Institutional 13F · Context Only · Never a Buy List机构 13F · 仅供参考 · 非买入清单
Baupost Group (Klarman)
superinvestor_value
B
Reliability improving可靠性走强
leaderboard rank榜单排名 #18FADE淡出
Book持仓规模
$5.4B
long US listed only仅美股多头
Positions持仓数
23
91% resolved已解析
Top-10 concentration前十集中度
75%
% of book占组合%
Turnover换手
LOW
21.1% per quarter每季
Median excess中位超额
-8%
buys vs SPY, since filing买入相对SPY,自披露起 · n 93
Hit rate胜率
39%
share of buys beating SPY跑赢SPY的买入占比
Core lean — the 10-second read核心倾向 — 10秒速读
Core lean: Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) — added AMZN, GPC, NCLH (+25.6pp of book this quarter)核心倾向:非必需消费(等权) — 本季度加仓 AMZN、GPC、NCLH(占组合 +25.6pp)
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight)非必需消费(等权)
+25.6pp
25.6% of book held占组合持有
· 3 names标的
· US Sectors (EW)
Magnificent Seven七巨头
+16.5pp
16.5% of book held占组合持有
· 1 names标的
· AI & Technology
AMZN
Communication Services (Equal-Weight)通信服务(等权)
+8.9pp
8.9% of book held占组合持有
· 1 names标的
· US Sectors (EW)
GOOG
Travel & Experiences旅行与体验
+3.0pp
3.0% of book held占组合持有
· 1 names标的
· Consumer Cyclical
NCLH
Crypto & Digital Rails加密与数字轨道
+2.5pp
2.5% of book held占组合持有
· 1 names标的
· Crypto & Digital Assets
CME
Financials (Equal-Weight)金融(等权)
+2.5pp
11.2% of book held占组合持有
· 3 names标的
· US Sectors (EW)
CME
Descriptive read of the latest filing — themes clustered from curated baskets (Finviz fallback), added-pp = Σ % of book bought this quarter. Not a forecast.基于最新披露的描述性解读——主题按精选篮子聚类(Finviz 兜底),added-pp = 本季度买入占组合百分比之和。非预测。
Grade & excess history评级与超额历史
per-quarter buy cohorts, scored on public filing dates vs SPY — descriptive ranks in a curated survivor cohort按季度买入队列,以公开披露日为锚相对SPY评分——精选幸存者队列中的描述性排名
Reliability可靠性:
improving走强
· 13 scored quarters已评分季度
· 15% positive为正
· recent-4 median近4季中位 -1%
vs all-time对全期 -18%
Median excess by quarter各季度中位超额:
▁▂▁▂█▄▃▄▅▂▄▄
(oldest → newest, shifted by the series minimum so negatives render由旧到新,按序列最小值平移以呈现负值)
| Quarter季度 |
Buys买入数 |
Median excess中位超额 |
Hit胜率 |
Median fwd 63d中位前瞻63日 |
| 2023-06-30 |
8 |
-20% |
25% |
-5% |
| 2023-09-30 |
5 |
-45% |
0% |
+3% |
| 2023-12-31 |
3 |
-33% |
33% |
-17% |
| 2024-03-31 |
7 |
-38% |
29% |
-13% |
| 2024-06-30 |
13 |
-29% |
46% |
-1% |
| 2024-09-30 |
6 |
+36% |
67% |
-7% |
| 2024-12-31 |
7 |
-1% |
43% |
+3% |
| 2025-03-31 |
7 |
-18% |
29% |
-10% |
| 2025-06-30 |
7 |
-9% |
43% |
-5% |
| 2025-09-30 |
6 |
+9% |
67% |
+8% |
| 2025-12-31 |
8 |
-30% |
25% |
-20% |
| 2026-03-31 |
9 |
-0% |
44% |
+5% |
| 2026-06-30 |
7 |
-2% |
43% |
— |
Sector exposure & rotation行业配置与轮动
value-weighted, latest filing; QoQ deltas vs prior quarter按市值加权,最新披露;季度环比变化对上季
Method note: the current sector/theme map is applied to historical quarters — classification is as-of today, not point-in-time (survivorship-lite). Unresolved names are bucketed as Unclassified.方法说明:历史季度使用当前的行业/主题映射——分类以今日为准,非时点分类(轻度幸存者偏差)。未解析标的归入“未分类”。
Current weights当前权重 · 2026-06-30
Consumer Cyclical
34.7%
▲ +5.9pp
Industrials
19.2%
▼ -5.0pp
Healthcare
15.1%
▲ +1.5pp
Financial
11.2%
▼ -2.9pp
Communication Services
8.9%
▲ +2.3pp
Unclassified
4.4%
▼ -0.0pp
Consumer Defensive
2.2%
▼ -0.4pp
Basic Materials
2.2%
▼ -1.1pp
Technology
2.1%
▼ -0.3pp
Theme categories主题类别
US Sectors (EW) 21.0%
AI & Technology 16.5%
Healthcare 11.8%
Industrials 10.6%
Financials 8.7%
Consumer Cyclical 3.0%
Rotating into (QoQ)轮入(环比)
Consumer Cyclical +5.9pp
Communication Services +2.3pp
Healthcare +1.5pp
Rotating out of (QoQ)轮出(环比)
Industrials -5.0pp
Financial -2.9pp
Basic Materials -1.1pp
Quarter history — top-3 sectors季度历史 — 前三大行业
| 2026-06-30 |
Consumer Cyclical 35% · Industrials 19% · Healthcare 15%
|
| 2026-03-31 |
Consumer Cyclical 29% · Industrials 24% · Financial 14%
|
| 2025-12-31 |
Consumer Cyclical 23% · Industrials 19% · Financial 17%
|
| 2025-09-30 |
Industrials 20% · Financial 16% · Consumer Cyclical 15%
|
| 2025-06-30 |
Financial 21% · Industrials 16% · Basic Materials 12%
|
| 2025-03-31 |
Financial 22% · Industrials 14% · Unclassified 13%
|
| 2024-12-31 |
Unclassified 21% · Financial 17% · Industrials 13%
|
| 2024-09-30 |
Unclassified 31% · Financial 17% · Technology 15%
|
| 2024-06-30 |
Unclassified 26% · Financial 20% · Healthcare 14%
|
| 2024-03-31 |
Unclassified 30% · Financial 24% · Technology 15%
|
| 2023-12-31 |
Unclassified 40% · Financial 17% · Communication Services 16%
|
| 2023-09-30 |
Unclassified 48% · Communication Services 16% · Financial 14%
|
Full book完整持仓
every resolved position as filed — click a column header to sort. Conviction is a descriptive composite, not a forecast.截至披露日的全部已解析持仓——点击列头排序。信念分为描述性综合指标,非预测。
Rotation detail轮动明细
this filing cycle, uncapped — adds/new and trims from the resolved book, exits from the rotation feed本披露周期,不设上限——新建/加仓与减持取自已解析持仓,清仓取自轮动数据
Trade log交易记录
last 40 graded trades, filing-date anchored, newest first — variable hold vs SPY最近40笔已评分交易,以披露日为锚,最新在前——持有期不定,相对SPY
No graded trades available for this fund.该基金暂无已评分交易。
Caveats注意事项 —
13F = quarterly, ~45-day lag, reported long positions from managers with at least $100M in Section 13(f) securities. No shorts, no cash, no non-US positions. This desk is context — ownership is never a directional signal here.13F = 季度披露,约45天滞后,仅含美股多头且持仓≥1亿美元。不含空头、现金或非美股仓位。本台仅为背景参考——持仓数据在此永远不是方向性信号。
Grades and reliability are descriptive ranks within a curated survivor cohort — they measure what filings did after their filing dates, not a manager-selection edge. Conviction and core-lean reads are descriptive composites earning a forward record via the pre-registered ledger (L5); sector/theme classification applies the current map to history.评级与可靠性为精选幸存者队列中的描述性排名——衡量披露日之后持仓的表现,而非经理选择能力。信念分与核心倾向为描述性综合指标,通过预注册账本(L5)积累前瞻记录;行业/主题分类将当前映射应用于历史。