Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / NFLX

Netflix · Comm. Services

NFLX US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand over-the-top streaming television service. The service primarily distributes original and acquired films and television shows from various genres.Netflix 是一家美国订阅型视频点播、OTT流媒体电视服务。该服务主要发行各种类型的原创及授权电影和电视剧。

Mega cap超大盘 · $278B Comm. Services Broken growth成长受损
$65.85
Regular quote常规时段报价
-$1.20 · -1.79%
Extended quote unavailable. Showing the regular quote.盘前盘后报价暂不可用,现显示常规时段报价。
52w low52周低 $64.10high高 $117
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势 Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。 As of 2026-10-26截至 2026-10-26

Company news公司新闻

The latest reporting最新报道

One story, with the reporting behind it.将同一事件汇总,保留各来源报道。

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Company intelligence公司情报

The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络

A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考;使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。

Checking latest record正在检查最新记录

Live company record实时公司记录

JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动,请打开终端。

Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-10-26
Long-term Falling Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 -11.3% below下方 Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 -20.0% below下方 Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 24 Trending趋势中
Volatility波动率 52th percentile第52百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期

Post-earnings drift: +8.8% (20d)财报后漂移:+8.8%(20日)

+1.3% Jun 2026
-7.9% Mar 2026
+1.8% Dec 2025
-14.5% Sep 2025

EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度(近几个季度) · average平均 -4.8%

Valuation估值

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Multiple指标NFLX Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 25.32x 25.32 48%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 17.5x — —
P/B市净率 10.45x 2.65 10%
P/S市销率 6.15x 1.73 15%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.95% 3.69 61%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.40% 6.43 39%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.28% 4.01 47%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 20.68x 11.53 17%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 29.39x 12.67 29%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入 $45.2B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 12.6%
Earnings per share每股收益 $2.532025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -16.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流 $9.5B2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
29.5%
Net margin净利率
24.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
22.5%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/9 Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险:安全区 Return on equity股本回报率 41% Watch关注

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.32
Current ratio流动比率1.19

Capital allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$9.1B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$368.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.3%

Debt coming due到期债务

FY2019 10-K

In the 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2019-12-31, it reported $737.0M due — about 4% of its disclosed principal.在财年期末 2019-12-31 之后12个月的区间内,已披露到期本金为 $737.0M,约占其披露本金的 4%。

All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2019-12-31, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2019-12-31 起算,而非从今天起算。

First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月 $737.0M
Year 2第2年 not reported未披露
Year 3第3年 not reported未披露
Year 4第4年 not reported未披露
Year 5第5年 not reported未披露
After year 55年以后 $15.7B

Cash reported at 2025-12-31: $9033681000.截至 2025-12-31 披露的现金:$9033681000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2025-01-01 to 2025-12-31; no cash burn to measure.在 2025-01-01 至 2025-12-31 期间,经营现金流不低于设备支出,无可衡量的现金消耗。

Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整;不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。

Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考;缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。

Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算

Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实,不跨文件拼接。文件 0001065280-20-000040, period ending报告期截至 2019-12-31, unit单位 USD. Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-29T09:08:54.091933+00:00. 2/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。

  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonths
  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwo — absent
  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThree — absent
  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFour — absent
  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFive — absent
  • LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive

Annual period年度区间 2025-01-01 — 2025-12-31 · USD · 10-K · 0001065280-26-000034 · Filed提交日期 2026-01-23.

Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-29T09:08:54.091933+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-10-26.

  • Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $10149273000
  • Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出(资本开支流出): $688220000
  • Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流(经营现金流减资本开支): $9461053000

Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变,不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。

Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径,不构成评级、信号或投资建议。

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #43 of 49 themes「通信服务(等权)」主题 — 49 个主题中第 43 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -12.7%空头仓位变动 -12.7%
Technical技术面 NFLX weekly MACD crossed downNFLX 周线MACD下穿

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.99%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.45%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$72
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Skew: balanced偏斜:balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$136.3M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$136.3M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Greenlea Lane Capital A Holding持有 5.4% 2026-06-30
Soros Fund Management B Holding持有 0.1% 2026-06-30
Coatue Management B trimtrim 0.7% 2026-06-30
Polen Capital Management C trimtrim 0.0% 2026-06-30
Tiger Global (Coleman) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-06-30
Whale Rock Capital A exitexit 0.0% 2026-06-30

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势 AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)
Oct 23, 2026
NFLX weekly MACD crossed downNFLX 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Oct 21, 2026
NFLX made a new 52-week lowNFLX 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $65.04.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$65.04。
Oct 21, 2026
NFLX daily MACD crossed downNFLX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $65.04.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$65.04。
Oct 20, 2026
NFLX broke down vs the marketNFLX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $68.69.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$68.69。
Oct 19, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Oct 16, 2026
NFLX weekly MACD crossed upNFLX 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Oct 12, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Oct 9, 2026
NFLX broke down vs the marketNFLX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $70.30.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$70.30。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条,共 2078 signals条信号

Company profile公司档案

Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand over-the-top streaming television service. The service primarily distributes original and acquired films and television shows from various genres.Netflix 是一家美国订阅型视频点播、OTT流媒体电视服务。该服务主要发行各种类型的原创及授权电影和电视剧。

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
  • Capital intensity rising

AI research briefAI研究简报

generated生成于 2026-10-14

NFLX is showing a short-term bottoming setup after a swing low near 67.06 and a move back above the 10-day average, but the larger trend remains mixed with price still below the 50/200-day averages; fundamentals are strong while factor tilts are mostly weak.

NFLX 在 67.06 附近形成摆动低点并回升至 10 日均线上方后,正显现短期筑底形态,但更大趋势仍不明朗,价格仍低于 50/200 日均线;基本面强劲,而因子暴露大多偏弱。

Key drivers主要驱动
  • Short-term bottoming signal: swing low printed at 67.06 and price back above the rising 10-day average
  • Positive short-term momentum with MACD positive, though RSI is neutral at 45
  • Strong fundamentals: 24.3% net margin, 41.3% ROE, 26% net income growth, and $9.1bn repurchases
  • Weak factor profile: negative value, quality, and accruals z-scores; composite factor score negative
  • Macro tailwind from expanding US net liquidity, partly offset by elevated aggregate macro risk
  • Favorable October seasonality: +6.3% average return, up 68% of years
Key risks主要风险
  • Larger trend still uncertain: price below 50-day and 200-day moving averages and about 43% below 52-week high
  • Prior cycle was left-translated, a bearish structural hint; weekly timeframe has not confirmed a turn
  • Daily phase is stretched and investor phase is late
  • Negative factor tilts on value, quality, and accruals
  • Elevated aggregate macro risk for a macro-sensitive name
Upcoming catalysts近期催化剂
  • No company-specific earnings or event calendar provided in the context
  • Watch for weekly timeframe confirmation or failure of the current bottoming signal
  • October and November seasonality window is historically favorable
  • Macro liquidity expansion and aggregate macro risk developments are likely key for this macro-sensitive name
Research context only — not a signal, not advice. This is an AI-generated reading of one stock's PUBLIC, already-computed context (its cycle/technical state, cross-sectional factor scores, SEC fundamentals, and recent public news). It does NOT feed any score, signal, ladder call or position size, and it can be wrong or overconfident. The mechanical engine never sees it. Verify every claim against the deterministic analysis on the same page. No holdings or watchlist information is used.

The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。

Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

Browse all stocks浏览所有股票 Open Terminal打开终端

Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-10-26 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-10-26 05:47 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器