Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Health Care / CYTK
Cytokinetics · Health Care
CYTK US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Cytokinetics, Incorporated, is a biopharmaceutical company based in South San Francisco, California, that develops muscle activators and muscle inhibitors as potential treatments for people with diseases characterized by impaired or declining muscle function.Cytokinetics, Incorporated 是一家生物制药公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州南旧金山，专注于开发肌肉激活剂和肌肉抑制剂，作为肌肉功能受损或衰退疾病的潜在治疗方案。
Mid cap中盘 · $9B
Health Care
S&P 400标普400中盘
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
$73.45
-$2.19 · -2.90%
52w low52周低 $34.31high高 $88.95
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.8% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
17th percentile第17百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期
Post-earnings drift: -8.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-8.0%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 4.6%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | CYTK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/S市销率 | 102.57x | 3.20 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -8.69% | 2.51 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -5.92% | 4.00 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$88.0M2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 9.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$-6.542025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
-$534.8M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
-695.4%
Net margin净利率
-891.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
-579.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 2/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 119%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率4.53
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$112.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+4.0%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.2%空头仓位变动 -10.2%
Technical技术面
CYTK weekly MACD crossed downCYTK 周线MACD下穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$26.0M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$26.0M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTW Investments | B | Holding持有 | 1.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Day 44 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 44 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向
Aug 7, 2026
CYTK weekly MACD crossed downCYTK 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Aug 5, 2026
CYTK StochRSI turned up from oversoldCYTK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $78.85.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$78.85。
Aug 4, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 31, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 24, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 239 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Cytokinetics, Incorporated, is a biopharmaceutical company based in South San Francisco, California, that develops muscle activators and muscle inhibitors as potential treatments for people with diseases characterized by impaired or declining muscle function.Cytokinetics, Incorporated 是一家生物制药公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州南旧金山，专注于开发肌肉激活剂和肌肉抑制剂，作为肌肉功能受损或衰退疾病的潜在治疗方案。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Sales市销率 | 102.6× | 3.2× | 1% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -8.7% | 2.5% | 10% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | -5.7% | 5.3% | 4% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
94/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
20/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
59/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
93/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#23 / 172
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.7% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.4% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.2% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.9% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +19.0% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +99.2% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +128.8% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.73
Volatility rank波动率分位
17th pctile
Short interest空头占比
12.4% of float
Market cap市值
$9B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$-6.38
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-15.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $56M | $70M | $95M | $8M | $18M | $88M |
| EPS每股收益 | $-1.97 | $-2.80 | $-4.33 | $-5.45 | $-5.26 | $-6.54 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-2M | $-191M | $-311M | $-416M | $-400M | $-535M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -228.0% | -305.7% | -411.2% | -6988.6% | -3191.1% | -891.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -3.8% | -271.8% | -328.6% | -5521.2% | -2164.1% | -607.5% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$88M
Net income净利润
$-785M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$-510M
Total assets总资产
$1.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$-660M
Long-term debt长期负债
$246M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.12B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
119.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
-55.1%
Debt / assets负债/资产
17.3%
Asset growth资产增速
+1.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +302% vs sales +58% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +302% 对销售 +58%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: share count +73.1% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 73.1%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z -1.58 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z -1.58——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
37
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
6
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-6.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
Fired_DownFIRED_DOWN
Days compressed已压缩天数
6
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
25/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $-1.67 | $-1.67 | 0.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $-1.50 | $-1.48 | -1.4% |
| Sep 2025 | $-1.54 | $-1.59 | +3.1% |
| Jun 2025 | $-1.12 | $-1.34 | +16.4% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+9.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTW Investments | B | Holding持有 | 1.8% | $179M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $608,967 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 136.5, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1]}{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 136.5, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$26.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 8
Short interest空头占流通盘
12.4%
Days to cover回补天数
9.6
Short interest change空头变化
-10.2%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P BiotechSPDR S&P Biotech
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jun · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | 0.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -5.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -2.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -2.4% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -21.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +11.3% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +8.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 25% | -2.7% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -7.3% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +15.6% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +2.7% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -6.1% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。