Taiwan Weekly Kickstart TAIEX +2
Portfolio Strategy Research 19 September 2026 | 12:52AM HKT
TAIEX +2.2%, led by semis, with all sectors posting gains despite a hawkish Fed hike; QFIIs remained net sellers but bought US$3.4bn on Friday and sharply reduced net short futures positions
Performance: TAIEX/MXTW gained 2.2%, outperforming Services data show hedge funds have continued to reduce Alvin So, CFA | MXAPJ by 2.0pp. Semis led gains (TSMC +2%, others +5%), Taiwan exposure since September, driven primarily by long Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
followed by Energy, Telecom, and Capital Goods (all +3%), sales (Exhibit 3); Mutual funds across regional and global Timothy Moe, CFA | while Staples, Autos, Materials, and Retail lagged, rising mandates continued to trim Taiwan exposure in August, Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte
0-1%. TWD weakened 0.4% vs. USD to 31.8. (Exhibit 14) with current long-only positioning (vs. benchmark weights) Kinger Lau, CFA | near 10-year lows (Exhibit 5); EM/AEJ funds reduced Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Flows: QFIIs were net sellers of US$200mn in cash equities Terry Chan exposure to Tech (ex-TSMC), Consumer, Insurance, and this week despite US$3.4bn of buying on Friday, partly | Commodity-related stocks (Exhibit 8) Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. driven by FTSE rebalancing inflows, with net purchases of other Tech (+US$1.9bn) offset by heavy selling in TSMC EPS Revisions: Consensus 2027E EPS is up 0.1%, with most (-US$1.0bn), Commodities (-US$400mn), and ETFs, while +ve revisions in Transportation, Commodities, Financials investors also reduced US$4.4bn of net short futures and Hardware, vs. -ve revisions in Consumers (Exhibit 52) positions (Exhibit 17). Local funds were net buyers of Valuations: f12m/24m PE at 18.5x/14.5x (+1.4/+0.6 s.d.) US$1.0bn, with purchases concentrated in non-Tech sectors (Exhibit 18). Retail investors were net sellers of US$2.4bn in TSMC ADR Premium: Rose to 12% (-1pp); Reversal index cash equities, with margin balances declining modestly after GSSRTSMR is at -0.2 (relatively neutral, Exhibit 53). the recent recovery and net long futures positions reduced sharply (Exhibit 24). Short interest ratios rebounded Cross-Strait Risk: GSSRCSRI moderated to 77 (Exhibit 56) (Exhibit 28). ETFs attracted US$1.6bn of inflows after five Macro Data: Policy rate unchanged at 2.0% with benign consecutive weeks of outflows or muted flows, led by inflation outlook dividend ETFs (+US$1.0bn), followed by broad-market passive ETFs (+US$300mn), active ETFs (+US$200mn), and Upcoming Data: Export Orders (Tue), IP (GSe: +28.0% yoy leveraged ETFs (+US$200mn) (Exhibit 33). vs. Cons 25.7%, July +25.6%) and Retail Sales (Wed)
Hedge Fund Flows and Mutual Fund Positioning: GS Prime
Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to
Goldman Sachs Taiwan Weekly Kickstart
Charts of the Week: Flows and Positioning in Focus 3
Taiwan Market/Sector Summary & Scorecard 5
Regional Fund Flows and Positioning 19
TSMC ADR Premium Reversal Index (GSSRTSMR) 22
Equity and Policy Risk Indicators 23
Monthly Sales Tracker (August 2026) 25
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