Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / XPEL
XPEL, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
XPEL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Small cap小盘 · $1B
Secular growth长期成长
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$43.62
+$0.37 · +0.86%
52w low52周低 $30.84high高 $55.92
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 43.25.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 43.25 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-3.2% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
93th percentile第93百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | XPEL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 23.51x | 19.97 | |
| P/B市净率 | 4.30x | 2.89 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.53x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.25% | 4.57 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.23% | 5.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.25% | 4.27 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.73x | 11.39 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.13x | 16.57 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 24.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
42.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.2%
Net margin净利率
10.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 18%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.74
Current ratio流动比率3.25
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; 3-day crossed down). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉；3 日线向下交叉）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
Jul 17, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 17, 2026
XPEL lost its 200-day averageXPEL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $43.25.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$43.25。
Jul 17, 2026
XPEL weekly MACD crossed downXPEL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 15, 2026
XPEL reclaimed its 200-day averageXPEL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $44.99.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$44.99。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
XPEL lost its 200-day averageXPEL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $44.49.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$44.49。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
XPEL daily MACD crossed downXPEL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $44.70.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$44.70。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 228 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 23.5× | 20.0× | 36% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 4.3× | 2.9× | 36% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.5× | 1.2× | 21% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.7× | 11.4× | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 44% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.6% | 8.6% | 24% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.2% | 4.3% | 10% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
58/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
22/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
13/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
63/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#84 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.5% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.0% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.3% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -20.6% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -13.2% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +27.2% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -45.7% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.05
Volatility rank波动率分位
93th pctile
Short interest空头占比
8.6% of float
Market cap市值
$1B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.86
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-20.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $159M | $259M | $324M | $396M | $420M | $476M |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.66 | $1.14 | $1.50 | $1.91 | $1.65 | $1.85 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $17M | $12M | $4M | $31M | $41M | $63M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 34.0% | 35.7% | 39.4% | 41.0% | 42.2% | 42.2% |
| Net margin净利率 | 11.5% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$476M
Gross profit毛利润
$201M
Net income净利润
$51M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$67M
Total assets总资产
$383M
Shareholder equity股东权益
$280M
Buybacks股票回购
$3M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.03B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
18.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
13.4%
Profit growth利润增速
+12.6%
Asset growth资产增速
+33.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +449% vs sales +200%; receivables +401% vs sales +200% — demand & revenue-quality risk营运资本：存货 +449% 对销售 +200%；应收 +401% 对销售 +200%——需求与营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +8.2pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 8.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: assets +33.9% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +33.9%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 10.68 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 10.68——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
41
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
34
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-6.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-3.2%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
60/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-24.6%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
8.6%
Days to cover回补天数
6.9
Short interest change空头变化
-4.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +3.6% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -18.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +3.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -2.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 75% | +7.3% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 25% | -3.4% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +13.9% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -7.1% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -11.2% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +12.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +7.4% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。