Semiconductors半导体 (512760.SS)
NEARING A LOW接近低点
Entry入场 ▲ +29 lightlight?How well-timed & low-risk THIS entry is — near the cycle low, a fresh momentum turn, and with-trend. Measured: entries near the pivot drew ~30% smaller drawdowns than chasers far above it — risk control, NOT a return forecast.衡量当前入场的时机与风险——贴近周期低点、动量新近转向、且顺势。实测：贴近枢轴的入场，其回撤比远离枢轴的追高者约小 30%——这是风险控制，并非收益预测。
WATCH观察
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–15 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–15 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
⏱ NEARING A LOW signal just triggered today (fresh cross from BOTTOMING). Signal strength: faint (score +10/100).⏱ 接近低点信号于今日刚刚触发（全新交叉，自筑底中翻转）。 信号强度：微弱（评分 +10/100）。
📅 Daily cycle: day 29 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期：第 29 天，典型周期为 23–44 个交易日 — inside the typical low-timing window — a dip is more likely from here, though the trend can keep running处于典型的低点时间窗口内——从此处回调概率更高，但趋势仍可能延续
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 16 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线（投资者）周期：第 16 周，典型周期为 13–25 周 — late — the bigger cycle is getting old晚期——更大的周期已趋于老化
The last cycle peaked in its SECOND half ('right-translated') — strong cycles top late, a healthy-uptrend sign.上一周期在后半段见顶（“右移”）——强周期见顶偏晚，属于健康上涨趋势的信号。
full reasoning完整推理
Day 29 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet.典型 23-44 天周期的第 29 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向。 Next:下一步： Wait for the turn: a move above the low candle's high, then a close back above the 10-day average.等待转向：先上破低点 K 线的高点，再收盘重新站上 10 日均线。