Stocks股票 / Utilities / NRG
NRG Energy · Utilities
NRG US listed · USD美股 · 美元
NRG Energy, Inc. is an American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas.NRG能源公司是一家总部位于得克萨斯州休斯顿的美国能源企业。
Large cap大盘 · $25B
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Utilities
S&P 500标普500
$137.90
-$0.46 · -0.33%
52w low52周低 $120high高 $189
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 120.65.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 120.65 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.9% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-10.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
12
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
8th percentile第8百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.2%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | NRG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 28.77x | 22.41 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.81x | 3.01 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.48% | 4.46 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.08% | -2.94 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.93% | 2.83 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.20x | 12.70 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 32.45x | 39.80 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 27.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 14.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
6.0%
Net margin净利率
2.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.45
Current ratio流动比率1.64
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.3B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$134.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +62.3%空头仓位变动 +62.3%
Technical技术面
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.55%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.94%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$110
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.9%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 18% 0DTE; 17 fresh positions; P/C 0.81; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占18%；17个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.81；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$5322.0M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$5322.0M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Holding持有 | 4.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 13, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $139.48.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$139.48。
Jul 13, 2026
NRG StochRSI turned up from oversoldNRG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $139.48.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$139.48。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed upNRG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $130.40.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$130.40。
Jun 12, 2026
DOWNTREND → TOPPING下跌趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 10, 2026
NRG printed a daily-cycle lowNRG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $120.65.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG broke down vs the marketNRG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $120.65.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG made a new 52-week lowNRG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $120.65.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $120.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$120.65。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1862 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
NRG Energy, Inc. is an American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas.NRG能源公司是一家总部位于得克萨斯州休斯顿的美国能源企业。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 28.8× | 22.4× | 12% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.8× | 3.0× | 96% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 6.2× | 12.7× | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.5% | 4.5% | 16% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 20% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 6.9% | 2.8% | 100% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
23/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
24/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#55 / 60
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.3% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.8% | +0.3% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.9% | +7.6% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -8.7% | +9.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.5% | +10.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.0% | +22.4% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +302.5% | +73.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +289.6% | +86.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.47
Volatility rank波动率分位
8th pctile
Short interest空头占比
4.2% of float
Market cap市值
$25B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$4.54
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-24.8%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.7×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $9.1B | $27.0B | $31.5B | $28.8B | $28.1B | $30.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.07 | $8.93 | $5.17 | $-1.12 | $4.99 | $4.01 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.6B | $224M | $-7M | $-819M | $1.8B | $766M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 28.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 5.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | -0.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 17.7% | 0.8% | -0.0% | -2.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$30.7B
Net income净利润
$864M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.9B
Total assets总资产
$29.1B
Long-term debt长期负债
$16.4B
Dividends paid股息支出
$411M
Buybacks股票回购
$1.3B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.19B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on assets资产回报率
3.0%
Debt / assets负债/资产
56.3%
Profit growth利润增速
-23.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+21.3%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +350% vs sales +238% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +350% 对销售 +238%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: assets +21.3% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +21.3%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.11 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.11——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
49
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
14
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
12
Average daily range平均日波幅
4.0%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-1.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+0.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-10.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
Monthly月线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
39/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 76d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 93d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 75d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 6d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 1300d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 1034d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 35d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 19d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 41d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 141d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 5d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 64d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 20d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 141d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 75d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 19d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 6d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 5d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 34d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 30d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 6d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 5d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 351d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1132d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1632d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 76d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1147d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1678d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 350d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
5
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.6%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$135
Put wall看跌期权墙
$125
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$110
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$160
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$125
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+16.0%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+0.9%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | $7M |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Holding持有 | 4.3% | $253M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $482,975 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
3
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 13, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-08-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 13, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-08-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$5,322.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 6
Short interest空头占流通盘
4.2%
Days to cover回补天数
2.5
Short interest change空头变化
+62.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Apr · 80%
Weakest month最弱月份
Nov · 40%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +3.5% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +4.4% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +1.7% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 80% | +7.2% | 5 |
| May5月 | 50% | +11.9% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +9.3% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +2.8% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +9.3% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 60% | +2.8% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +6.6% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 40% | -0.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -5.6% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +1.7% avg, up 57% of years (n=23)7月：平均 +1.7%，57% 的年份上涨（n=23）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。