Euro Weekly Digest
- **Q2 GDP & Wage Dynamics**: EA GDP +0.4% q/q (exceeding ECB’s 0.2% forecast), driven by resilient domestic demand; wage tracker confirms stable pressures through Q1-2027 with no second-round inflation risk.
- **Credit Flows & Geopolitical Resilience**: June bank lending survey shows EUR 46B monthly flows (corporate loans EUR 26B), defying geopolitical risks; contradicts growth concerns and signals ECB rate hike potential.
- **ECB Policy Divergence & Rate Outlook**: Kazimir signals potential additional hike amid sticky inflation, while Patsalides remains uncertain; market pricing at ~2.75% vs.
- DB forecast of 2.5%.