Stocks股票 / Health Care / SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Health Care
SUPN US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Health Care
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$47.42
-$0.62 · -1.29%
52w low52周低 $31.93high高 $57.78
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 43.58.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 43.58 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.9% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-3.4% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
66th percentile第66百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | SUPN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 2.57x | 3.44 | |
| P/S市销率 | 3.79x | 2.97 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.42% | 2.72 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.69% | 4.00 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 88.67x | 18.18 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 59.24x | 22.08 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 12.9%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
-8.7%
Net margin净利率
-5.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 -4%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-4.39
Current ratio流动比率1.90
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$33.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +17.0%空头仓位变动 +17.0%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$17.0M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$17.0M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
SUPN lost its 200-day averageSUPN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $48.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$48.75。
Jul 8, 2026
SUPN reclaimed its 200-day averageSUPN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $50.44.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$50.44。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 252 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.6× | 3.4× | 66% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 3.8× | 3.0× | 40% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 88.7× | 18.2× | 3% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.4% | 2.7% | 19% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.7% | 5.5% | 15% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
19/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
28/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
74/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#45 / 165
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.8% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.5% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.2% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.1% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +46.6% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +54.9% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.64
Volatility rank波动率分位
66th pctile
Short interest空头占比
12.4% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$-0.67
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-16.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20192019 | 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $393M | $520M | $580M | $667M | $662M | $719M |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.10 | $2.36 | $0.98 | $1.04 | $1.32 | $-0.68 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $140M | $135M | — | — | $171M | $46M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 95.8% | 89.9% | — | — | 88.2% | 89.6% |
| Net margin净利率 | 28.8% | 24.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | -5.4% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 35.7% | 25.9% | — | — | 25.9% | 6.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$719M
Net income净利润
$-39M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$47M
Total assets总资产
$1.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.1B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.06B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
-3.6%
Return on assets资产回报率
-2.7%
Profit growth利润增速
-152.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+6.2%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +322% vs sales +83%; receivables +115% vs sales +83% — demand & revenue-quality risk营运资本：存货 +322% 对销售 +83%；应收 +115% 对销售 +83%——需求与营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin −6.2pts over 4 years定价能力：毛利率 4 年下降 6.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +9.4% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 9.4%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 5.29 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 5.29——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
51
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
25
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-3.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
53/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+2.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$17.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 8
Short interest空头占流通盘
12.4%
Days to cover回补天数
7.0
Short interest change空头变化
+17.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -3.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +7.7% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -7.1% | 3 |
| May5月 | 0% | -3.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 25% | -0.4% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +11.1% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +17.7% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -11.6% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +9.1% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +7.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +6.4% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。