Stocks股票 / Industrials / AMTM
Amentum · Industrials
AMTM US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商,总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Mid cap中盘 · $5B
Cyclical周期股
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘
$21.16
+$0.48 · +2.32%
52w low52周低 $19.69high高 $38.07
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 20.09.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 20.09 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14)
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-4.4% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-20.5% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
71th percentile第71百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | AMTM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 78.15x | 29.54 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.13x | 3.88 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.36x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.28% | 3.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.00% | 3.85 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.66x | 16.30 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 10.00x | 24.91 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 71.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
3.3%
Net margin净利率
0.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险:灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 1%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.74
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FConcentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; 3-day crossed up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量开始上翘;3 日线向上交叉;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点);投资者周期已逾期;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
AMTM broke down vs the marketAMTM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.01.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.01。
Jul 7, 2026
AMTM broke down vs the marketAMTM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.18.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.18。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
AMTM daily MACD crossed upAMTM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.24.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$21.24。
Jun 30, 2026
AMTM StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMTM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.67。
Jun 25, 2026
AMTM printed a daily-cycle lowAMTM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $20.09.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$20.09。
Jun 24, 2026
AMTM RSI reached oversoldAMTM RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.38.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$20.38。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条,共 163 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商,总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(静态) | 78.2× | 29.5× | 8% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.1× | 3.9× | 96% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.4× | 2.2× | 96% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.7× | 16.3× | 47% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 17% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.5% | 5.6% | 83% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘(1个月)
32/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘(3个月)
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘(6个月)
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘(12个月)
18/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#178 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位(0–100)。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.6% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.3% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -23.5% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -39.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -30.6% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -16.2% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.12
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th pctile
Short interest空头占比
5.6% of float
Market cap市值
$5B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.27
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-43.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新,不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $8.4B | $14.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.90 | $0.27 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $36M | $516M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | -1.0% | 0.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 0.4% | 3.6% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入(财年)
$14.4B
Net income净利润
$66M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$543M
Total assets总资产
$11.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.6B
Long-term debt长期负债
$3.9B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.24B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
1.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
34.8%
Asset growth资产增速
-6.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量:应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律:增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.87 — grey zone资产负债表:Altman Z 1.87——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新,不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI(14日)
48
RSI (2-day)RSI(2日)
88
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+1.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-4.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-20.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉(50>200)
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时,行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
19/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新,不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
7
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化(90天)
+0.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调(30天)
+3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新,不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | $3M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 8, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 8, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
5.6%
Days to cover回补天数
6.1
Short interest change空头变化
+1.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新,不构成投资建议。