Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Staples / HRL
Hormel Foods · Staples
HRL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Hormel Foods Corporation, doing business as Hormel Foods or simply Hormel, is an American multinational food processing company founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota, by George A. Hormel as George A. Hormel & Company.Hormel Foods Corporation（以Hormel Foods或简称为Hormel之名运营）是一家美国跨国食品加工公司，由乔治·A·霍梅尔于1891年在明尼苏达州奥斯汀以乔治·A·霍梅尔公司的名义创立。
Large cap大盘 · $11B
Staples
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$19.71
-$0.13 · -0.66%
52w low52周低 $19.47high高 $26.55
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
As of 2026-09-28截至 2026-09-28
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-28
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
22
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.0% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-14.5% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
8th percentile第8百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Beat in 3 of last 4 quarters近 4 季中 3 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 3.1%
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | HRL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.68x | 22.04 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.37x | 3.05 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.41% | 4.26 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.93% | 5.27 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.84% | 3.09 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 13.27x | 12.71 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 20.30x | 18.51 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$12.1B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$0.872025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -12.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$534.3M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
5.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 6%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.23
Current ratio流动比率2.47
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件Its filings are available, but they do not break debt down by the year it comes due — every bucket below is unreported.已获取该公司的 SEC 文件，但文件中未按到期年度拆分债务 —— 以下各区间均未披露。
Next 12 months未来12个月
not reported未披露
Year 2第2年
not reported未披露
Year 3第3年
not reported未披露
Year 4第4年
not reported未披露
Year 5第5年
not reported未披露
After year 55年以后
not reported未披露
Not every company reports a year-by-year schedule. Nothing is being estimated in its place.并非所有公司都会披露逐年到期安排；此处不作任何估算替代。
Cash reported at 2025-10-26: $670679000.截至 2025-10-26 披露的现金：$670679000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2024-10-28 to 2025-10-26; no cash burn to measure.在 2024-10-28 至 2025-10-26 期间，经营现金流不低于设备支出，无可衡量的现金消耗。
Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整；不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。
Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考；缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Annual period年度区间 2024-10-28 — 2025-10-26 · USD · 10-K · 0000048465-25-000059 · Filed提交日期 2025-12-05.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-26T08:02:51.390113+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-09-29.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $845251000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $310902000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $534349000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #40 of 49 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 40 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
HRL made a new 52-week lowHRL 创52周新低
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.44%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.21%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$20
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-12.6%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FConcentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 25, 2026
HRL made a new 52-week lowHRL 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $19.71.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$19.71。
Sep 23, 2026
HRL daily MACD crossed downHRL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $19.92.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$19.92。
Sep 21, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 21, 2026
HRL RSI reached oversoldHRL RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.46.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$20.46。
Sep 18, 2026
HRL daily MACD crossed upHRL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.83.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$20.83。
Sep 17, 2026
HRL broke down vs the marketHRL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $20.76.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$20.76。
Sep 15, 2026
HRL RSI reached oversoldHRL RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.79.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$20.79。
Sep 14, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 14, 2026
HRL StochRSI turned up from oversoldHRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.96.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.96。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 128 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Hormel Foods Corporation, doing business as Hormel Foods or simply Hormel, is an American multinational food processing company founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota, by George A. Hormel as George A. Hormel & Company.Hormel Foods Corporation（以Hormel Foods或简称为Hormel之名运营）是一家美国跨国食品加工公司，由乔治·A·霍梅尔于1891年在明尼苏达州奥斯汀以乔治·A·霍梅尔公司的名义创立。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 22.7× | 22.0× | 48% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.4× | 3.0× | 78% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 13.3× | 12.7× | 43% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 55% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.8% | 8.8% | 43% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 5.8% | 3.1% | 74% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
16/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
20/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#46 / 72
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.4% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -16.9% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -24.8% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -13.3% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -13.4% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -16.0% | +18.5% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.12
Volatility rank波动率分位
8th pctile
Market cap市值
$11B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-24.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $9.6B | $11.4B | $12.5B | $12.1B | $11.9B | $12.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.66 | $1.66 | $1.82 | $1.45 | $1.47 | $0.87 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $761M | $770M | $856M | $778M | $1.0B | $534M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 19.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| Net margin净利率 | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Gross profit毛利润
$1.9B
Net income净利润
$478M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$845M
Total assets总资产
$13.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$7.9B
Long-term debt长期负债
$2.9B
Dividends paid股息支出
$633M
Buybacks股票回购
$0
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
6.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
3.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
21.4%
Profit growth利润增速
-40.6%
Asset growth资产增速
-0.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: inventory +63% vs sales +26% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +63% 对销售 +26%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: gross margin −3.4pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 3.4 个百分点
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 3.23 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 3.23——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
22
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
1
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-14.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
65/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $0.40 | $0.35 | +14.3% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.34 | $0.32 | +6.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.32 | $0.30 | +6.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.35 | $0.41 | -14.6% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
6
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-0.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$21
Put wall看跌期权墙
$19
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$20
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$21
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$19
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+0.4%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-12.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $52M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -38.0, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -38.0, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Days to cover回补天数
4.7
Short interest change空头变化
+0.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。