Stocks股票 / Industrials / AAL
American Airlines Group · Industrials
AAL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.美国航空集团是一家美国上市航空控股公司，总部位于德克萨斯州沃斯堡。
Mid cap中盘 · $10B
Distressed困境股
Industrials
S&P 400标普400中盘
$15.14
+$0.16 · +1.07%
52w low52周低 $9.91high高 $18.48
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.7% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.5% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
35th percentile第35百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-233days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 10 analysts预期上调 — 10 位分析师
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | AAL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 90.06x | 29.54 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.18x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.11% | 3.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -6.80% | 3.85 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 10.15x | 16.30 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 25.8%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
2.7%
Net margin净利率
0.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
5.7%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 -3%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA7.42
Current ratio流动比率0.50
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$57.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.0%空头仓位变动 -10.0%
Technical技术面
AAL daily MACD crossed downAAL 日线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.43%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.67%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$16
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.5%
Flow:资金流向： $6M premium traded; 34% 0DTE; 39 fresh positions; P/C 1.47; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M；0DTE占34%；39个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.47；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.4M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.4M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-12 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-12 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Jul 8, 2026
AAL daily MACD crossed downAAL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.52.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.52。
Jun 24, 2026
AAL made a new 52-week highAAL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $17.44.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$17.44。
Jun 24, 2026
AAL RSI reached overboughtAAL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $17.44.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$17.44。
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
Golden cross on AALAAL 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $16.08.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$16.08。
Jun 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
AAL took relative-strength leadershipAAL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $15.46.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$15.46。
Jun 12, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 12, 2026
AAL daily MACD crossed upAAL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $14.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$14.98。
Jun 9, 2026
AAL StochRSI turned up from oversoldAAL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $14.09.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$14.09。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 241 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.美国航空集团是一家美国上市航空控股公司，总部位于德克萨斯州沃斯堡。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 90.1× | 29.5× | 4% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.2× | 2.2× | 98% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 10.2× | 16.3× | 82% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.1% | 3.1% | 14% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 31.0% | 5.6% | 98% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
76/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
82/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
37/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
64/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#116 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.2% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.3% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +28.6% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -0.1% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -2.2% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +21.0% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -13.1% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.83
Volatility rank波动率分位
35th pctile
Short interest空头占比
8.8% of float
Market cap市值
$10B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.17
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-16.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $17.3B | $29.9B | $49.0B | $52.8B | $54.2B | $54.6B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-18.36 | $-3.09 | $0.19 | $1.21 | $1.24 | $0.17 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-8.5B | $496M | $-373M | $1.2B | $1.3B | $-680M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -51.2% | -6.7% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -49.0% | 1.7% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | -1.2% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$54.6B
Net income净利润
$111M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$3.1B
Total assets总资产
$61.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$-3.7B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.66B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
-3.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.2%
Profit growth利润增速
-86.9%
Asset growth资产增速
-0.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Capital discipline: share count +6.2% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 6.2%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 0.66 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 0.66——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
41
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
30
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-9.9%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
72/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
10
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+4.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+6
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$16
Put wall看跌期权墙
$14
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$16
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$17
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$15
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-6.0%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-2.5%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $217M |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $9,808 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 2
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 13, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-08-11', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 13, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-08-11', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 1
Short interest空头占流通盘
8.8%
Days to cover回补天数
1.0
Short interest change空头变化
-10.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -2.2% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -0.5% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -18.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -1.2% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +14.5% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +8.7% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 25% | -5.7% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +0.6% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -13.7% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +16.6% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +8.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 100% | +10.5% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。