Stocks股票 / Industrials / DE

Deere & Company · Industrials

DE US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Deere & Company, is an American corporation that manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, drivetrains used in heavy equipment and lawn care equipment. It also provides financial services and other related activities.迪尔公司是一家美国企业,制造农业机械、重型设备、林业机械、柴油发动机、重型设备传动系统及草坪护理设备,同时提供金融服务及其他相关业务。

Large cap大盘 · $158B Cyclical周期股 Industrials S&P 500标普500
$586.00
-$11.24 · -1.88%
52w low52周低 $430high $672
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 573.98.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 573.98 下方。 Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 +0.7% above上方 Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 +8.7% above上方 Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 21 Trending趋势中
Volatility波动率 71th percentile第71百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: +13.0% (20d)财报后漂移:+13.0%(20日)

Valuation估值

Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Multiple指标DE Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 31.52x 29.54 46%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 25.8x
P/B市净率 6.02x 3.88 32%
P/S市销率 3.47x 2.19 32%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.17% 3.14 51%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.85% 3.85 50%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.80% 2.33 41%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 25.98x 24.91 46%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入
$35.5B2020
$44.0B2021
$52.6B2022
$61.3B2023
$51.7B2024
$45.7B2025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
$8.692020
$18.992021
$23.282022
$34.632023
$25.622024
$18.502025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 16.3%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$6.7B2020
$6.9B2021
$3.6B2022
$7.1B2023
$7.6B2024
$6.1B2025
Net margin净利率
11.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
16.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/6 Return on equity股本回报率 19% Watch关注

Capital allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$1.1B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$151.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.5%

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +12.2%空头仓位变动 +12.2%
Technical技术面 DE weekly MACD crossed downDE 周线MACD下穿

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.49%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.56%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$581
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
7.4%

Flow:资金流向: $6M premium traded; 33% 0DTE; 68 fresh positions; P/C 0.58; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +2,085); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M;0DTE占33%;68个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.58;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +2,085);≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: greed偏斜:贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$32.5M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$32.5M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Gates Foundation Trust D Holding持有 6.3% 2026-03-31

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向 HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; 3-day crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量刚刚向下交叉;3 日线向下交叉;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
DE weekly MACD crossed downDE 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 17, 2026
DE StochRSI turned up from oversoldDE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $597.24.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$597.24。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
DE daily MACD crossed downDE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $596.74.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$596.74。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 3, 2026
DE weekly MACD crossed upDE 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Company profile公司档案

Deere & Company, is an American corporation that manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, drivetrains used in heavy equipment and lawn care equipment. It also provides financial services and other related activities.迪尔公司是一家美国企业,制造农业机械、重型设备、林业机械、柴油发动机、重型设备传动系统及草坪护理设备,同时提供金融服务及其他相关业务。

Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) flat (+4% YoY to ~$2B, 0.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)持平(同比+4%,约 $2B,覆盖营收 0.0 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
  • Inventory build

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Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

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Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-07-21 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器