Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / BWXT
BWX Technologies · Industrials
BWXT US listed · USD美股 · 美元
BWX Technologies, Inc. is an American company headquartered in Lynchburg, Virginia that supplies nuclear components and fuel internationally.BWX技术公司（BWX Technologies, Inc.）是一家美国公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州林奇堡，向全球供应核部件和核燃料。
Large cap大盘 · $14B
Industrials
S&P 400标普400中盘
Cyclical周期股
$150.12
-$2.37 · -1.55%
52w low52周低 $146high高 $244
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~10+ trading days. Wait for support to hold, or for the next low to set up.这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 10+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
As of 2026-09-14截至 2026-09-14
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-10.6% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-21.8% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
49th percentile第49百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-11-0249
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 16.0%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | BWXT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 41.72x | 28.15 | |
| P/B市净率 | 11.14x | 3.90 | |
| P/S市销率 | 4.29x | 2.09 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.40% | 3.25 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.15% | 4.11 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.89% | 2.43 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 29.67x | 15.34 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 46.48x | 22.87 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$3.2B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$3.582025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.2%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$295.3M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
12.6%
Net margin净利率
10.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 27%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.95
Current ratio流动比率2.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$30.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$26.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.0%
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件We do not have an SEC filing record for this listing.我们目前没有该证券的 SEC 备案记录。
This panel only reads filings an issuer makes with the SEC, and this listing has not been matched to one.本面板仅读取发行人向 SEC 提交的文件，该证券尚未匹配到对应的备案主体。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Power & Grid Buildout theme — #39 of 49 themes「电力与电网」主题 — 49 个主题中第 39 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BWXT broke down vs the marketBWXT 相对市场走弱
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.07%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$156
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
10.1%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 0.72; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.72；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: greed偏斜：贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$5.3M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$5.3M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | C | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Mixed structure. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell准备。结构混合。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 10, 2026
BWXT broke down vs the marketBWXT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $152.49.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$152.49。
Sep 4, 2026
BWXT broke down vs the marketBWXT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $157.59.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$157.59。
Sep 2, 2026
BWXT broke down vs the marketBWXT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $155.67.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$155.67。
Sep 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 1, 2026
BWXT daily MACD crossed upBWXT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $161.54.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$161.54。
Aug 27, 2026
BWXT StochRSI turned up from oversoldBWXT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $155.85.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$155.85。
Aug 24, 2026
BWXT printed a daily-cycle lowBWXT 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $149.52.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$149.52。
Aug 24, 2026
BWXT made a new 52-week lowBWXT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $149.52.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$149.52。
Aug 24, 2026
BWXT RSI reached oversoldBWXT RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $149.52.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$149.52。
Aug 20, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Aug 20, 2026
BWXT made a new 52-week lowBWXT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $156.44.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$156.44。
Aug 20, 2026
BWXT daily MACD crossed downBWXT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $156.44.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$156.44。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 237 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
BWX Technologies, Inc. is an American company headquartered in Lynchburg, Virginia that supplies nuclear components and fuel internationally.BWX技术公司（BWX Technologies, Inc.）是一家美国公司，总部位于弗吉尼亚州林奇堡，向全球供应核部件和核燃料。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Recent news最新动态
BWX Technologies Stock (BWXT) Opinions on Naval Nuclear Contracts
Quiver · 2026-09-13
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 41.7× | 28.1× | 24% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 11.1× | 3.9× | 12% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 4.3× | 2.1× | 21% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 29.7× | 15.3× | 12% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.4% | 3.2% | 30% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 23% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.9% | 2.4% | 19% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
29/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
7/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
30/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#201 / 264
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.7% | -0.8% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -12.9% | -1.1% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -22.4% | +3.3% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -22.6% | +15.7% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -17.2% | +12.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -11.4% | +17.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +109.3% | +77.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.92
Volatility rank波动率分位
49th pctile
Short interest空头占比
3.2% of float
Market cap市值
$14B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$3.60
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-37.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.1B | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.5B | $2.7B | $3.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.91 | $3.24 | $2.60 | $2.68 | $3.07 | $3.58 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-59M | $75M | $46M | $212M | $255M | $295M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 27.1% | 25.9% | 24.7% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% |
| Net margin净利率 | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.2B
Net income净利润
$329M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$480M
Total assets总资产
$4.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$2.0B
Dividends paid股息支出
$92M
Buybacks股票回购
$30M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.09B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
26.7%
Return on assets资产回报率
7.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
47.2%
Profit growth利润增速
+16.7%
Asset growth资产增速
+48.8%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +210% vs sales +51% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +210% 对销售 +51%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: gross margin −4.2pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 4.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: assets +48.8% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +48.8%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 4.85 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 4.85——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
39
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
9
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-4.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-10.6%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-21.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
56/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $1.07 | $1.01 | +5.9% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.12 | $0.92 | +21.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $1.08 | $0.91 | +18.7% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.00 | $0.85 | +17.6% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
11
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+5
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$165
Put wall看跌期权墙
$150
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$156
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$155
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$150
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-4.1%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+10.1%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | C | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $7M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 7, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -78.4, 'from_period': '2024-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-04', 'available_on_first': '2025-02-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 7, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -78.4, 'from_period': '2024-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-04', 'available_on_first': '2025-02-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$5.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 4
Short interest空头占流通盘
3.2%
Days to cover回补天数
2.5
Short interest change空头变化
+7.8%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
ARK Space & Defense InnovationARK Space & Defense Innovation
accumulating持续增持
ARKKARKK
accumulating持续增持
ARK Autonomous Tech & RoboticsARK Autonomous Tech & Robotics
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jan · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Dec · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 100% | +6.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +1.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +6.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -2.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +3.2% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +5.0% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +3.9% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 75% | +5.7% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +11.7% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +5.4% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 0% | -3.1% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。