Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / MAT
Mattel · Consumer Disc.
MAT US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Mattel, Inc. is an American multinational toy manufacturing and entertainment company headquartered in El Segundo, California.美泰公司是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州埃尔塞贡多的美国跨国玩具制造和娱乐公司。
Mid cap中盘 · $4B
Cyclical周期股
Consumer Disc.
S&P 400标普400中盘
$14.14
-$0.16 · -1.12%
52w low52周低 $12.85high高 $22.49
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed at $13.05 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe confirming, so this is a…日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成，价位13.05，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.2% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-17.6% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
69th percentile第69百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-222days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | MAT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.74x | 19.97 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.91x | 2.89 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.80x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.31% | 4.57 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 14.04% | 4.27 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.51x | 11.39 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 3.1%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 28.1%
Gross margin毛利率
48.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
10.2%
Net margin净利率
7.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 18%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.52
Current ratio流动比率2.15
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$600.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$79.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-8.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MAT weekly MACD crossed upMAT 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$1.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$1.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. New daily cycle, day 10: swing low in, price back above the 10-day average, daily momentum positive — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的日线周期，第 10 天：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线，日线动量为正——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
MAT weekly MACD crossed upMAT 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 13, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
MAT daily MACD crossed upMAT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $13.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$13.84。
Jul 6, 2026
MAT printed a daily-cycle lowMAT 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $13.05.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$13.05。
Jul 2, 2026
MAT made a new 52-week lowMAT 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $13.34.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$13.34。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 30, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
MAT broke down vs the marketMAT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $13.69.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$13.69。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 258 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Mattel, Inc. is an American multinational toy manufacturing and entertainment company headquartered in El Segundo, California.美泰公司是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州埃尔塞贡多的美国跨国玩具制造和娱乐公司。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 10.7× | 20.0× | 80% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.9× | 2.9× | 63% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.8× | 1.2× | 61% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 7.5× | 11.4× | 74% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.3% | 4.6% | 83% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 13.9% | 8.6% | 73% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 14.0% | 4.3% | 96% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
11/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
20/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
11/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#164 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -33.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -29.4% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -27.0% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -33.2% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.76
Volatility rank波动率分位
69th pctile
Short interest空头占比
8.2% of float
Market cap市值
$4B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.32
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-36.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $4.6B | $5.5B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.3B |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.36 | $2.53 | $1.10 | $0.60 | $1.58 | $1.24 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 48.9% | 48.1% | 45.7% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Net margin净利率 | 2.8% | 16.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$5.3B
Gross profit毛利润
$2.6B
Net income净利润
$398M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$593M
Total assets总资产
$6.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$2.3B
Buybacks股票回购
$600M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.30B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
17.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
6.0%
Debt / assets负债/资产
35.1%
Profit growth利润增速
-26.6%
Asset growth资产增速
+1.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin −0.2pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 0.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.8 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.8——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
41
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+3.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.2%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-17.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
49/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+5.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$1.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 0
Short interest空头占流通盘
8.2%
Days to cover回补天数
5.2
Short interest change空头变化
-9.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 75%
Weakest month最弱月份
Dec · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +5.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.9% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -8.9% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -7.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -0.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +4.3% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +8.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +4.2% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -0.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +7.1% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 33% | -0.2% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 0% | -5.8% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。