Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Health Care / ALKS
Alkermes plc · Health Care
ALKS US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Alkermes plc is a fully-integrated biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing medicines for psychiatric and neurological disorders. The company was founded in 1987 by Michael Wall.Alkermes plc 是一家完全整合的生物制药公司，专注于开发治疗精神及神经疾病的药物。公司由 Michael Wall 于 1987 年创立。
Mid cap中盘 · $8B
Quality compounder优质复利股
Health Care
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$48.99
-$1.04 · -2.08%
52w low52周低 $25.90high高 $56.32
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 48.34.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 48.34 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-08-03
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅作背景参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅作背景参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-03
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.6% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+38.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
15th percentile第15百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-042days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | ALKS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 33.57x | 30.09 | |
| P/B市净率 | 4.46x | 3.58 | |
| P/S市销率 | 5.50x | 3.02 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.98% | 2.62 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.92% | 4.02 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 27.48x | 18.49 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 16.89x | 22.30 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.3%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
17.2%
Net margin净利率
16.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
35.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 13%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.38
Current ratio流动比率3.55
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$200.3M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$98.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+2.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -14.0%空头仓位变动 -14.0%
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$4.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$4.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Bros. Advisors | A | Holding持有 | 2.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| RTW Investments | B | Holding持有 | 0.6% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; 3-day crossed down). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为正；但正趋向周线向下交叉；3 日线向下交叉）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
Jul 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 28, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 23, 2026
ALKS took relative-strength leadershipALKS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $52.97.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$52.97。
Jul 21, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 21, 2026
ALKS took relative-strength leadershipALKS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $52.85.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$52.85。
Jul 17, 2026
ALKS took relative-strength leadershipALKS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $52.72.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$52.72。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
ALKS daily MACD crossed downALKS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $51.94.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$51.94。
Jul 6, 2026
ALKS made a new 52-week highALKS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $55.14.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$55.14。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 244 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Alkermes plc is a fully-integrated biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing medicines for psychiatric and neurological disorders. The company was founded in 1987 by Michael Wall.Alkermes plc 是一家完全整合的生物制药公司，专注于开发治疗精神及神经疾病的药物。公司由 Michael Wall 于 1987 年创立。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 33.6× | 30.1× | 43% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 4.5× | 3.6× | 39% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 5.5× | 3.0× | 28% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 27.5× | 18.5× | 28% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 58% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.4% | 5.4% | 64% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
85/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
95/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
88/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
87/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#28 / 171
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.4% | +1.1% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.3% | +0.2% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +46.8% | +3.7% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +44.6% | +8.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +73.4% | +9.6% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +84.9% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +71.7% | +69.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.71
Volatility rank波动率分位
15th pctile
Short interest空头占比
9.1% of float
Market cap市值
$8B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.46
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-11.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.1B | $1.7B | $1.6B | $1.5B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.70 | $-0.30 | $-0.97 | $2.10 | $2.17 | $1.43 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $41M | $74M | $-17M | $353M | $406M | $480M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 82.8% | 83.2% | 80.4% | 84.8% | 84.2% | 86.7% |
| Net margin净利率 | -10.7% | -4.1% | -14.2% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 16.4% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 3.9% | 6.3% | -1.5% | 21.2% | 26.0% | 32.5% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.5B
Net income净利润
$242M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$521M
Total assets总资产
$2.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.8B
Long-term debt长期负债
$0
Shares outstanding总股本
0.17B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
13.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
9.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
0.0%
Profit growth利润增速
-34.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+21.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +3.9pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 3.9 个百分点
- Capital discipline: assets +21.0% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +21.0%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 8.48 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 8.48——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
44
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
31
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-6.2%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.6%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+38.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
32/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+161.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Bros. Advisors | A | Holding持有 | 2.0% | $354M |
| RTW Investments | B | Holding持有 | 0.6% | $59M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$4.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 5
Short interest空头占流通盘
9.1%
Days to cover回补天数
9.1
Short interest change空头变化
-14.0%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P BiotechSPDR S&P Biotech
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +9.5% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -3.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -9.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +6.8% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +3.2% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 25% | -6.2% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +4.4% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -1.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -7.9% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +0.1% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -0.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。