Stocks股票 / Industrials / DE
DE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Deere & Company, is an American corporation that manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, drivetrains used in heavy equipment and lawn care equipment. It also provides financial services and other related activities.迪尔公司是一家美国企业,制造农业机械、重型设备、林业机械、柴油发动机、重型设备传动系统及草坪护理设备,同时提供金融服务及其他相关业务。
Price chart价格图表
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +13.0% (20d)财报后漂移:+13.0%(20日)
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | DE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 31.52x | 29.54 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 25.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 6.02x | 3.88 | |
| P/S市销率 | 3.47x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.17% | 3.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.85% | 3.85 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.80% | 2.33 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.98x | 24.91 |
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Capital allocation资本配置
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Flow:资金流向: $6M premium traded; 33% 0DTE; 68 fresh positions; P/C 0.58; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +2,085); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M;0DTE占33%;68个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.58;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +2,085);≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向: -$32.5M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$32.5M 净值(0 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 6.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件Company profile公司档案
Deere & Company, is an American corporation that manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, drivetrains used in heavy equipment and lawn care equipment. It also provides financial services and other related activities.迪尔公司是一家美国企业,制造农业机械、重型设备、林业机械、柴油发动机、重型设备传动系统及草坪护理设备,同时提供金融服务及其他相关业务。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) flat (+4% YoY to ~$2B, 0.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)持平(同比+4%,约 $2B,覆盖营收 0.0 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(静态) | 31.5× | 29.5× | 46% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 25.8× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 6.0× | 3.9× | 32% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 3.5× | 2.2× | 32% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 51% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.7% | 5.6% | 38% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 41% |
Relative strength相对强度
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.2% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +25.9% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.4% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +39.4% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +76.8% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $35.5B | $44.0B | $52.6B | $61.3B | $51.7B | $45.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $8.69 | $18.99 | $23.28 | $34.63 | $25.62 | $18.50 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $6.7B | $6.9B | $3.6B | $7.1B | $7.6B | $6.1B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 7.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Returns & growth回报与增长
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量:应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本:营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律:投资力度接近同业中位
Indicator readings指标读数
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Volatility regime波动状态
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 169d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 63d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 277d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 310d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 140d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 57d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 57d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 198d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 170d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 147d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 84d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 37d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 45d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 93d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 434d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 8689d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2520d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1003d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 92d |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analyst view分析师观点
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 6.3% | $2.0B |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +9.6% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 40% | -0.4% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -0.8% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 20% | -4.7% | 5 |
| May5月 | 17% | -4.1% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +0.9% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +3.3% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +4.0% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 20% | -7.9% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +1.1% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +1.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -0.2% | 5 |
- Jul: +0.1% avg, up 45% of years (n=55)7月:平均 +0.1%,45% 的年份上涨(n=55)