Solar & Photovoltaic光伏 (515790.SS)

NEARING A LOW接近低点 Entry入场 · +9 MinimalMinimal?How well-timed & low-risk THIS entry is — near the cycle low, a fresh momentum turn, and with-trend. Measured: entries near the pivot drew ~30% smaller drawdowns than chasers far above it — risk control, NOT a return forecast.衡量当前入场的时机与风险——贴近周期低点、动量新近转向、且顺势。实测:贴近枢轴的入场,其回撤比远离枢轴的追高者约小 30%——这是风险控制,并非收益预测。
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–3 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–3 个交易日内出现——等待转向,切勿抢跑。

⏱ NEARING A LOW signal triggered 2 trading days ago (~2026-09-11), switching from UNCONFIRMED TURN. Signal strength: faint (score +0/100).⏱ 接近低点信号于 2 个交易日前触发(约 2026-09-11),自未确认转向切换而来。 信号强度:微弱(评分 +0/100)。

📅 Daily cycle: day 41 of a typical 23–44 trading days日线周期:第 41 天,典型周期为 23–44 个交易日inside the typical low-timing window — a dip is more likely from here, though the trend can keep running处于典型的低点时间窗口内——从此处回调概率更高,但趋势仍可能延续
🗓 Weekly (investor) cycle: week 9 of a typical 13–25 weeks周线(投资者)周期:第 9 周,典型周期为 13–25 周mid — the bigger up-leg is maturing中期——更大的上行段正在成熟
The last cycle peaked in its FIRST half ('left-translated') — weak cycles top early, so this hints the bigger trend is tiring.上一周期在前半段见顶(“左移”)——弱周期见顶偏早,这暗示更大的趋势正在走弱。
full reasoning完整推理

Day 41 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell.典型 23-44 天周期的第 41 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内,且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号。 Next:下一步: Wait for the turn: a move above the low candle's high, then a close back above the 10-day average.等待转向:先上破低点 K 线的高点,再收盘重新站上 10 日均线。

Momentum across timeframes跨周期动量

Chart图表

Key constituents — each on its own cycle主要成分股 — 各自的周期 ?Representative large-caps in this sector (curated; not the ETF's full holdings). Each gets the same cycle/ladder treatment. Click a name for the full single-stock analysis.本板块中具代表性的大盘股(精选,并非该 ETF 的完整持仓)。每只都享有相同的周期/阶梯分析。点击名称查看完整个股分析。

601012.SS DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 2d ago2天前 ▼ -31 daily cycle day日线周期第 46/~44
300274.SZ DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 13d ago13天前 ▼ -28 daily cycle day日线周期第 42/~44
002129.SZ NEARING A LOW接近低点 WATCH观察 today今日 ▲ +16 daily cycle day日线周期第 37/~44
688599.SS DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 9d ago9天前 ▼ -25 daily cycle day日线周期第 46/~44
002459.SZ DOWNTREND下跌趋势 AVOID回避 9d ago9天前 ▼ -29 daily cycle day日线周期第 42/~44