Banks银行 (512800.SS)
BOTTOMING筑底中
Entry入场 ▲ +59 SolidSolid?How well-timed & low-risk THIS entry is — near the cycle low, a fresh momentum turn, and with-trend. Measured: entries near the pivot drew ~30% smaller drawdowns than chasers far above it — risk control, NOT a return forecast.衡量当前入场的时机与风险——贴近周期低点、动量新近转向、且顺势。实测:贴近枢轴的入场,其回撤比远离枢轴的追高者约小 30%——这是风险控制,并非收益预测。
HALF SIZE半仓
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~21 day(s) ago @ 0.83 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe confirming, so this is a partial-conviction entry available now, not a pending trigger: take a half position here, or wait for the weekly to turn.日线转向已经完成——低点于约 21 天前形成 @ 0.83,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
⏱ BOTTOMING signal triggered 2 trading days ago (~2026-10-28), switching from NEARING A HIGH. Signal strength: moderate (score +45/100).⏱ 筑底中信号于 2 个交易日前触发(约 2026-10-28),自接近高点切换而来。 信号强度:中等(评分 +45/100)。
📅 Daily cycle: day 21 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 21 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日 — approaching the window where lows usually form接近低点通常形成的时间窗口
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 18 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 18 周,典型周期为 13–25 周 — late — the bigger cycle is getting old晚期——更大的周期已趋于老化
The last cycle peaked in its SECOND half ('right-translated') — strong cycles top late, a healthy-uptrend sign.上一周期在后半段见顶(“右移”)——强周期见顶偏晚,属于健康上涨趋势的信号。
full reasoning完整推理
A new cycle low likely formed 21 day(s) ago (2026-09-23 @ 0.83): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial.新的周期低点可能已在 21 天前形成 (2026-09-23 @ 0.83):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分。 Next:下一步: Either wait for the weekly to turn, or size half until it does.可等待周线转向,或在其转向前先建半仓。