Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / ASO
Academy Sports + Outdoors · Consumer Disc.
ASO US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Academy Sports + Outdoors is an American sporting-goods store chain with corporate offices in the Katy Distribution Center in unincorporated western Harris County, Texas, United States, near Katy and west of Houston.学院体育+户外（Academy Sports + Outdoors）是美国体育用品连锁店，公司办公室位于德克萨斯州哈里斯县西部未建制的凯蒂配送中心，邻近凯蒂市并位于休斯顿以西。
Mid cap中盘 · $4B
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Cyclical周期股
$55.36
+$1.14 · +2.11%
52w low52周低 $40.65high高 $62.13
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
As of 2026-09-14截至 2026-09-14
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
74
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+17.4% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+5.6% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
100th percentile第100百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Mixed — beat 1 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 1 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 -3.1%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | ASO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.54x | 18.75 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.66x | 2.85 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.59x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.48% | 4.95 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.18% | 5.89 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.53% | 4.53 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 5.90x | 10.97 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 16.19x | 16.17 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$6.1B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 1.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
$5.542025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$222.1M2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
34.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
8.5%
Net margin净利率
6.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 17%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.24
Current ratio流动比率1.89
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$199.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-5.0%
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件We do not have an SEC filing record for this listing.我们目前没有该证券的 SEC 备案记录。
This panel only reads filings an issuer makes with the SEC, and this listing has not been matched to one.本面板仅读取发行人向 SEC 提交的文件，该证券尚未匹配到对应的备案主体。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Retail theme — #35 of 49 themes「零售」主题 — 49 个主题中第 35 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +24.1%空头仓位变动 +24.1%
Technical技术面
ASO weekly MACD crossed upASO 周线MACD上穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.84%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.35%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$46
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.6%
Flow:资金流向： $2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 12 fresh positions; P/C 0.05; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；12个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.05；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. The weekly (investor-cycle) momentum just crossed UP while price holds its 10-day average — the start of a new multi-month up-leg. A daily-overbought print here is the launch thrust, not a top, so this is a HOLD / ride, not a take-profit. The daily can still dip to its 10-day average (normal) — but the bigger investor cycle is early, with room left. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell持有。周线（投资者周期）动量刚刚向上交叉，且价格守住 10 日均线——这是新的多月上行段的起点。此处日线超买只是启动推力、并非见顶，因此应持有 / 顺势，而非止盈。日线仍可能回踩 10 日均线（属正常）——但更大的投资者周期尚处早期，仍有空间。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 11, 2026
ASO weekly MACD crossed upASO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Sep 10, 2026
ASO reclaimed its 200-day averageASO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $54.22.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$54.22。
Sep 10, 2026
ASO took relative-strength leadershipASO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $54.22.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$54.22。
Sep 10, 2026
ASO RSI reached overboughtASO RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $54.22.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$54.22。
Sep 8, 2026
ASO daily MACD crossed upASO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $44.71.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$44.71。
Sep 4, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 2, 2026
ASO StochRSI turned up from oversoldASO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $43.60.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$43.60。
Aug 27, 2026
ASO printed a daily-cycle lowASO 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $42.63.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$42.63。
Aug 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 264 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Academy Sports + Outdoors is an American sporting-goods store chain with corporate offices in the Katy Distribution Center in unincorporated western Harris County, Texas, United States, near Katy and west of Houston.学院体育+户外（Academy Sports + Outdoors）是美国体育用品连锁店，公司办公室位于德克萨斯州哈里斯县西部未建制的凯蒂配送中心，邻近凯蒂市并位于休斯顿以西。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 9.5× | 18.8× | 88% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.7× | 2.9× | 70% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.6× | 1.2× | 70% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 5.9× | 11.0× | 83% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.5% | 5.0% | 90% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 67% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 63% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
31/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
38/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
61/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#124 / 211
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +23.2% | -0.8% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +12.4% | -1.1% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.9% | +3.3% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -1.5% | +15.7% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +6.5% | +12.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +15.9% | +17.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +15.3% | +77.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.89
Volatility rank波动率分位
100th pctile
Short interest空头占比
14.5% of float
Market cap市值
$4B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$5.80
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-9.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $5.7B | $6.8B | $6.4B | $6.2B | $5.9B | $6.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $3.79 | $7.12 | $7.49 | $6.70 | $5.73 | $5.54 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $970M | $597M | $444M | $328M | $328M | $222M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 30.5% | 34.7% | 34.6% | 34.3% | 33.9% | 34.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 5.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$6.1B
Gross profit毛利润
$2.1B
Net income净利润
$377M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$435M
Total assets总资产
$5.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$481M
Buybacks股票回购
$199M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.06B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
17.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
7.1%
Debt / assets负债/资产
9.1%
Profit growth利润增速
-10.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+7.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory +52% vs sales +6%; receivables +101% vs sales +6% — demand & revenue-quality risk营运资本：存货 +52% 对销售 +6%；应收 +101% 对销售 +6%——需求与营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +4.3pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 4.3 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.88 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.88——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
74
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
99
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+20.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+17.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+5.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
98/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $0.80 | $0.83 | -3.6% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.98 | $1.99 | -0.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.03 | $1.00 | +3.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.82 | $2.05 | -11.2% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$60
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$46
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$68
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$55
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+17.1%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.6%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.1pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 1
Short interest空头占流通盘
14.5%
Days to cover回补天数
4.8
Short interest change空头变化
+24.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -4.7% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.5% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -7.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -14.2% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -0.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -7.4% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +2.3% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +3.2% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 50% | +5.8% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -4.6% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +1.3% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 100% | +16.3% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。