Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Health Care / MEDP
Medpace · Health Care
MEDP US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Medpace Holdings, Inc. is a global clinical research organization (CRO) based in Cincinnati, Ohio, employing approximately 6,000 people.Medpace Holdings, Inc.是一家全球性临床研究组织（CRO），总部位于俄亥俄州辛辛那提，员工约6000人。
Large cap大盘 · $16B
Secular growth长期成长
Health Care
S&P 400标普400中盘
$577.11
-$1.19 · -0.21%
52w low52周低 $377high高 $629
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over). Don't…已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-08-03
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅作背景参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅作背景参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-03
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+14.4% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.4% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
78th percentile第78百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-22Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +2.9% (20d)财报后漂移：+2.9%（20日）
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | MEDP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 36.29x | 30.09 | |
| P/B市净率 | 35.67x | 3.58 | |
| P/S市销率 | 6.47x | 3.02 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.76% | 2.62 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.16% | 4.02 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.60% | 1.87 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 28.24x | 18.49 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 24.01x | 22.30 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.3%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 31.8%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
21.1%
Net margin净利率
17.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
28.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/7
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 98%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.88
Current ratio流动比率0.74
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$917.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$34.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-7.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$251.2M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$251.2M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 4.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 527.07) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 24 天前形成 @ 527.07）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
Jul 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 27, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 23, 2026
MEDP took relative-strength leadershipMEDP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $605.82.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$605.82。
Jul 23, 2026
MEDP daily MACD crossed upMEDP 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $605.82.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$605.82。
Jul 23, 2026
MEDP StochRSI turned up from oversoldMEDP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $605.82.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$605.82。
Jul 23, 2026
MEDP RSI reached overboughtMEDP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $605.82.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$605.82。
Jul 13, 2026
MEDP daily MACD crossed downMEDP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $530.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$530.19。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 230 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Medpace Holdings, Inc. is a global clinical research organization (CRO) based in Cincinnati, Ohio, employing approximately 6,000 people.Medpace Holdings, Inc.是一家全球性临床研究组织（CRO），总部位于俄亥俄州辛辛那提，员工约6000人。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 36.3× | 30.1× | 37% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 35.7× | 3.6× | 2% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 6.5× | 3.0× | 23% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 28.2× | 18.5× | 23% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 54% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.4% | 5.4% | 36% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 5.6% | 1.9% | 85% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
88/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
93/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
40/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
70/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#50 / 171
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.0% | +1.1% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.2% | +0.2% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +38.2% | +3.7% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -0.9% | +8.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +1.1% | +9.6% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +35.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +125.8% | +69.4% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.90
Volatility rank波动率分位
78th pctile
Short interest空头占比
7.7% of float
Market cap市值
$16B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$15.90
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-7.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $926M | $1.1B | $1.5B | $1.9B | $2.1B | $2.5B |
| EPS每股收益 | $3.84 | $4.81 | $7.28 | $8.88 | $12.63 | $15.28 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $227M | $235M | $351M | $397M | $572M | $682M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 24.6% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 27.1% | 26.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.5B
Net income净利润
$451M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$713M
Total assets总资产
$2.0B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$459M
Buybacks股票回购
$917M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.03B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
98.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
22.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+11.6%
Asset growth资产增速
-6.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 8.11 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 8.11——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
61
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
38
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+4.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+14.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+11.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
67/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+4.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 4.5% | $123M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $390,908 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -2, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-02-13', 'holders_series': [2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -2, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-02-13', 'holders_series': [2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$251.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 7
Short interest空头占流通盘
7.7%
Days to cover回补天数
7.3
Short interest change空头变化
+3.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jun · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 33%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +4.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -5.9% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.8% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -3.4% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -0.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +7.5% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +9.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +6.7% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -5.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +9.4% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -2.2% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。