Stocks股票 / Industrials / CMI
Cummins · Industrials
CMI US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Cummins Inc. is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures, and distributes diesel engines, electric vehicle components, and power generation products.康明斯公司是一家美国跨国企业，设计、制造和分销柴油发动机、电动汽车零部件及发电产品。
Large cap大盘 · $88B
Cyclical周期股
Industrials
S&P 500标普500
$639.43
-$9.05 · -1.40%
52w low52周低 $339high高 $738
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–18 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–18 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Long-term Rising Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
15
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
77th percentile第77百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | CMI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 18.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 7.15x | 3.88 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.62x | 2.19 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.70% | 3.85 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.69x | 16.30 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 37.03x | 24.91 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 11.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 11.3%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
25.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
12.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.54
Current ratio流动比率1.76
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$0
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$93.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.13%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.01%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$627
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.4%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$32.4M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$32.4M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Day 26 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 26 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
CMI weekly MACD crossed downCMI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
CMI daily MACD crossed downCMI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $682.32.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$682.32。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
CMI took relative-strength leadershipCMI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $713.21.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$713.21。
Jun 26, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 25, 2026
CMI made a new 52-week highCMI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $727.59.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$727.59。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 4189 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Cummins Inc. is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures, and distributes diesel engines, electric vehicle components, and power generation products.康明斯公司是一家美国跨国企业，设计、制造和分销柴油发动机、电动汽车零部件及发电产品。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 18.8× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 7.2× | 3.9× | 25% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.6× | 2.2× | 44% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.7× | 16.3× | 47% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 31% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
91/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
47/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
63/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
89/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#13 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.8% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.8% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.4% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.6% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +23.3% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +85.4% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +163.5% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +200.3% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.64
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.8% of float
Market cap市值
$88B
Dividend yield股息率
1.36%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-12.1%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.6×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $19.8B | $24.0B | $28.1B | $34.1B | $34.1B | $33.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $12.01 | $14.61 | $15.12 | $5.15 | $28.37 | $20.50 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $2.2B | $1.5B | $1.0B | $2.8B | $279M | $2.4B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 24.7% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 24.2% | 24.7% | 25.3% |
| Net margin净利率 | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 11.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 7.1% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$33.7B
Gross profit毛利润
$8.5B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$3.6B
Total assets总资产
$34.0B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$12.3B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.14B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Revenue growth营收增速
+2.7%
Asset growth资产增速
+7.8%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +0.6pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 0.6 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 5.15 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 5.15——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
41
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
7
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
15
Average daily range平均日波幅
4.0%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
53/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 380d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 344d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 490d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 450d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 108d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 113d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 458d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 65d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 72d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 347d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 109d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 114d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 119d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 31d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 16d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 35d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 84d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 375d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 714d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 4209d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 529d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1613d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1010d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 374d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+4.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+3
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
18.8×
Profit margin净利率
7.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$690
Put wall看跌期权墙
$630
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$627
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$700
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$600
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+3.6%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-4.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$32.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 8
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.8%
Days to cover回补天数
1.7
Short interest change空头变化
-4.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jan · 80%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 80% | +2.4% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -1.3% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 20% | -4.1% | 5 |
| May5月 | 50% | +0.5% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +2.0% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +6.3% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +2.4% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -0.5% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +4.0% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +4.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +2.8% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +2.1% avg, up 54% of years (n=54)7月：平均 +2.1%，54% 的年份上涨（n=54）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。