Stocks股票 / Energy / COP
ConocoPhillips · Energy
COP US listed · USD美股 · 美元
ConocoPhillips Company is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.康菲公司（ConocoPhillips Company）是一家美国跨国公司，从事碳氢化合物的勘探与生产。公司总部位于得克萨斯州休斯敦的能源走廊区。
Large cap大盘 · $141B
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Energy
S&P 500标普500
$115.68
+$0.97 · +0.85%
52w low52周低 $83.51high高 $135
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 103.22.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 103.22 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.7% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+9.6% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
57th percentile第57百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0617days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -11.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-11.5%（20日）
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | COP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.70x | 20.56 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 2.19x | 1.70 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.40x | 1.93 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.65% | 4.38 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.37% | 3.20 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 25.1%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Net margin净利率
13.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
33.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 12%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.30
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$5.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$336.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-3.9%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -19.9%空头仓位变动 -19.9%
Technical技术面
COP broke down vs the marketCOP 相对市场走弱
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.18%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.88%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$100
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.1%
Flow:资金流向： $4M premium traded; 26% 0DTE; 42 fresh positions; P/C 0.4; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $4M；0DTE占26%；42个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.4；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: greed偏斜：贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$141.8M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$141.8M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 9, 2026
COP broke down vs the marketCOP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $108.02.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$108.02。
Jul 8, 2026
COP daily MACD crossed upCOP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $110.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$110.72。
Jul 7, 2026
COP reclaimed its 200-day averageCOP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $108.44.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$108.44。
Jul 7, 2026
COP StochRSI turned up from oversoldCOP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $108.44.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$108.44。
Jul 6, 2026
COP lost its 200-day averageCOP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $103.58.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$103.58。
Jul 2, 2026
COP reclaimed its 200-day averageCOP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $104.73.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$104.73。
Jul 1, 2026
COP printed a daily-cycle lowCOP 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $103.22.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$103.22。
Jun 29, 2026
COP lost its 200-day averageCOP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $104.20.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$104.20。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3726 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
ConocoPhillips Company is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.康菲公司（ConocoPhillips Company）是一家美国跨国公司，从事碳氢化合物的勘探与生产。公司总部位于得克萨斯州休斯敦的能源走廊区。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 17.7× | 20.6× | 57% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 12.8× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.2× | 1.7× | 37% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.4× | 1.9× | 32% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.7% | 4.4% | 63% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 14.0% | 11.9% | 57% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 89% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
53/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
38/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
62/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#56 / 68
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.5% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.4% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.1% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +20.9% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +21.5% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +30.4% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +12.3% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +142.5% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.36
Volatility rank波动率分位
57th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.6% of float
Market cap市值
$141B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$6.54
Dividend yield股息率
2.93%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-12.9%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
1.0×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $19.3B | $48.3B | $78.5B | $56.1B | $54.7B | $58.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | $6.07 | $14.57 | $9.06 | $7.81 | $6.35 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $87M | $11.7B | $18.2B | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 58.0% | 62.4% | 56.7% | 60.9% | 63.4% | 62.1% |
| Net margin净利率 | -14.0% | 16.7% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 13.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 0.5% | 24.1% | 23.1% | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$58.9B
Net income净利润
$8.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$19.8B
Total assets总资产
$121.9B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$64.5B
Dividends paid股息支出
$4.0B
Buybacks股票回购
$5.0B
Shares outstanding总股本
1.22B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
12.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
6.6%
Revenue growth营收增速
-5.3%
Profit growth利润增速
-13.6%
Asset growth资产增速
-0.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: gross margin +4.1pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 4.1 个百分点
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.79 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.79——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
60
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
95
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.5%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+6.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+9.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
73/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 210d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 190d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 50d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 262d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 458d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 141d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 32d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 102d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 32d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 128d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 193d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 113d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 119d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 200d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 32d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 4d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 392d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 289d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3364d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 5097d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 414d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2465d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 732d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 288d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+9.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
12.8×
Profit margin净利率
12.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$120
Put wall看跌期权墙
$105
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$100
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$120
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$115
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+13.9%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+1.1%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.1pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$141.8M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 7
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.6%
Days to cover回补天数
2.0
Short interest change空头变化
-19.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Feb · 80%
Weakest month最弱月份
May · 17%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +3.6% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 80% | +1.5% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 80% | +6.3% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 20% | -3.9% | 5 |
| May5月 | 17% | -2.7% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +5.1% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +8.9% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 80% | +3.2% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -4.2% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +4.4% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 20% | -0.9% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +0.6% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +1.4% avg, up 58% of years (n=45)7月：平均 +1.4%，58% 的年份上涨（n=45）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。