Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / EYE
National Vision Holdings · Consumer Disc.
EYE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Small cap小盘 · $2B
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$20.04
-$0.69 · -3.33%
52w low52周低 $14.86high高 $30.09
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 16.3.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 16.3 则明确离场。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.7% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-18.2% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
15th percentile第15百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | EYE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 53.77x | 19.97 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.83x | 2.89 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.80x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.86% | 4.57 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.62% | 5.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.20% | 4.27 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.93x | 11.39 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 21.67x | 16.57 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 3.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -3.4%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
3.0%
Net margin净利率
1.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
7.4%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 3%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.32
Current ratio流动比率0.55
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$23.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.8%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +23.7%空头仓位变动 +23.7%
Technical技术面
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 21 day(s) ago (2026-06-17 @ 16.3): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 21 天前形成 （2026-06-17 @ 16.3）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 17, 2026
EYE weekly MACD crossed upEYE 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 22, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 17, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 17, 2026
EYE broke down vs the marketEYE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $16.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$16.30。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 249 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 53.8× | 20.0× | 7% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.8× | 2.9× | 66% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.8× | 1.2× | 61% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 11.9× | 11.4× | 44% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 17% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 9.2% | 8.6% | 53% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.2% | 4.3% | 9% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
14/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
7/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
18/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#155 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.9% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +19.4% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -20.3% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -26.4% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -22.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -20.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -17.1% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.25
Volatility rank波动率分位
15th pctile
Short interest空头占比
20.9% of float
Market cap市值
$2B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.37
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-32.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.7B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $1.8B | $2.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.44 | $1.43 | $0.52 | $-0.84 | $-0.36 | $0.37 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $158M | $163M | $6M | $58M | $38M | $73M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 2.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | -3.1% | -1.6% | 1.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.0B
Net income净利润
$30M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$146M
Total assets总资产
$2.0B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$870M
Long-term debt长期负债
$223M
Buybacks股票回购
$3M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.08B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
3.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
1.5%
Debt / assets负债/资产
11.3%
Asset growth资产增速
-1.2%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.02 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.02——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
57
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
19
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+4.2%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-18.2%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
76/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
10
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-5.6%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-10
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
20.9%
Days to cover回补天数
6.6
Short interest change空头变化
+23.7%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P RetailSPDR S&P Retail
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Feb · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.6% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 100% | +12.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -2.4% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -9.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -12.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +14.1% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +5.8% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 0% | -16.2% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +3.8% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -4.4% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +16.1% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -10.5% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。