Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / LEN
Lennar · Consumer Disc.
LEN US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Lennar Corporation (LEN), commonly known as Lennar, is an American home construction company based in Miami-Dade County, Florida. As of 2025, it is the second-largest home construction company in the United States based on the number of homes sold.莱纳公司（LEN），通常称为莱纳，是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县。截至2025年，按已售房屋数量计算，它是美国第二大住宅建筑公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Consumer Disc.
S&P 500标普500
$82.90
-$0.99 · -1.18%
52w low52周低 $80.62high高 $142
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-20.4% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
55th percentile第55百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Net margin净利率
6.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
0.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/5
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Watch关注
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$163.5M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.86%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.40%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.5%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 20% 0DTE; 20 fresh positions; P/C 1.45; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +693); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占20%；20个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.45；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +693）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FConcentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Adding加仓 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → DOWNTREND买入区 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Jul 17, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $83.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$83.89。
Jul 16, 2026
LEN StochRSI turned up from oversoldLEN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $86.40.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$86.40。
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → BUY ZONE下跌趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $87.13.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$87.13。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
LEN broke down vs the marketLEN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $86.54.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$86.54。
Jul 1, 2026
LEN daily MACD crossed downLEN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$86.54。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 97 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Lennar Corporation (LEN), commonly known as Lennar, is an American home construction company based in Miami-Dade County, Florida. As of 2025, it is the second-largest home construction company in the United States based on the number of homes sold.莱纳公司（LEN），通常称为莱纳，是一家美国住宅建筑公司，总部位于佛罗里达州迈阿密-戴德县。截至2025年，按已售房屋数量计算，它是美国第二大住宅建筑公司。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
16/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
12/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#184 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -7.1% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.1% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -29.1% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -19.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -23.3% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.86
Volatility rank波动率分位
55th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-41.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $22.5B | $27.1B | — | $34.2B | $35.4B | $34.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $7.85 | $14.27 | $15.72 | $13.73 | $14.31 | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $4.1B | $2.5B | $3.2B | $5.1B | $2.2B | $28M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 11.0% | 16.3% | — | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 18.3% | 9.1% | — | 14.8% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$34.2B
Net income净利润
$2.1B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$217M
Total assets总资产
$34.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$22.0B
Dividends paid股息支出
$521M
Buybacks股票回购
$1.8B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
6.0%
Profit growth利润增速
-47.2%
Asset growth资产增速
-16.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
41
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
19
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-4.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-20.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
53/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
12
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-14.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-8
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$87
Put wall看跌期权墙
$80
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$85
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$80
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
-$0.0B
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-2.5%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.1pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Adding增持 | 0.3% | $877M |
| Basswood Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.3% | $7M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 3, 2, 2, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 3, 2, 2, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Days to cover回补天数
5.7
Short interest change空头变化
-2.7%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P HomebuildersSPDR S&P Homebuilders
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。