$16.39
-$0.71 · -4.15%
52w low52周低 $12.18high高 $17.45
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/overbought — not a safe entry. Wait for…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.1% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
71th percentile第71百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | SAFE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.27x | 31.14 | |
| P/B市净率 | 0.49x | 2.01 | |
| P/S市销率 | 3.05x | 6.78 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.73% | 3.13 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 52.45x | 14.05 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -6.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
Operating margin营业利润率
26.2%
Net margin净利率
29.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.4%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 5%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA41.70
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$122.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$12.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
SAFE took relative-strength leadershipSAFE 取得相对强弱领先
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-17 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-17 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Jul 16, 2026
SAFE took relative-strength leadershipSAFE 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $17.17.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$17.17。
Jul 14, 2026
SAFE made a new 52-week highSAFE 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $16.44.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$16.44。
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
SAFE made a new 52-week highSAFE 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $16.39.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$16.39。
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 261 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 10.3× | 31.1× | 91% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.5× | 2.0× | 97% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 3.0× | 6.8× | 80% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 52.5× | 14.1× | 2% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.7% | 3.1% | 93% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.1% | 6.7% | 15% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
34/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
54/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
57/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
46/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#72 / 103
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.0% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +5.4% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.9% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +21.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +15.5% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -24.0% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.71
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th pctile
Short interest空头占比
4.4% of float
Market cap市值
$1B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.60
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-4.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $531M | $309M | $158M | $353M | $366M | $386M |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.87 | $1.51 | $4.92 | $-0.82 | $1.48 | $1.59 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | 98.7% | 98.8% | 98.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | -8.0% | 42.9% | 266.6% | -15.6% | 28.9% | 29.7% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$386M
Net income净利润
$114M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$48M
Total assets总资产
$7.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.4B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.07B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
4.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
1.6%
Profit growth利润增速
+8.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+5.1%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals elevated vs peers (earnings lean on non-cash items)盈利质量：应计利润高于同业（盈利依赖非现金项目）
- Pricing power: profitability near the peer median定价能力：盈利能力接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 0.28 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 0.28——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
55
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
19
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+1.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.1%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
52/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-2.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-4
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
4.4%
Days to cover回补天数
6.5
Short interest change空头变化
+1.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Feb · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -12.4% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 100% | +13.9% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.7% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -11.4% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -3.9% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +4.7% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +4.6% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +8.3% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -4.6% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -7.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +0.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +0.2% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。