Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / HAYW
Hayward Holdings, Inc. · Industrials
HAYW US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘
$15.13
-$0.24 · -1.56%
52w low52周低 $12.84high高 $17.61
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down). Don't…已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-08-03
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅作背景参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅作背景参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-03
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.1% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-1.3% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
84th percentile第84百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-29Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | HAYW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 21.70x | 29.65 | |
| P/B市净率 | 2.06x | 3.95 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.93x | 2.18 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.61% | 3.17 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.91% | 3.86 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.15% | 2.31 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.30x | 16.04 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.47x | 24.37 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -5.4%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.5%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
48.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
20.8%
Net margin净利率
13.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
22.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.46
Current ratio流动比率2.94
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$5.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.7%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
HAYW lost its 200-day averageHAYW 跌破200日均线
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$6.1M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$6.1M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~9 day(s) ago @ 14.07) and momentum is fading — the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 9 天前形成 @ 14.07）且动量正在衰竭——3 日/周线动量已向下交叉。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
Jul 31, 2026
HAYW lost its 200-day averageHAYW 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $15.13.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$15.13。
Jul 30, 2026
HAYW reclaimed its 200-day averageHAYW 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $15.37.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$15.37。
Jul 30, 2026
HAYW daily MACD crossed upHAYW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $15.37.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$15.37。
Jul 27, 2026
HAYW StochRSI turned up from oversoldHAYW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $14.55.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$14.55。
Jul 21, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 17, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 15, 2026
HAYW lost its 200-day averageHAYW 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $14.75.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$14.75。
Jul 9, 2026
HAYW daily MACD crossed downHAYW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $16.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$16.07。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 250 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 21.7× | 29.6× | 71% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.1× | 4.0× | 82% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.9× | 2.2× | 39% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 15.3× | 16.0× | 55% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 74% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.8% | 5.6% | 70% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.1% | 2.3% | 4% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
55/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
41/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
24/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
28/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#142 / 261
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.9% | +1.1% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.8% | +0.2% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.5% | +3.7% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.3% | +8.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.1% | +9.6% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -1.6% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +12.6% | +69.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.10
Volatility rank波动率分位
84th pctile
Short interest空头占比
5.0% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.70
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-12.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.4B | $1.3B | $992M | $1.1B | $1.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.49 | $0.78 | $0.37 | $0.54 | $0.68 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $163M | $86M | $154M | $188M | $227M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 46.8% | 45.4% | 48.1% | 50.5% | 48.0% |
| Net margin净利率 | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 11.6% | 6.6% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.1B
Gross profit毛利润
$539M
Net income净利润
$152M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$256M
Total assets总资产
$3.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.6B
Buybacks股票回购
$5M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.22B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
4.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+27.7%
Asset growth资产增速
+5.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: receivables +35% vs sales +-20% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +35% 对销售 +-20%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Pricing power: soft gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力弱于同业
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.48 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.48——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
51
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
42
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-0.2%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.1%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-1.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
88/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
8
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+4
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$6.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
5.0%
Days to cover回补天数
3.4
Short interest change空头变化
+7.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 33%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -1.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -0.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -3.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -2.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +5.0% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +7.4% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +11.3% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +4.9% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -4.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +6.3% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 33% | -0.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -5.4% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。