Securities & Brokers券商 (512880.SS)

NEARING A HIGH接近高点 Entry入场 ▼ -29 lightlight?How well-timed & low-risk THIS entry is — near the cycle high, a fresh momentum turn, and with-trend. Measured: entries near the pivot drew ~30% smaller drawdowns than chasers far above it — risk control, NOT a return forecast.衡量当前入场的时机与风险——贴近周期高点、动量新近转向、且顺势。实测:贴近枢轴的入场,其回撤比远离枢轴的追高者约小 30%——这是风险控制,并非收益预测。
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。

⏱ NEARING A HIGH signal just triggered today (fresh cross from BOTTOMING). Signal strength: faint (score -10/100).⏱ 接近高点信号于今日刚刚触发(全新交叉,自筑底中翻转)。 信号强度:微弱(评分 -10/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 29 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 29 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日inside the typical low-timing window — a dip is more likely from here, though the trend can keep running处于典型的低点时间窗口内——从此处回调概率更高,但趋势仍可能延续
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 7 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 7 周,典型周期为 13–25 周mid — the bigger up-leg is maturing中期——更大的上行段正在成熟
The last cycle peaked mid-way — a neutral, balanced structure.上一周期在中段见顶——结构中性、均衡。
full reasoning完整推理

Late in the daily cycle (day 29 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact.处于日线周期晚期(约 23-44 天中的第 29 天)——即便趋势完好,从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点。 Next:下一步: Let the next daily cycle low form before adding; watch for the swing-low setup.在加仓前先让下一个日线周期低点形成;留意摆动低点形态。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart图表

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector (curated; not the ETF's full holdings). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股(精选,并非该 ETF 的完整持仓)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

600030.SS BOTTOMING筑底中 BOTTOMING · EXTENDED — WAITBOTTOMING · EXTENDED — WAIT 1d ago1天前 ▲ +43 daily cycle day日线周期第 35/~44
601995.SS BOTTOMING筑底中 BOTTOMING · EXTENDED — WAITBOTTOMING · EXTENDED — WAIT 1d ago1天前 ▲ +48 daily cycle day日线周期第 25/~44
601688.SS BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 1d ago1天前 ▲ +45 daily cycle day日线周期第 35/~44
600999.SS BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 5d ago5天前 ▲ +31 daily cycle day日线周期第 29/~44
601211.SS BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 5d ago5天前 ▲ +30 daily cycle day日线周期第 35/~44
000776.SZ BOTTOMING筑底中 BUY SOON即将买入 1d ago1天前 ▲ +48 daily cycle day日线周期第 35/~44