Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / ABNB
Airbnb · Consumer Disc.
ABNB US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Airbnb, Inc. is an American company operating an online marketplace for short-and-long-term homestays, experiences and services in various countries and regions.爱彼迎公司是一家美国公司，运营一个提供各国和地区短租及长租民宿、体验和服务的在线平台。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Consumer Disc.
S&P 500标普500
$144.94
-$1.04 · -0.71%
52w low52周低 $111high高 $151
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling over — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21MA Sell (7)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.1% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+10.3% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
16
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
64th percentile第64百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 19.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
20.8%
Net margin净利率
20.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
38.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/8
Return on equity股本回报率 31%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.78
Current ratio流动比率1.38
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$1.6B
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.83%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.32%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$129
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.4%
Flow:资金流向： $5M premium traded; 16% 0DTE; 34 fresh positions; P/C 0.49; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $5M；0DTE占16%；34个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.49；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$273.6M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$273.6M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | trimtrim | 4.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 2.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-12 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-12 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 14, 2026
ABNB daily MACD crossed downABNB 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $146.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$146.54。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
ABNB made a new 52-week highABNB 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $148.80.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$148.80。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
ABNB took relative-strength leadershipABNB 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $148.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$148.93。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 468 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Airbnb, Inc. is an American company operating an online marketplace for short-and-long-term homestays, experiences and services in various countries and regions.爱彼迎公司是一家美国公司，运营一个提供各国和地区短租及长租民宿、体验和服务的在线平台。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
34/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
44/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
54/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
34/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#65 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.6% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +8.5% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.0% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +4.0% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -2.6% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +4.1% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.16
Volatility rank波动率分位
64th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-2.7%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.8×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $6.0B | $8.4B | $9.9B | $11.1B | $12.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $2.2B | $3.4B | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 80.7% | 82.2% | 82.8% | 83.1% | 83.0% |
| Net margin净利率 | -5.9% | 22.5% | 48.3% | 23.9% | 20.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 36.1% | 40.5% | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$12.2B
Net income净利润
$2.5B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$4.6B
Total assets总资产
$22.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$8.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$0
Buybacks股票回购
$3.8B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
30.6%
Return on assets资产回报率
11.3%
Debt / assets负债/资产
0.0%
Revenue growth营收增速
+17.9%
Profit growth利润增速
-5.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+6.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 5 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 5 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Pricing power: gross margin +2.3pts over 5 years定价能力：毛利率 5 年上升 2.3 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
52
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
12
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
16
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.9%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-0.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.1%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+10.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
21/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 60d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 98d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| MA Sell (7) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 702d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 134d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 162d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 18d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 162d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | quiet静默 | — |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 38d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 32d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 210d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 374d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 176d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 247d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 325d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 373d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+5.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
24.0×
Profit margin净利率
19.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$155
Put wall看跌期权墙
$135
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$129
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$155
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$140
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+11.2%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-1.4%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | Trimming减持 | 4.2% | $257M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 2.0% | $287M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 2
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -2, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -2, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$273.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 5
Days to cover回补天数
3.4
Short interest change空头变化
+1.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jun · 83%
Weakest month最弱月份
May · 17%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +0.2% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 80% | +7.1% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +1.5% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -3.4% | 5 |
| May5月 | 17% | -4.9% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 83% | +7.6% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +1.5% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 40% | -0.8% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 60% | +4.7% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +2.9% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 60% | +1.8% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -2.3% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。