GS Novak GS U.S. Industrials & Materials tough EPS start
- CPI & Core PCE Surprises: Core CPI +0.33% (vs. 20% est.), driven by shelter (OER +0.35% MoM); Core PCE +0.32% (vs. 20% est.), YoY +3.09%—upward revisions signal persistent inflation, delaying Fed rate cuts and triggering sector sell-offs.
- Quality Factor Overbought Risk: GSP1QUAL at 12m high (up 20% in 3mo), RSI 83 (stretched)—reversal risk if CPI softens or rates peak, critical for portfolio positioning amid inflation data.
- Sector-Specific Fundamentals: RPM (consumer weakness/supply chain), DAL (RASM acceleration vs.