Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / NFLX
Netflix · Comm. Services
NFLX US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand over-the-top streaming television service. The service primarily distributes original and acquired films and television shows from various genres.Netflix 是一家美国订阅型视频点播、OTT流媒体电视服务。该服务主要发行各种类型的原创及授权电影和电视剧。
Mega cap超大盘 · $285B
Broken growth成长受损
Comm. Services
S&P 500标普500
$67.60
-$1.35 · -1.96%
52w low52周低 $65.08high高 $127
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21MA Sell (7)Bollinger Breakout DownShort-term Falling TrendLong-term Falling Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
29
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-27.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
34
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility波动率
92th percentile第92百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-16Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -16.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-16.0%（20日）
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | NFLX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 25.99x | 34.57 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 17.7x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 10.72x | 2.63 | |
| P/S市销率 | 6.32x | 1.70 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.85% | 2.35 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.31% | 5.91 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.20% | 4.04 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 21.22x | 11.88 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.17x | 12.03 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 12.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -16.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
29.5%
Net margin净利率
24.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
22.5%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 41%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.32
Current ratio流动比率1.19
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$9.1B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$368.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.3%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NFLX daily MACD crossed downNFLX 日线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.20%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.93%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$73
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.8%
Skew: greed偏斜：贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$318.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$318.6M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenlea Lane Capital | B | New position新建仓 | 7.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 1.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | trimtrim | 2.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Light Street Capital | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 20, 2026
NFLX daily MACD crossed downNFLX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $67.60.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$67.60。
Jul 20, 2026
NFLX RSI reached oversoldNFLX RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $67.60.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$67.60。
Jul 17, 2026
NFLX made a new 52-week lowNFLX 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $68.95.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$68.95。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
NFLX broke down vs the marketNFLX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $75.47.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$75.47。
Jul 6, 2026
NFLX broke down vs the marketNFLX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $76.02.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$76.02。
Jul 2, 2026
NFLX daily MACD crossed upNFLX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $77.65.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$77.65。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 2037 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand over-the-top streaming television service. The service primarily distributes original and acquired films and television shows from various genres.Netflix 是一家美国订阅型视频点播、OTT流媒体电视服务。该服务主要发行各种类型的原创及授权电影和电视剧。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 26.0× | 34.6× | 55% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 17.7× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 10.7× | 2.6× | 9% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 6.3× | 1.7× | 12% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 21.2× | 11.9× | 16% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.9% | 2.4% | 68% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.6% | 12.4% | 19% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 3.2% | 4.0% | 50% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
7/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
10/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#43 / 45
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -12.6% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -27.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -20.8% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -25.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -44.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +58.1% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +31.6% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.31
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th pctile
Short interest空头占比
2.5% of float
Market cap市值
$285B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$2.60
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-46.5%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
1.1×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $25.0B | $29.7B | $31.6B | $33.7B | $39.0B | $45.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $6.08 | $11.24 | $9.95 | $12.03 | $19.83 | $2.53 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.9B | $-132M | $1.6B | $6.9B | $6.9B | $9.5B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 38.9% | 41.6% | 39.4% | 41.5% | 46.1% | 48.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | 11.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 22.3% | 24.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.7% | -0.4% | 5.1% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$45.2B
Net income净利润
$11.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$10.1B
Total assets总资产
$55.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$26.6B
Long-term debt长期负债
$13.5B
Buybacks股票回购
$9.1B
Shares outstanding总股本
4.22B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
41.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
19.8%
Debt / assets负债/资产
24.2%
Revenue growth营收增速
+13.4%
Profit growth利润增速
+26.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+3.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals elevated vs peers (earnings lean on non-cash items)盈利质量：应计利润高于同业（盈利依赖非现金项目）
- Pricing power: gross margin +9.6pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 9.6 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +853.3% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 853.3%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 8.62 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 8.62——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
29
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
5
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
34
Average daily range平均日波幅
4.1%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-7.9%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-27.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
Monthly月线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
46/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 137d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 113d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 1332d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 84d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 60d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 224d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 141d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 80d |
| MA Sell (7) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 74d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 147d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 533d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 99d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 108d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 108d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 220d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 599d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 133d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 113d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 114d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 73d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 100d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 45d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 114d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 140d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1158d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2851d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 298d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 1157d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-0.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
17.7×
Profit margin净利率
28.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$74
Put wall看跌期权墙
$65
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$73
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$70
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$65
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
-$0.1B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-8.3%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+1.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenlea Lane Capital | B | New position新建仓 | 7.8% | $27M |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.2% | $13M |
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | $5M |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 1.0% | $235M |
| Coatue Management | A | Trimming减持 | 2.3% | $663M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 0.1% | $8M |
| Light Street Capital | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $19M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
7
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
3 : 3
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 4, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -4, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [4, 5, 3, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5, 4, 6, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 4, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -4, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [4, 5, 3, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5, 4, 6, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$318.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 7
Short interest空头占流通盘
2.5%
Days to cover回补天数
1.8
Short interest change空头变化
+3.1%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
ARKWARKW
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 83%
Weakest month最弱月份
Apr · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +9.8% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +0.6% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +0.1% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 20% | -4.3% | 5 |
| May5月 | 83% | +6.7% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +5.2% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 33% | -1.9% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 80% | +4.3% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 60% | +1.4% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +10.1% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 60% | +5.9% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -2.6% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: -1.1% avg, up 40% of years (n=25)7月：平均 -1.1%，40% 的年份上涨（n=25）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。