Stocks股票 / Energy / MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas, Corp. · Energy
MGY US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Energy
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$25.53
-$1.73 · -6.35%
52w low52周低 $20.69high高 $32.50
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~11+ trading days. Wait for support to hold, or for the next low to set up.这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 11+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-1.0% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
88th percentile第88百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-299days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 19.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
33.5%
Net margin净利率
24.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
67.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.14
Current ratio流动比率1.54
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MGY lost its 200-day averageMGY 跌破200日均线
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$10.7M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$10.7M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Mixed structure. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell准备。结构混合。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 20, 2026
MGY lost its 200-day averageMGY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $25.53.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$25.53。
Jul 20, 2026
MGY broke down vs the marketMGY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.53.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.53。
Jul 9, 2026
MGY daily MACD crossed upMGY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.87。
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
MGY reclaimed its 200-day averageMGY 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $25.79.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$25.79。
Jul 7, 2026
MGY StochRSI turned up from oversoldMGY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.79.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.79。
Jul 1, 2026
MGY printed a daily-cycle lowMGY 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $24.98.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$24.98。
Jun 30, 2026
MGY lost its 200-day averageMGY 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $25.58.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$25.58。
Jun 29, 2026
MGY broke down vs the marketMGY 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.73.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.73。
Jun 29, 2026
MGY daily MACD crossed downMGY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.73.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.73。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 268 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
47/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
21/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
64/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
45/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#63 / 68
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.3% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -10.6% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +8.9% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +14.9% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +13.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +29.8% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.19
Volatility rank波动率分位
88th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-20.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $535M | $1.1B | $1.7B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.3B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -226.1% | 38.7% | 52.7% | 31.6% | 27.8% | 24.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.3B
Net income净利润
$325M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$879M
Total assets总资产
$2.9B
Long-term debt长期负债
$393M
Dividends paid股息支出
$113M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on assets资产回报率
11.2%
Debt / assets负债/资产
13.5%
Profit growth利润增速
-11.1%
Asset growth资产增速
+2.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
41
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
13
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-2.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-1.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
52/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-4.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$10.7M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 7
Days to cover回补天数
4.5
Short interest change空头变化
+0.3%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&PSPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Mar · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +1.6% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.7% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +12.8% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -3.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +4.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +1.0% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +6.3% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +3.6% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -3.5% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -1.6% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +3.9% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 0% | -5.3% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。